- Nov 7, 1999
IMO, the best case is pushing all of the Russians out of Ukraine and its neighbors become porcupine nations making it very unattractive for invasion. The world knows for sure so long as Putin is around Russia could get a hair in its ass and decide to invade its neighbors for whatever supposed reason of the day. So what else can you do beyond making sure you're the least attractive target in the region? You don't need to run faster than a bear, you just need to run faster than the person next to you. Change is going to need to come from within Russia itself, because going in and trying to do it yourself is just risking the annihilation of mankind. Gear up all its neighbors and get them trained.If Russia got out of this conflict with only holding onto the Crimea and their army in ruin would you think Russia would be emboldened to try this again? Clearly the Russian military would be handily destroyed if they attempted any invasion against a NATO country considering what happened with their invasion of Ukraine. There is a clear risk in continued escalation that could end in mutual nuclear destruction.
I would love to see Ukraine push Russia out of all Ukraine territory including Crimea. Then what? What if Russia continues launching attacks from Russian territory? Does Ukraine invade Russia? Do the NATO country's invade with Ukraine to try and take Russian territory? How do we bring this war to a conclusion with escalating to a nuclear conflict? Russia has the ability to cause significant damage to the rest of the world if it wants with its nuclear strategic arsenal. We don't know how far we can push Russia before they consider that the best option. Regime change for Russia will have to come from within, the same for North Korea. A country with nuclear weapons cannot be beaten because once the risk of being beaten becomes to great the country will launch against it's enemies. They can be stopped from achieving certain goals or certain courses of action but never beaten with enemy tanks driving down the streets of it's capital. Nuclear weapons impose a limit on a conflict.