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Oil production limit reached: expert

dartworth

Lifer
An international oil industry expert says the limit of global oil production has been reached.

Academic and former National Iranian Oil Company executive Dr Ali Samsam Bakhtiari has told the Financial Services Institute in Sydney the world's oil fields are producing as much oil as they can.

He says giant fields in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are struggling to meet production targets.

Dr Bakhtiari says the massive output declines in the North Sea oil fields and Mexican oil fields will have a major economic impact.

"Crude oil is the master domino," he said. "When you tumble crude oil, all the other dominos tumble."

Dr Bakhtiari says for the first time in 150 years, the world is entering an era in which it cannot have all the oil it wants.

He says there are five years left to plan priorities for the use of crude oil.

"Some countries don't even know what is happening," he said.

"Some huge companies don't even know what is happening and they are going to be ambushed and trapped and they are going to panic.

"The worst thing you can do is to panic when the prices are going to go sky-high."

He says he does not know how high the price of crude oil has to go to reduce demand but so far, it has tripled in four years.

He says OPEC is already producing as much as it can and new discoveries are small.

"The problem will become the day that you cannot optimise by price," he said.

"You will have to optimise by availability, so there won't be oil for everyone."


ABC TV's Four Corners program this week examines the state of the world's oil reserves. The full program can be seen at 8:30pm tonight.

source
 
All this means is that our oil shale(big)/sands/coal(big) reserves will become economical to extract along with developing alternative fuels more (biodiesel and ethanol) to supplement domestic oil extraction.

The US still has rather vast hydrocarbon reserves compared to the rest of the world and Canada is sitting on an huge oil sands reserve.

The US will keep ticking along just fine.
 
Originally posted by: K1052
All this means is that our oil shale(big)/sands/coal(big) reserves will become economical to extract along with developing alternative fuels more (biodiesel and ethanol) to supplement domestic oil extraction.

The US still has rather vast hydrocarbon reserves compared to the rest of the world and Canada is sitting on an huge oil sands reserve.

The US will keep ticking along just fine.


QFT, it may run out, but as soon as purifying canadas sand becomes cheaper than o'bing dan'gs desert oil pot then the price will stabilize. i remember learning in college that there is enough oil in canadas sand reserves that is about equal to all of the oil in all of the middle east countries combined.
 
Canadas Tar sands is about a 20% net improvement on energy put into it.
Don't pin your hopes on that its uses 4 barrels of water for every barrel of oil it porduces and uses a ton of Natural gas to heat the bitumen to get it to the point you can separate it.

they only produce a million barrels a day now and they hope to be able to do 3 million a day 10 yrs from now, the US uses 20 million a day.
Its more than fear mongering

 
Iraq managed around 3 million briefly just before the first Gulf War and it is around half of that right now. If it ever manages to get semi-stable, it will easily add a few million more barrels. You also have a lot of oil from former Soviet states, or will once they're all set up. Certain countries might be reaching their capacity, but I wouldn't say oil production has reached its limit.
 
This is true, we do this in my course at UNI. Theres two peaks with a natural resource such as oil.

Discovery: The rate at which new supplies are being discovered, this peaked a while ago, around the late 80's i think. New oil supplies are being discovered at a diminishing rate.

Production: The rate at which the products we used are produced from oil, the peak production always happens a little bit after the peak discovery is reached, this is the start of less and less oil, and high and higher prices. Theres tons of alternatives though, they just need to decide on one and kick production of that one alternative into high gear ASAP. Sunflower oil, water? pee? electric, hybrid, hydrogen. Plenty more.

Sweet! i did learn somthing last year!! 😀
 
Originally posted by: Cattlegod
Originally posted by: K1052
All this means is that our oil shale(big)/sands/coal(big) reserves will become economical to extract along with developing alternative fuels more (biodiesel and ethanol) to supplement domestic oil extraction.

The US still has rather vast hydrocarbon reserves compared to the rest of the world and Canada is sitting on an huge oil sands reserve.

The US will keep ticking along just fine.


QFT, it may run out, but as soon as purifying canadas sand becomes cheaper than o'bing dan'gs desert oil pot then the price will stabilize. i remember learning in college that there is enough oil in canadas sand reserves that is about equal to all of the oil in all of the middle east countries combined.
Don't forget the shale oil in Utah/Colorado.
And ANWR

There's pleanty of oil out there... We just have to go get it.
 
Anwar
At the worlds current rate of consumption the 10 billion barrels there would supply the world for 375 days, woohoo just over a yr 🙂
Shale oil will be just as expensive and hard to get as tar sand oil and world demand will keep driving the price up.

Its not all about the oil its about the ability to supply oil in a world where demand keeps rising.
 
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