Newest polling showing Republicans gaining traction ahead of tomorrow's election

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Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
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WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - The races that will determine control of the Senate remain toss-ups, but weekend polls show that Republicans may be enjoying a late-breaking boost on a nationwide status that could ensure they'll retain control of the House. The so-called generic ballot question, which asks voters which party they'll support in their midterm congressional election, gave an advantage to Republicans in the latest USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll.

The weekend survey showed that in House races, likely voters preferred Republicans to Democrats 51-45 percent, a 9-point shift from two weeks ago when Democrats led Republicans 49-46 percent, USA Today said. The GOP's 6-point advantage mirrors the lead the party held in the days leading up to the 1994 election, when the GOP won control of the House and Senate, the newspaper noted.

A CBS News/New York Times poll released Saturday also showed Republicans leading on the generic ballot, 44 to 41 percent. Among the smaller subsample of likely voters, the GOP held a 47 to 41 percent edge. The margin of error for likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The Gallup poll indicated that the Democrats' central campaign focus on the economy was failing to pay dividends as jitters over the nation's economic outlook declined. The poll found that those who said the economy was getting worse fell from 59 percent two weeks ago to 51 percent, the newspaper said. "Democrats were counting on worry about the economy to boost them, and that decreased in the last two weeks," said Frank Newport, Gallup poll editor-in-chief.

In the House, Republicans have also enjoyed a financial advantage in the campaign drawing to a close. In the campaign's final days, for example, they had the funds to launch advertising campaigns against Democrats in Utah, Kansas, California and Tennessee, possibly enabling them to claim a seat or two that once seemed out of their reach, the Associated Press reported.

Democrats would need to make a net gain of six seats to take control of the House. The GOP would need to make a pickup of one seat to regain control of the Senate.