- Aug 22, 2011
You said that a theory is the best guess we have. A guess belittles the meaning of theory. Conjecture is not the grounds to build a theory, and thus they are not the same
Sorry, a theory is exactly that, a best guess that fits the observations and evidence we have on the matter. We have no idea whether it is indeed truly the way it works and there are ways that it could be found false. You obviously didn't read up much.
Worse is subjective. Are you trying to say that the rate of change in the ice age was the same as we are seeing in our climate now?
Absolutely, are you trying to say that most of the world dipping into sub freezing temperatures and then warming back up isn't significant? Yes it took thousands of years for that change but it was all more than a few degrees C. Depending on the data, we have seen a fraction of a degree of warming and its only be a century or so of looking at it. So I would say to ignore the last ice age is pretty ignorant.
The reason scientist are saying that man is the main cause, is because we dont see any other factor changing. The only variable we see that has changed are man made ones. It may be wrong, and we may have missed something, but it does not make that conclusion incorrect until we see the data to show that.
Again, victim of your own flawed observations, or perhaps, falling victim to the same confirmation bias that was already mentioned. You've disregarded any data, and idea that man might not be the cause in favor of your own hypothesis that man is the cause. few quick questions, has the earth ever warmed before? Before man's industrial revolution? Have you noticed that water vapor in the atmosphere is a larger contributor to warming? Point is, none of these prove anything, but by asking them we bring the hypothesis that man is the cause of warming into question. That's reason enough, via the scientific method, to revisit the hypothesis and tweak it.
You dont have any reason to believe they are or are not, so why do you believe 1 way over another?
Its true the earth has gone through many changes, but when has it gone through a change as quickly as we are seeing now? And what is the cause of that change if not man?
So you are going to double down on silliness? Again, we don't know for sure either way but because I think people who claim we know man is the cause are claiming this for political reasons I am wrong?
Define quick here. A fraction of a degree or even a couple degrees over the last hundred or so years is not quick, nor groundbreaking.
Also, you've apparently made up your mind that man is to blame so at this point I'm not sure what else will convince you that may not be the case.