New platter drive(Velociraptor... etc) in the future?

allthatisman

Senior member
Dec 21, 2008
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I was just kind of curious with all the hype/praise of SSD's lately, what are the big names in platter drives doing about all of this? The velociraptor, for example is a pinnacle of platter drive tech, but are there any plans to make this or any other drive like it faster, more competative with SSD's? I for one have an SSD, and while it is fast I have a feeling that if WD wanted to they could make the VR faster and bigger and certainly be even bigger a threat to SSD's. My major gripe about the SSD is that the size and price are tough to swallow(even though I did...) and that article about Intel SSD's losing speed as the OS becomes fragmented is concerning to me. Hopefully they can resolve this through software... but back to the topic, anyone have any thoughts or info on new drives?
 

Blain

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
23,643
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Originally posted by: allthatisman
I for one have an SSD, and while it is fast I have a feeling that if WD wanted to they could make the VR faster and bigger and certainly be even bigger a threat to SSD's.
Why does WD have to, they're best in class right now?

 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
13,576
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id say the pinnacle of platter tech is the 2TB WD greenpower... for speed the velociraptor is impressively fast, but it does not compare to SCSI 15k rpm drives, which in turn don't compare to specialized SSD implementations (not the kinds you see in newegg...)

and SSDs just win... i don't expect to see another velociraptor.
 

SickBeast

Lifer
Jul 21, 2000
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I'm pretty sure WD just came out with 500gb platters, so I guess it's possible they could make a new Raptor with them.

IMO SSDs are better.
 

TC91

Golden Member
Jul 9, 2007
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I freaking hope there will be a new raptor drive... right now it seems too late to grab a velociraptor. I was gona get one in sept but my local store was sold out and prices now are higher than they were then (I'm in Canada). A 1.8inch platter drive with a 15k rpm motor would be nice for the next raptor drive...
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
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Originally posted by: TC91
I freaking hope there will be a new raptor drive... right now it seems too late to grab a velociraptor. I was gona get one in sept but my local store was sold out and prices now are higher than they were then (I'm in Canada). A 1.8inch platter drive with a 15k rpm motor would be nice for the next raptor drive...

I thought for sure if they were ever going to debut a 15k rpm raptor it was going to be with the release of the velocipator.

IMO they missed a critical opportunity to differentiate their raptor enthusiast line from the encroaching performance of the mainstream 7200rpm drives from below and the ever declining GB/$ performance SSD's from above.

Pretty sure their raptors are in a checkmate situation, but the game may have 1 or 2 more moves until this eventuality is finalized with a tipping over of the king.
 

Zap

Elite Member
Oct 13, 1999
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Originally posted by: taltamir
i don't expect to see another velociraptor.

Why not? It would be easy for WD to crank out 500GB VelociRaptors using the platter density technology from the 2TB drive. Crank the RPMs a bit higher to get a bit more performance and reduce latencies a hair. Then, sell it for under $200. You'd have a drive at per-gigabyte price points that SSDs still can't touch, coupled with consistent performance.

About the only thing that a platter HDD can't touch with SSDs at this time is access times. For transfer rates*, HDDs are still competitive. For capacity, HDDs can't be touched.

*For the price of a top end SSD such as the Intel 80GB, you can buy two 150GB VelociRaptors for RAID0 and get almost as good transfer rate, three times the write speeds, four times the capacity and go home with $100 in your pocket.
 

SickBeast

Lifer
Jul 21, 2000
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Originally posted by: Zap
Originally posted by: taltamir
i don't expect to see another velociraptor.

Why not? It would be easy for WD to crank out 500GB VelociRaptors using the platter density technology from the 2TB drive. Crank the RPMs a bit higher to get a bit more performance and reduce latencies a hair. Then, sell it for under $200. You'd have a drive at per-gigabyte price points that SSDs still can't touch, coupled with consistent performance.

About the only thing that a platter HDD can't touch with SSDs at this time is access times. For transfer rates*, HDDs are still competitive. For capacity, HDDs can't be touched.

*For the price of a top end SSD such as the Intel 80GB, you can buy two 150GB VelociRaptors for RAID0 and get almost as good transfer rate, three times the write speeds, four times the capacity and go home with $100 in your pocket.

I'm pretty sure that the newer SSDs are getting 240mb/s read speed. Can a Raptor really keep up with that?

