NWS and their "slight chance of rain"

[Demon-Xanth]

For about a month now the national weather service has been predicting a a slight chance of rain (20%) two days from now. It has yet to rain here in the last month. Yet they keep predicting it the same amount of time out. WTF?!

 

[Ryan]

Congratulations - welcome to the wonderful fact that weather prediction isn't an exact science.

 

[nakedfrog]

The forecaster is skipping, somebody needs to thump him on the side.

 

[QED]

If you live a somewhat rainy area (specifically, an area where is rains one-fifth of the time), a constant but generic "20% chance of rain" prediction might not be too bad over the long haul.

 

[MotionMan]

Originally posted by: Demon-Xanth
For about a month now the national weather service has been predicting a a slight chance of rain (20%) two days from now. It has yet to rain here in the last month. Yet they keep predicting it the same amount of time out. WTF?!

Read up on Chaos Theory, especially the part about weather.

MotionMan

 

[AkumaX]

hmm think i might rent that cheezy B rated straight to DVD movie Chaos because of this