So just to be clear, you are saying that the Colts are stupid and/or short sighted for not intentionally losing the game? A QB drafted #1 basically has a 50/50 chance of making it BTW if you go back and look at the draft history.
I do agree Manning and Luck could have coexisted ala Farve/Rodgers, never understood the rhetoric from the media and fans that if Luck were to end up a Colt, Manning would have to go. Been meaning to ask IndyColtsFan about that.
The only problem I have with this Favre/Rodgers to Manning/Luck ideal is that Rodgers was the 24th pick in the 2005 draft. You look at guys like Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, and Matt Stafford. Each of them entered the league and started right away. If Luck is the best thing to come out since Manning, it would be an absolute waste of talent to let him ride the pine for 2 years or so while Manning finishes out his career.
Further, unless the Colts are able to get Manning to rework his deal, the odds of them paying Manning a 28 million dollar bonus, plus a 10+ million dollar salary, plus a 5-6 million dollar salary to Luck... well, lets just say that they'd be paying a boatload at the QB position.
To me, if the Colts are going to keep Manning around, and if they end up with the #1 overall pick, they need to seriously look at trading it. Trade it for a top 10 pick this year, plus a 2nd or 3rd, plus a 1st next year. I would figure the numbers to work out somewhere around there.
In any case, I still look at Luck as an unproven commodity. People were all hot to trot on Sam Bradford's pro-day performance, and where is he at in his second year? His completion percentage is worse than Curtis Painter's. He's 3rd from the bottom in terms of passer rating, and he's thrown a measly 6 tds this year.
So, with all the hoopla of the Colts screwing themselves... I don't see it. Luck may be the best passer in the league in 5-10 years, and he may be out of the league in 5-10 years. There is no guarantee with college players, just ask Ryan Leaf, who some considered a better prospect than... GASP... Peyton Manning.
Personally, I would like to see the Colts draft a player than can contribute to this team while Manning is still on the roster. If they lose Wayne, I could see Justin Blackmon being a decent pick. Morris Claiborne or Dre Kirkpatrick could shore up the secondary which seems to be one of the weak links on the team. Looking throw mocks, I don't see any standouts at DT, which is something the Colts really, really need, but that position could be addressed with the 2nd round selection, which will be extremely close to a late first which they are used to using anyway. Then, address Manning's backup / potential replacement in the 3rd (possibly Russel Wilson or Brandon Weeden).
I guess I just have a hard time seeing how Luck is a lock at being superb. There were even questions about Manning early in his career. As a Colts fan, if there is a legitimate opportunity for Manning to return and play next year, I don't want to see a 1st overall pick used on a guy that won't be given many opportunities to contribute if Manning remains healthy. Instead, address a weakness on a 2-13 team that can't seem to do anything when missing their one franchise player. I seem to recall a certain Patriots team that succeeded (mostly) when their franchise player was on the pine.