October jobs report: Hiring picks up

Page 3 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

nick1985

Lifer
Dec 29, 2002
27,153
6
81
What's your team?

Don't have a team, per say. I root for scenarios that highlight the retardation known as the BCS that allow for teams like Boise St, a team that hasn't lost in over 2 years, to not get a chance to compete for the national championship. A playoff is needed.

I guess to answer your question, my "team" is Boise St., TCU, Utah, and whoever plays Oregon, Auburn, and Alabama (except when they play Auburn later this season)
 

Throckmorton

Lifer
Aug 23, 2007
16,829
3
0
3 pages of worthless posts

mobiletroll.jpg
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
Did this report actually come out yesterday? I'm having a hard time understanding the market's drastic reaction yesterday being attributed to Berneke's expected action and then being down today with this unexpected good news.

Even going to MSN's money page I see this:
Sluggish job market weighs on stocks
The US economy added twice as many jobs as expected in October.

WTF?

I heard a radio news report that said this was double the number of jobs economists thought had been created. Then I heard another radio news report that said this was half the number of jobs economists expected would be created. WTF indeed. If economists THOUGHT in September that in October the economy would create 300,000 jobs, but then in November thought the economy had created only 68,000 jobs, then I suppose this is technically possible, but it's certainly odd.

At least the OP's link specifically said "economists surveyed by CNNMoney.com". The radio news reports both just said "economists".
 

RbSX

Diamond Member
Jan 18, 2002
8,351
1
76
Wait, just yesterday I was reading that there was a loss of 60,000 jobs. I will try and dig up the article.

Oops I was thinking initial unemployment benefits claims.

Still though, 150,000 is not nearly enough to make a dent in overall unemployment.

The unemployment rate is still 9.6 (u1) and 17% (u6)
 
Last edited:

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
Before you pop open the Coors Light, wait for the Trend.

Obviously it might not be great news, but even if it's nothing but a blip it's still good news, if only because for one fall month we didn't sink farther.
 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
If The Economy Is Recovering why is the number of people on food stamps up 17% from last year?

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/11/04/some-14-of-us-uses-food-stamps/

These are cold hard numbers not BLS bullshit. Who stop counting people, don't count independent contractors, small business that went under and so on.

Be careful what you choose to believe can cost you money as an investor.
 
Last edited:

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
If The Economy Is Recovering why is the number of people on food stamps up 17% from last year?

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/11/04/some-14-of-us-uses-food-stamps/

These are cold hard numbers not BLS bullshit. Who stop counting people, don't count independent contractors, small business that went under and so on.

Be careful what you choose to believe can cost you money as an investor.

The economy is NOT recovering, but it has largely stopped hemorrhaging. 150,000 new jobs is merely keeping pace with population growth, but after two years of NOT keeping pace with population growth, that's still good news.
 

RbSX

Diamond Member
Jan 18, 2002
8,351
1
76
Obviously it might not be great news, but even if it's nothing but a blip it's still good news, if only because for one fall month we didn't sink farther.

I can't wait for this to pop.

The futures markets have gone up on every little blip of good news, and even bad news when it increased the chances of further QE.

It's a great irony, of course, that even bad news was perceived as good.

The markets are far too high for where they should be.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
I can't wait for this to pop.

The futures markets have gone up on every little blip of good news, and even bad news when it increased the chances of further QE.

It's a great irony, of course, that even bad news was perceived as good.

The markets are far too high for where they should be.
Can we at least agree that October's jobs numbers are way less bad? LOL
 
Oct 30, 2004
11,442
32
91
151,000 jobs? Ah, good. I wonder if most of them were poverty-wage service jobs. 151,000 is just enough to keep pace with the population growth of working-aged people for the month. Still, keeping pace with population growth is better than another month of falling behind.
 

Zebo

Elite Member
Jul 29, 2001
39,398
19
81
The economy is NOT recovering, but it has largely stopped hemorrhaging. 150,000 new jobs is merely keeping pace with population growth, but after two years of NOT keeping pace with population growth, that's still good news.


It's a lie. That's my point.

This is what's called the "birth-death" model which is just a guess.

And always is overstated to pump and dump but public never catches on for some reason.


The Household Survey, more accurate, but still off by about 20K and get revised accordingly, tells a different story. About 120K
http://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ces_cps_trends.pdf
 

woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
Did this report actually come out yesterday? I'm having a hard time understanding the market's drastic reaction yesterday being attributed to Berneke's expected action and then being down today with this unexpected good news.

Even going to MSN's money page I see this:
Sluggish job market weighs on stocks
The US economy added twice as many jobs as expected in October.

WTF?

Yesterday (Thursday), the market over-reacted to the news of the Fed plan and it went up too much. It tends to do that. Today would have been a sizeable downward plummet as a correction, but the good jobs report kept the market about even.

- wolf
 

hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
26,379
12,523
136
Yesterday (Thursday), the market over-reacted to the news of the Fed plan and it went up too much. It tends to do that. Today would have been a sizeable downward plummet as a correction, but the good jobs report kept the market about even.

- wolf

Yep, basic profit taking by the day traders.