- Nov 7, 2018
People KEEP focusing on THE WRONG THING. This is going to sound callous but it's NOT the deaths that matter: it's the hospitalizations, both "regular" and ICU.If the CDC estimates that only one in 7.2 infections are reported in the USA since February and we have 21 million reported cases then they are essentially saying that we will be cruising past 50% immunity before the vaccine had the chance to make a dent (US population is only 328 million). While that's not enough for herd immunity it will certainly slow things down soon. Not the way I would've preferred, considering we already have the vaccine. More realistically, there are probably enough active cases right now that it ain't really slowing down until these morons finish infecting a good bit of the remaining 50%.
It's the STUPID amount of people in potential need of hospitalization that have driven countries to enact lockdowns SINCE MARCH (and even earlier, in China's case): they realized that, left unchecked, the hospital system WILL COLLAPSE.
Many countries have opted to have "soft localized lockdowns" after having had a more severe lockdown earlier in the year. How's that working out? Let's ask UK, Germany, to name but a few ...
I've said it before and i'll say it again: it's better to have a HARD lockdown with severe measures that lasts around 1 to 2 months (depending on the number of cases BEFORE starting it), with the economic consequences that carries, than to have "soft localized lockdowns" that work dubiously @ best if @ all, but for a MUCH MORE PROLONGED period of time, which ends up having A BIGGER IMPACT on the economy in the long run.