Post your 2024 EC Map predictions!!!

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Indus

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
14,553
10,187
136
IronWing

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
71,951
32,108
136
I'll play this time. I don't think women in Texas are done with patriarchy yet. In Wisconsin, I think the anti-choicers intend to reward the Republicans handsomely.

1729293302338.png
 
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dank69

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
36,925
32,080
136
This is the way it should go if we lived in a sane world:

gDEnD.png



This is what I realistically think could happen:
NdQDL.png


Being as optimistic as possible...NC is the biggest stretch here, obviously. If PA goes to Trump I think we're fucked.
 
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Dave_5k

Platinum Member
May 23, 2017
2,007
3,818
136
Ok, I'll play. I'm also with the Wisconsin flip in a <0.5% recount nailbiter, but Dems holding Michigan and Pennsylvania both in nearly as close of races... and Dems stealing North Carolina helped by their objectively terrible (R) candidate slates for state offices.

Also, election certification deadlines missed by both Michigan and North Carolina when local board members illegally block certification, claiming fraud based on fabricated Musk/Russia amplified evidence widely shared on X and then repeated on Fox.
1729295151779.png
 
SteveGrabowski

SteveGrabowski

Diamond Member
Oct 20, 2014
8,584
7,209
136
I can't fucking believe this election. I just saw Ted Cruz's ad while turning the Yankees-Guardians game on and it literally said his opponent was going to sterilize children and force sex changes on them in the schools if elected to the senate. I'm dead serious, this isn't something from The Onion. And of course Cruz will win because fucking Texas.
 
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IronWing

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
71,951
32,108
136
Dave_5k said:
Ok, I'll play. I'm also with the Wisconsin flip in a <0.5% recount nailbiter, but Dems holding Michigan and Pennsylvania both in nearly as close of races... and Dems stealing North Carolina helped by their objectively terrible (R) candidate slates for state offices.

Also, election certification deadlines missed by both Michigan and North Carolina when local board members illegally block certification, claiming fraud based on fabricated Musk/Russia amplified evidence widely shared on X and then repeated on Fox.
Click to expand...
Having just spent two weeks in NC and coincidentally I also spent two weeks there just prior to the 2020 election, I'm not feeling it. I think Biden 2020 had a better chance there than Harris 2024 and Biden lost the state.
 
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slpaulson

Diamond Member
Jun 5, 2000
4,412
13
81
IronWing said:
I'll play this time. I don't think women in Texas are done with patriarchy yet. In Wisconsin, I think the anti-choicers intend to reward the Republicans handsomely.

View attachment 109676
Click to expand...
So far in Wisconsin the only statewide election that I’m aware of post Roe being overturned that had gone Republican was Ron Johnson for the Senate after a successful attempt to rebrand himself and a huge amount of fear mongering over George Floyd protests. I’m going to be optimistic that Democrats will get another win.

With that said Ron Johnson is an embarrassment, but he made an attempt rebrand himself for the election, and Trump has done none of that. With that said, after how 2016 went, anything is possible.
 
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Indus

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
14,553
10,187
136
IronWing said:
Having just spent two weeks in NC and coincidentally I also spent two weeks there just prior to the 2020 election, I'm not feeling it. I think Biden 2020 had a better chance there than Harris 2024 and Biden lost the state.
Click to expand...

I swung for the fences in the OP but I'm quite nervous about AZ, GA and the blue wall. Was Biden a one off or was Trump a one off?

So much to be decided this time around and no poll, no metric, no reasoning seems to apply.
 
kage69

kage69

Lifer
Jul 17, 2003
30,182
44,346
136
I'm less worried about Georgia thanks to that judge putting the kabash on the magat handcount nonsense. I see other states are fighting the favorite repug tradition of purging voting roles right before an election too.

I'm confident, but still have the heebie jeebies a little as this really is the "Is America Too Dumb To Exist" test. I expect several red states to fail, hard, Harris to dominate the popular vote, and the GQP to try and cheat and steal it's way to the White House again, even if the American people overwhelming say 'piss off' at the voting booth.
 
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A

Amol S.

Platinum Member
Mar 14, 2015
2,570
779
136
Here is actually the most realistic map, if one were to take the average, of aggregated polls in each state, and no leanings.
1729299920101.png
 
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MrSquished

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
25,867
24,196
136
dank69 said:
This is the way it should go if we lived in a sane world:

gDEnD.png



This is what I realistically think could happen:
NdQDL.png


Being as optimistic as possible...NC is the biggest stretch here, obviously. If PA goes to Trump I think we're fucked.
Click to expand...
Your second map is exactly what I would pick as well.
 
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outriding

Diamond Member
Feb 20, 2002
3,931
3,230
136
SteveGrabowski said:
I can't fucking believe this election. I just saw Ted Cruz's ad while turning the Yankees-Guardians game on and it literally said his opponent was going to sterilize children and force sex changes on them in the schools if elected to the senate. I'm dead serious, this isn't something from The Onion. And of course Cruz will win because fucking Texas.
Click to expand...

His opponent should run an ad that goes like…. During the 2021 power outage Ted Cruz ran to Cancun and AOC had to help Texas with the power outage.. vote Ted Cruz out to keep AOC from coming to our state
 
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[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
16,711
15,683
146
outriding said:
His opponent should run an ad that goes like…. During the 2021 power outage Ted Cruz ran to Cancun and AOC had to help Texas with the power outage.. vote Ted Cruz out to keep AOC from coming to our state
Click to expand...
Gotta cut harder than that. 'Ted Cruz wants to take your kids to Cancun and doodle them until election day'.
 
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