preliminary BCS ratings, week 4

[sciencewhiz]

The BCS ratings won't be release for 3 more weeks, but both polls (Harris and Coaches) and 4 of the 6 computers are released. With that data, here are the top 14 rankings (IE those teams eligible for at-large BCS bowl bids).

1 Ohio State 4-0
2 Southern California 3-0
3 Auburn 4-0
4 Michigan 4-0
5 Florida 4-0
6 Louisville 4-0
7 West Virginia 4-0
8 Oregon 3-0
9 Texas 3-1
10 Georgia 4-0
11 Notre Dame 3-1
12 Iowa 4-0
13 Virginia Tech 4-0
14 LSU 3-1

 

[Feldenak]

Florida and Georgia are listed for now....they have to come to Jordan-Hare :evil:

 

[Preyhunter]

I'm hoping TCU crashes the BCS party this year.

 

[sciencewhiz]

If you look at a composite of just the 4 computer rankings, you get the following results:

1 Michigan
2 Southern Cal
3 Ohio State
4 Florida
5 Oregon
6 Auburn
7 Notre Dame
8 Louisville
9 Iowa
10 Virginia Tech
10 TCU
12 Oklahoma
13 West Virginia
14 Texas

 

[mpitts]

I usually think Michigan is overrated, but they are definitely deserving of their spot in these prelim rankings.

 

[sciencewhiz]

Originally posted by: Preyhunter
I'm hoping TCU crashes the BCS party this year.

TCU would be 15th right now. If they finish undefeated, they'll definetly make it up to 12th and be guaranteed a spot in a BCS game. Even with 1 loss, they would likely make that magic number.

The Rose Bowl is contractually bound to take the first non BCS conference team that qualifies.

 

[dullard]

Originally posted by: sciencewhiz
7 West Virginia

No wins/losses for WV in your post? I can't see why the humans vote them so high. The computer average that you posted puts them at #13. My program puts them at #24. Any insight that you have into the minds of the human voters? I mean were beating 1-3 Marshall, 1-3 E. Washingtong, or 1-3 E. Carolina that great of wins to propel WV that high? Maybe their next game with 1-3 Miss St. will shed some light on the issue.

 

[sciencewhiz]

Originally posted by: dullard

Originally posted by: sciencewhiz
7 West Virginia

No wins/losses for WV in your post? I can't see why the humans vote them so high. The computer average that you posted puts them at #13. My program puts them at #24. Any insight that you have into the minds of the human voters? I mean were beating 1-3 Marshall, 1-3 E. Washingtong, or 1-3 E. Carolina that great of wins to propel WV that high? Maybe their next game with 1-3 Miss St. will shed some light on the issue.

Well, the missing record was an oversight on my part. I can't slip anything past you

I think there are two factors that help WVU in the polls.

First, they have a really easy schedule and if they end up with more then 1 loss it would be a huge disappointment. Every voter wants to be the one who has them in the top 5 at both the beginning and the end of the season. That helps explain why so many people picked them #1 preseason as well.

Second, the polls judge on how good a team is, not just on W/L results of games. WVU is a lot better then they've been able to prove with their schedule. In you're rankings, I'd hypothesize that they're hurt by the MOV cap in the Marshall and E Washington games, and so a mediocre performance against E Carolina really hurts them.

 

[her209]

Uh oh, USC is at #2. Cue the anti-USC crowd.

 

[jpeyton]

Go Ducks!