I'm going to throw a caveat in........
If the SEC steps up and starts punishing bad behavior (hedge funds, blind shorts, uptick, etc.) then I can very well see the dow at 10k. (It won't hit 11k cuz if it does, there'll be another massive selloff for all the babyboomers)
If the SEC remains the worthless POS that it is and does nothing, hedge funds will prevail and while posting lesser returns than previous, they'll still get away with making their millionaires more than the average mutual and we'll see dow around 9,900!
Scenario #1 --------------> 10,700
Scenario #2 --------------> 9,900