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Predictions on SSD pricing / sizes?

VirtualLarry

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Seeing as how the 850 EVO is hitting under $400 for a 1TB SSD, I thought I would ask, if any of you want to make a prediction on prices and sizes of SSDs, for Black Friday 2015.

My personal prediction is that 240/256GB MLC SSDs will hit $60 on / by BF 2015.

Longer-term, the introduction of Intel / Micron's 3D NAND, will also cause overall prices to lower. We might be seeing 1TB SSDs for $200-250 by this time next year.
 
I hope that the 256 prices go as low as $60, but i do not think they will go that far,
They still have to leave room for prices of 128gb,

What I think will happen is that the 512gb prices could reach current prices of 256gb, .. so we should see 512gb of MLC for $120~160
 
I hope someone soon makes 2TB $200 drives that might be slow (100 MB/s top speed or faster) but are still reliable. Perfect for NAS on GigE.

More realistically we see "typical" SSDs that hold no interest for me. I'm guessing 256GB become the new standard at a price of $80 by end of 2015.
 
Whoa, the 850 EVO dropped fast. Samsung must have felt immediate pressure from the Mushkin Reactor 1TB @ $389.

Really anxious to see Anandtech's review of the Mushkin, to get a feel for speed/power benefit of the EVO vs. better confidence in the Reactor's MLC instead of TLC.
 
blastingcap said:
I'm guessing 256GB become the new standard...
Click to expand...

I would tend to agree... look at the availability of 60GB SSDs. However, I think they will continue to produce reasonable ~120GB SSDs just to fight for the uneducated price over performance no matter what market, plus an argument can be made that a ~120GB SSD is all you really need for limited applications like a browser/YouTube machine, a low-end laptop, or HTPC/server duty.
 
I live in Utah, not too far from Intel and Microns's IM Flash plant in Lehi. Been hearing a lot of buzz surrounding 3D NAND... crazy to think it's being made in my backyard.
 
I predict we will see SSDs breach $0.25/GB barrier soon. In the next 18-24 months at most. I can see 1 TB SSDs retailing around $250.

We just need IMFT to get their version of 3D NAND in the market and put some pressure on Samsung. Once Hynix and Toshiba also get going, watch out. I would not be surprised if >1TB SSDs retail around $0.15/GB in 2017-2018.

Unlike CPUs -which have become rather boring to follow- flash storage is one segment of industry that is going to see a tremendous amount of growth and churn in the next 24 months. It's crazy, in less than a decade kids will look at platter drives like we look at punched cards. They will find it hard to believe people ever used something so rudimentary for storage.
 
meloz said:
.. in less than a decade kids will look at platter drives like we look at punched cards. They will find it hard to believe people ever used something so rudimentary for storage.
Click to expand...

or, as we now look at 60 year old drives:

5mb harddrive, carried by a fork lift:

5mbgdd.jpg


source: http://hothardware.com/News/A-5MB-Hard-Drive-In-1956-Weighed-A-Ton--Now-Thats-Perspective/
 
Everyone seems to be talking about 2.5" SATA. Screw SATA, I want to start seeing affordable PCIe M.2 NVMe. Instead of 2.5" SSD for OS and HDD for data I want to see super fast M.2 for OS and 2.5" SSD for data.
 
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freeskier93 said:
Everyone seems to be talking about 2.5" SATA. Screw SATA, I want to start seeing affordable PCIe M.2 NVMe. Instead of 2.5" SSD for OS and HDD for data I want to see super fast M.2 for OS and 2.5" SSD for data.
Click to expand...

Pretty sure that we'll see that in 2016 (maybe late 2015) with the Skylake platform, with cheaper 1TB+ 3D TLC NAND SATA6G SSDs for bulk storage.
 
freeskier93 said:
Everyone seems to be talking about 2.5" SATA. Screw SATA, I want to start seeing affordable PCIe M.2 NVMe. Instead of 2.5" SSD for OS and HDD for data I want to see super fast M.2 for OS and 2.5" SSD for data.
Click to expand...

I've got a 3GBps mSATA slot and a 6Gbps SATA port on a rig that probably won't be even close to obsolete performance-wise until 2017 at the earliest. I'm very interested in 2.5" SATA.
 
Just to update, got a 960GB SSD for $175 (after a $25 promo) but still it almost touched $200 for a TB.

Waiting for sub $50 TB so that I can build a all SSD NAS
 
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