I personally can't understand the people still interested in Raptors and 15K Cheetahs when SSDs are better all-around for similar cost. You can even pop one into a laptop which is fantastic.
 

chizow

Diamond Member
Jun 26, 2001
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Rumor from Jun 08 about a 20K VelociRaptor

I'd say there's still a small window for high RPM HDDs to succeed, but that window is quickly closing. Once SSDs increase capacity a bit and hit the $1-1.50 per GB range they'll be ready for mainstream consumption. They're getting pretty close to that price range, they just need to boost capacity imo.

But ya I think a 20K RPM 500GB VelociRaptor would still do very well priced at maybe $250 in today's SSD climate. Now we just need WD to execute. :)
 

Rubycon

Madame President
Aug 10, 2005
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Originally posted by: SickBeast


I'm pretty sure that the newer SSDs are getting 240mb/s read speed. Can a Raptor really keep up with that?

I personally can't understand the people still interested in Raptors and 15K Cheetahs when SSDs are better all-around for similar cost. You can even pop one into a laptop which is fantastic.


Because STR is not really of importance with everyday use. The folks that really work with their pc's also want to be able to get things done yesterday! Funny how the biggest complaint of current desktop SSD's is when multi tasking. They even have tweaks to reduce this defect. Spindles are definitely still IN for fact. Unless you have millions to spend on a true ram storage solution, 15K SAS/FCAL arrays attached to intelligent hosts are where the performance in the real world exists.

There will probably be no (moving part) successor to the Velociraptor. They may have their own branded SSD but let's concentrate on fixing the serious issues SSD's have right now!

SSD's in portable computers are a definite advantage particularly when capacities improve AND the mobile chipsets get i/o enhancements to take advantage of the improved (quick) access to information and reduced latencies.
 

mooseracing

Golden Member
Mar 9, 2006
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Originally posted by: taltamir
id say the pinnacle of platter tech is the 2TB WD greenpower... for speed the velociraptor is impressively fast, but it does not compare to SCSI 15k rpm drives, which in turn don't compare to specialized SSD implementations (not the kinds you see in newegg...)

and SSDs just win... i don't expect to see another velociraptor.


SCSI is slow comapred to todays SAS drives. Even SATA sucks when multitaksing comapred to SAS, but the outlay is wallet emptying. Not mention HD's are still a huge bottleneck in a system, it takes multiple ones to load up the bus.

I agree with what Ruby said though.
 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
13,576
6
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Originally posted by: Zap
Originally posted by: taltamir
i don't expect to see another velociraptor.

Why not? It would be easy for WD to crank out 500GB VelociRaptors using the platter density technology from the 2TB drive. Crank the RPMs a bit higher to get a bit more performance and reduce latencies a hair. Then, sell it for under $200. You'd have a drive at per-gigabyte price points that SSDs still can't touch, coupled with consistent performance.

About the only thing that a platter HDD can't touch with SSDs at this time is access times. For transfer rates*, HDDs are still competitive. For capacity, HDDs can't be touched.

*For the price of a top end SSD such as the Intel 80GB, you can buy two 150GB VelociRaptors for RAID0 and get almost as good transfer rate, three times the write speeds, four times the capacity and go home with $100 in your pocket.

they could, but it is a big gamble with investing money into developing such a drive, where they can see how clearly drives like the intel X25-E have dominated... and the intel switch to 32nm in Q4 of THIS YEAR for SSD tech, as well as the rush of companies like samsung and others to compete with intel, makes such a prospect too risky. They will develop a drive that will be expensive, small, and most likely only hold the crown for a VERY short time... they don't need to make a better product, they need to make a PROFITABLE product, and such a product has too great a risk of not being profitable.

On the other hand, any investment into tech improvement in SSD will yield results for many drive generations to come, as they are clearly outtaking the market. This is why companies STOPPED development of CRTs long before LCDs reached CRT quality. There was a market willing to buy it, there was just no money in continuing development of it.
 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
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Originally posted by: mooseracing
Originally posted by: taltamir
id say the pinnacle of platter tech is the 2TB WD greenpower... for speed the velociraptor is impressively fast, but it does not compare to SCSI 15k rpm drives, which in turn don't compare to specialized SSD implementations (not the kinds you see in newegg...)

and SSDs just win... i don't expect to see another velociraptor.


SCSI is slow comapred to todays SAS drives. Even SATA sucks when multitaksing comapred to SAS, but the outlay is wallet emptying. Not mention HD's are still a huge bottleneck in a system, it takes multiple ones to load up the bus.

I agree with what Ruby said though.

