Official Hurricane Fay thread...

[dmcowen674]

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: Chaotic42
It looks like the computer models are still not sure about where it's going.

The yellow tracks look good for NC. Our state needs a good soaker.

i thought so too this morning but if you look at the current drought status, it's gotten a lot better. don't need it as much as i thought.

They're still in extreme drought in western NC. In the Triangle, we're barely at normal rainfall for the year and several inches behind since the middle of last year.

I don't see it making the extreme left hand turn in Georgia like they are showing.

You guys should get some rain up there.

 

[thescreensavers]

Just some rain here. North Miami!

 

[JohnCU]

Originally posted by: dmcowen674

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: Chaotic42
It looks like the computer models are still not sure about where it's going.

The yellow tracks look good for NC. Our state needs a good soaker.

i thought so too this morning but if you look at the current drought status, it's gotten a lot better. don't need it as much as i thought.

They're still in extreme drought in western NC. In the Triangle, we're barely at normal rainfall for the year and several inches behind since the middle of last year.

I don't see it making the extreme left hand turn in Georgia like they are showing.

You guys should get some rain up there.

thanks prophet. glad you know more than the NHC.

 

[alkemyst]

freaking media calling in Killer Storm Kay and crap...should be uneventful, but I am sure the irk of the earth will be making insurance claims.

 

[JohnCU]

holy crap, check out this radar

http://radar.weather.gov/radar...rlay=11101111&loop=yes

it looks like it's getting better organized over land, weird.

 

[aphex]

still waiting for the first drop of rain here in Sarasota

 

[Reel]

Looks like the path predictions are putting it right over me later today. It is supposed to slow down around here too.

 

[aphex]

Ahhh. I love stupid people.

http://cbs4.com/local/Kite.Surfer.las.2.798049.html

 

[loup garou]

Originally posted by: aphex
Ahhh. I love stupid people.

http://cbs4.com/local/Kite.Surfer.las.2.798049.html

Saw that on the news this morning. What a fucking moron.

 

[buck]

Glad to hear everyone is ok in Florida.

 

[BUTCH1]

Wow, 9:00PM update, it's stationary, sitting in the middle of the state sucking up swampwater and thriving. Weathermen have never seen a tropical system GAIN 10MPH in wind speed and form an eyewall while over land. The outer bandsare about 15 miles from my house, (Daytona), I was watching them pummel New Smyrna beach at sunset. Storm is supposed to enter the Atlantic (and the gulf stream), strenthen to a class 1-2 hurricane then smack FL again, possibly to cross the state and enter the gulf (warm) waters and pummel someone else. This is major weather freaky..

 

[Reel]

Fay is still here. I have another day off from work. My yard has sprouted several ponds. I wonder how much rain would be necessary for the entire yard to turn into a pond. I hope a break in the rain comes soon so I can let my dog out.

 

[BUTCH1]

Originally posted by: Reel
Fay is still here. I have another day off from work. My yard has sprouted several ponds. I wonder how much rain would be necessary for the entire yard to turn into a pond. I hope a break in the rain comes soon so I can let my dog out.

It's stationary again, they sent us home today @ noon and told us to stay home tomorrow too. Crazy rain amounts from Melbourne-Coco area, some are already over 30" and could get more..

 

[Reel]

Originally posted by: BUTCH1

Originally posted by: Reel
Fay is still here. I have another day off from work. My yard has sprouted several ponds. I wonder how much rain would be necessary for the entire yard to turn into a pond. I hope a break in the rain comes soon so I can let my dog out.

It's stationary again, they sent us home today @ noon and told us to stay home tomorrow too. Crazy rain amounts from Melbourne-Coco area, some are already over 30" and could get more..

Here is the view from my house:
1
2
3
4

It is still raining strong too. I am in the South end of Melbourne.

 

[BUTCH1]

Wow, any more water for you and your gonna need a U-boat to get to the store!. Hopefully it doesn't get into your house, at least the power is still on for 'ya. I get the feeling we will get ours in Voulsia tonight or sometime tomorrow..

 

[JohnCU]

Originally posted by: dmcowen674

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: Chaotic42
It looks like the computer models are still not sure about where it's going.

The yellow tracks look good for NC. Our state needs a good soaker.

i thought so too this morning but if you look at the current drought status, it's gotten a lot better. don't need it as much as i thought.

They're still in extreme drought in western NC. In the Triangle, we're barely at normal rainfall for the year and several inches behind since the middle of last year.

I don't see it making the extreme left hand turn in Georgia like they are showing.

