jonks
Lifer
- Feb 7, 2005
- 13,918
- 20
- 81
Originally posted by: alchemize
Just in case anyone wasn't sure how much of a moron the OP is...
Super Tuesday Won't Decide Nominations
WASHINGTON (AP) - Don't look to crown any presidential nominees on Super Tuesday. The race for delegates is so close in both parties that it is mathematically impossible for any candidate to lock up the nomination on Feb. 5, according to an Associated Press analysis of the states in play that day.
snip
Maybe mathematically it isn't possible, but so what? In most election years the nominee gains momentum and by the 4th or 5th primary the nom is pretty much decided anyway even though mathematically only a few % of nationwide delegates have been accounted for.
To illustrate, for argument's sake, say Hillary does in fact win every single delegate at play during Super Tuesday. No, she doesn't have enough of them to declare victory, but in order for her to lose the nom, Obama would have to win every single delegate in the remaining states without Hillary getting any. Not likely.
If there is a very large split in delegates on Super Tuesay in favor of either Clinton or Obama, I'd expect the other to bow out to ensure party unity as soon as possible. If however the votes remain very close in each state and the delegates more or less evenly split, then by all means take it all the way to the DNC.
