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*OFFICIAL* "Hurricane" Irene thread

UNCjigga

UNCjigga

Lifer
Usually we'd have 2 named storms by now, but this year we have 9. And 'The Day After Tomorrow' was pure fiction, right?

Anyways, current forecasts from NOAA/NWS/NHC as of 11pm August 10th put this one at hurricane strength by Sunday, threatening the Eastern seaboard by Tuesday as a Category 1-2 storm.

UPDATE August 12: Irene forecast as Category 1 storm, possibly brushing US coast before turning away. Hopefully jetstream shear may stop it before it hits.

National Hurricane Center link

Five Day Forecast Track

"Irene" XML feed
 
wow, that's pretty gay. my friend is coming down to miami next week. that fvker better divert back from where it came.


=|
 
We're selling a house in N.Central FL, if you Miami people want to get a little further away.. 😉
 
Actually Miami may be spared...if this one stays on track it spells a bad week for NC/VA and possibly DC, Baltimore, Philly, NYC and other cities in the Northeast.
 
I agree, move to Michigan, you get nice summers, crap winters and no bad weather in between. The worst Michigan ever gets is a few thunderstorms... a very, very occasional tornado, and a few blizzards, but the blizzards are fun, so it all equals out. California doesn't get bad weather either really, they just get HUGE quakes.
 
I think I'll be fine here in Rochester, NY but I was planning a trip to Boston and NYC late next week...the remnants of Irene might make that trip miserable.
 
I saw that today. After the long heat wave finally broke, it was just time until we were hit by a hurricane. Freek, I hate living where there are hurricanes and pine trees.
 
Not looking good folks...hopefully it'll be really weak but even so a Cat 1 or Cat 2 storm in the mid-Atlantic states will be trouble.
 
Weather patterns are forcing it northward.

Potential for kissing the NY/Long area. Long range forcasts look like nasty wather only for the mid-Atlantic.
 
Originally posted by: EagleKeeper
Weather patterns are forcing it northward.

Potential for kissing the NY/Long area. Long range forcasts look like nasty wather only for the mid-Atlantic.
Click to expand...
Yeppers. Updated forecasts now show an east-moving ridge slowing down the Irene's N-NW movement, eventually may stop Irene in its tracks and turn it east.

Still potential for it brushing NY/Long Island and the New England coast.

From the 11am EDT August 12 NHC discussion:
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
AROUND A STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AS THE RIDGE MOVES
EASTWARD...IRENE SHOULD TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND
NORTH INTO AN AREA OF LIGHT STEERING CURRENTS. THIS WOULD RESULT IN
A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BEYOND 3 DAYS AND IN
FACT...IRENE COULD BEGIN MEANDERING. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MANY
OF THE GLOBAL MODELS WHICH SHOW BASICALLY VERY WEAK STEERING FLOW
NEAR THE 3 TO 5 DAY FORECAST POSITION OF IRENE. EVENTUALLY...A
WESTERLY STEERING FLOW SHOULD BECOME ESTABLISHED WHICH SHOULD TURN
THE CYCLONE AWAY FROM THE US COAST. THAT IS STILL TOO FAR IN THE
FUTURE TO BE CERTAIN.
Click to expand...
 
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