You guys should get some rain up there.

and dave is wrong again as fay begins to take its turn west back into florida.

 

[pcslookout]

Originally posted by: pcslookout

Originally posted by: Common Courtesy
CAt1s are just like an itch to be scratched and that is all. No need to go through special preparations.

That is what everyone thought about Tropical Storm all Allison and look what she did.

Looks like I was right Tropical Storm Fay is very similar to Tropical Storm Allison.

 

[OCGuy]

What is up with the thread title?

 

[Gibson486]

My gf is flying to Jacksonville to visit family tonight (they live in near Daytona where Flagler beach is...which is gonna be hit worse?). Should I be worried? SHe should be there around midnight.

 

[FlashG]

Originally posted by: Gibson486
My gf is flying to Jacksonville to visit family tonight (they live in near Daytona where Flagler beach is...which is gonna be hit worse?). Should I be worried? SHe should be there around midnight.

I live in the NW corner if St Johns county just south of Jacksonville and I wouldn't be worried.

 

[dmcowen674]

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: dmcowen674

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: Chaotic42
It looks like the computer models are still not sure about where it's going.

The yellow tracks look good for NC. Our state needs a good soaker.

i thought so too this morning but if you look at the current drought status, it's gotten a lot better. don't need it as much as i thought.

They're still in extreme drought in western NC. In the Triangle, we're barely at normal rainfall for the year and several inches behind since the middle of last year.

I don't see it making the extreme left hand turn in Georgia like they are showing.

You guys should get some rain up there.

and dave is wrong again as fay begins to take its turn west back into florida.

Bullcrap

Outflow is already over Western North Carolina increasing humidity.

Georgia is going to start getting much needed rain along the Georgia/Florida border.

It's fighting against that high big time.

These systems can make theri own weather envelope that's why computer only forcasts are routinely so far off.

They gotten better but to rely on them 100% is just wrong.

They are still showing it making it to the Mississippi/Louisiana border.

I still think it will force it's way up along the Alabama/Georgia border.

Either way hopefully some rain makes it to the parched areas in western north carolina.

 

[JohnCU]

Originally posted by: dmcowen674

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: dmcowen674

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: JohnCU

Originally posted by: aldamon

Originally posted by: Chaotic42
It looks like the computer models are still not sure about where it's going.

The yellow tracks look good for NC. Our state needs a good soaker.

i thought so too this morning but if you look at the current drought status, it's gotten a lot better. don't need it as much as i thought.

They're still in extreme drought in western NC. In the Triangle, we're barely at normal rainfall for the year and several inches behind since the middle of last year.

I don't see it making the extreme left hand turn in Georgia like they are showing.

You guys should get some rain up there.

and dave is wrong again as fay begins to take its turn west back into florida.

Bullcrap

Outflow is already over Western North Carolina increasing humidity.

Georgia is going to start getting much needed rain along the Georgia/Florida border.

It's fighting against that high big time.

These systems can make theri own weather envelope that's why computer only forcasts are routinely so far off.

They gotten better but to rely on them 100% is just wrong.

They are still showing it making it to the Mississippi/Louisiana border.

I still think it will force it's way up along the Alabama/Georgia border.

Either way hopefully some rain makes it to the parched areas in western north carolina.

nope, you said you didn't think it would make the western turn like it's doing right now. it's quoted, you were wrong, deal with it.

and where the fuck do you see rain in western NC on this radar?

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast_loop.php

some outflow, yes, but it's not doing anything for us
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR4.html

 

[chowmein]

Fort Walton checking in. I hope i get evac'd ... tons of per diem.

 

[aphex]

http://www.bradenton.com/news/...news/story/829806.html

 

[dmcowen674]

Originally posted by: JohnCU

nope, you said you didn't think it would make the western turn like it's doing right now. it's quoted, you were wrong, deal with it.

and where the fuck do you see rain in western NC on this radar?

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast_loop.php

some outflow, yes, but it's not doing anything for us
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR4.html

I said it is not going to make it as far as Louisiana like they have been showing.

In fact right now it looks like it is starting to go north.

When it rains from Fay will you stand outside for me?


Edit: Even they are starting to lean my way

FAY CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY
MIDDLE-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.

THIS HIGH IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN 3 DAYS OR SO.

THEREAFTER...FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND SHOULD BEGIN TO DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AS A REMNANT LOW.

THIS IS BASICALLY THE SOLUTION PROVIDED BY MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS AND TRACK GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS.

REGARDLESS OF ITS EXACT TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING RATHER SLOWLY
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...POSING A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOOD HAZARD TO A VERY LARGE AREA.