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Question about the divorce rate

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Lifer
But how skewed is that? What are the numbers for first time marrieds? I bet it is a lot better than that.


There are a lot of people who get married/divorced numerous times. So when we mention the 50% divorce rate to people who are about to get married we do them a disservice by not mentioning the fact that if it is your first time getting married it is actually closer to 30% or whatever. And that if it is your second time getting married its actually more like 70%


Anyone know the real numbers?
 
I've always thought the same thing. Sadly, I don't have the real numbers for first time marriages.
 
Nobody cares about those numbers because they don't generate as much excitement on the evening news as "OMG more than 50% of marriages die!"
 
How many people actually know someone is who on
marriage number 4 or number 5?

My father in law says ......

"Marriage is like hot water.....once you are in it for a while it's not so hot." 😀
 
I know someone engaged for marriage #4. Unfortunately she is in/out of mental institutions and her children (~8 and ~10) have restraining orders against her fiance. For some yet unknown reason, I have a gut feeling that #4 won't work either. I just wish I had a real reason to feel that way.
 
I've heard it as 50% of new marriages, but this has always left me wondering what about the old marriages?
i.e. say you have 10,000 existing marriages and 1000 new ones (this year). Can we expect 500 divorces (half of new marriages), 5500 divorces (half of all marriages), or some number in between?
 
It doesnt really matter, once someone has divorced twice, that skews the numbers enough. But i do know several people who are on marriages 4 or 5 or more
 
Percentage of first marriages that end in divorce in 1997: 50%

Percentage of remarriages that end in divorce in 1997: 60%

Old data but it gives you an idea.
 
Originally posted by: Sophia
I've heard it as 50% of new marriages, but this has always left me wondering what about the old marriages?
i.e. say you have 10,000 existing marriages and 1000 new ones (this year). Can we expect 500 divorces (half of new marriages), 5500 divorces (half of all marriages), or some number in between?
Click to expand...
5500 of those marriages will end in divorce at some point in time.
i dont know what qualifies a marriage as "new", but Im sure tehre are statistics that say XX% divorce within Y years.
 
All but 2 of my close friends who got married after High School is still married to the same person today. 90% for my buds. I wouldn't even say the remaining 2 are happily married, they're just "married".
 
Going to Vegas as much as I do I'm suprised I haven't gotten married and divorced in the same day yet.

Ahhh, Vegas.
 
I just know from first hand experience.

only b of the 20 or so weddings I've been to in the last 15 years has lasted.

with most of them between 4-8 years.
 
Well this is what I heard from the Dr. Phil show so I don't know how credible it is but he said for first time marriages its 50%. Third time marriages the percentile sky rockets up to 85% of divorce.
 
Originally posted by: jyates
Percentage of first marriages that end in divorce in 1997: 50%

Percentage of remarriages that end in divorce in 1997: 60%

Old data but it gives you an idea.
Click to expand...


Percentage of those who remain married but are unhappy: 90% 😉
 
Originally posted by: phantom309
Originally posted by: FrankyJunior
Here's some info that gives other criteria like income, age, etc...

http://www.divorcereform.org/real.html

and the big long explanation..
http://www.divorcereform.org/rates.html
Click to expand...

This is good info, thanks.
Click to expand...
From that page:

By now almost everyone has heard that the national divorce rate is close to 50% of all marriages. This is true, but the rate must be interpreted with caution and several important caveats. For many people, the actual chances of divorce are far below 50/50.

The background characteristics of people entering a marriage have major implications for their risk of divorce. Here are some percentage point decreases in the risk of divorce or separation during the first ten years of marriage, according to various personal and social factors a:
Factors Percent Decrease

in Risk of Divorce

Annual income over $50,000 (vs. under $25,000) -30
Having a baby seven months or more after marriage (vs. before marriage) -24
Marrying over 25 years of age (vs. under 18) -24
Own family of origin intact (vs. divorced parents) -14
Religious affiliation (vs. none) -14
Some college (vs. high-school dropout) -13
 
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