I am looking at a 6000 BTU unit, so the up front cost will hopefully be offset much quicker. The bedroom is only about 120~ sq ft, with a descent sized walk in closet, there is a descent sized bathroom but I will attempt to keep that door closed.
Given your description, I'd be strongly inclined to go with an 8000 BTU unit. Yes, serious overkill is a Bad Thing where window ACs are concerned, but I don't think just 2K BTUs of extra capacity will be a problem as far as that's concerned, and it'd be better to spend a
little more now than wind up replacing the 6K unit the first time there's any sort of heat wave lasting more than a couple of days...
The thing is, those broad-guideline-ratings on the boxes don't factor in things like the room being on the top floor of a house (which gets it from both ends, so to speak), and that's all the more true if any of the room's exterior walls face south or west (or HVAC-gods forbid, both south
and west). At the very least, I'd find one of the more sophisticated (using the term loosely) BTU calculators floating around on the web, that factor in things like your climate zone, number of external walls (and/or ceiling), and the direction and extent of their exposure to sunlight rather than relying on those usually-optimistic manufacturer ratings. Another thing to consider is the overnight guest issue - people actually generate more heat than you might think, and a second person in a room with an AC that's just able to manage could tip the scale into the less-than-ideal comfort zone... On the other hand, if you'll be using it more or less only at night, the direct-sun-generated heat won't be an issue once the room has cooled down, or if you'll be running the central air most of the time, then switching over to the window unit only at night.