SAS = Serial Attached SCSI.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serial_Attached_SCSI
 

Zap

Elite Member
Oct 13, 1999
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Originally posted by: SickBeast
Originally posted by: Zap
*For the price of a top end SSD such as the Intel 80GB, you can buy two 150GB VelociRaptors for RAID0 and get almost as good transfer rate, three times the write speeds, four times the capacity and go home with $100 in your pocket.

I'm pretty sure that the newer SSDs are getting 240mb/s read speed. Can a Raptor really keep up with that?

Re-read what I wrote. TWO in RAID0. Lower cost, similar read performance, faster write performance, much more capacity.

But yeah, not for laptops. Actually, SSDs are great for laptops where typically you don't need as much storage and they are not as fragile as HDDs.

Desktops? IMO not ready for prime time.

Originally posted by: chizow
Once SSDs increase capacity a bit and hit the $1-1.50 per GB range they'll be ready for mainstream consumption. They're getting pretty close to that price range, they just need to boost capacity imo.

Are memory manufacturers going to be able to do that profitably in the near term? Most of them are in financial trouble due to crumbling costs and some (Qimonda for one) has even filed bankruptcy.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
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Originally posted by: Zap
Originally posted by: chizow
Once SSDs increase capacity a bit and hit the $1-1.50 per GB range they'll be ready for mainstream consumption. They're getting pretty close to that price range, they just need to boost capacity imo.

Are memory manufacturers going to be able to do that profitably in the near term? Most of them are in financial trouble due to crumbling costs and some (Qimonda for one) has even filed bankruptcy.

Without a doubt the current SSD price-structure and recent rate of declines in prices are 100% non-sustainable and are being completely subsidized by the over-stocked Flash markets.

Is there a recovery in NAND?

The overall average selling price for NAND dropped by 32 percent in the fourth quarter alone, according to the DRAMeXchange. Total sales of NAND flash for ''branded products'' were $2.227 billion, down 19.3 percent quarter-over-quarter, according to the firm.

But now, some see a recovery in the third quarter of this year. Others don't.

Suddenly, however, NAND flash prices have been on the rise for about two months, with the majority of product tags up about 5 percent over the last week, said Joseph Unsworth, an analyst with Gartner Inc. (Stamford, Conn.).

The price recovery has been led by 8-Gbit, multi-level cell (MLC) products, which have jumped by up to 22.7 percent on the spot market over the last week, according to the firm. For the seven-day period ended Feb. 13, 8-Gbit MLC has ranged from $2.70 to $3.00.

''The NAND industry appears to be poised for a price recovery, but it will be tenuous for three reasons: (1) a barren demand environment; (2) quick capacity additions by raising depressed utilization rates, and (3) price increases temper end demand,'' he said.

http://www.eetimes.com/news/se...l;?articleID=214303331

So yeah, I wouldn't take the price-activity of the past 3 months to be indicative of the pace of price declines we can expect to see in the forthcoming quarters.
 

Denithor

Diamond Member
Apr 11, 2004
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Actually, I don't know about that - with the move to smaller manufacturing the build costs will go down significantly so even with the same margins the prices should continue to drop.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
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Originally posted by: Denithor
Actually, I don't know about that - with the move to smaller manufacturing the build costs will go down significantly so even with the same margins the prices should continue to drop.

That's covered in the article as well. It is seen as a move that will stabilize prices, not enable continued waves of losses at the manufacturers so that we consumers can see additional price cuts on our consumer devices.

For sure the general pricing trend is down, I'm just cautioning against the desire to take the slope of that downward trend (especially the recent portion of it) and project/extrapolate that to the future.

We got ahead of ourselves here with the recent price-cuts on SSD's. Our prices should not have been this low until Q4 timeframe if the markets were reducing prices in a sustainable fashion.

As such we really ought to expect a bit of a plateau here for a while as businesses scale back their operations so they stop bleeding cash. That means lowered supply as they try and find a supply/demand point that results in the $/GB being high enough that they can break-even at worse.

No different than the DRAM market really, same players too.
 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
13,576
6
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well, yes. Price drops only occur when newer, better, drives are introduced. Not when the manufacturer cuts costs. Expecting the trend to continue downwards at the same RATE is naive, we could easily end up with a dry spell where no new (good) drives are released, and as such there will be no more price drops.
 

mooseracing

Golden Member
Mar 9, 2006
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Originally posted by: taltamir
Originally posted by: mooseracing
Originally posted by: taltamir
id say the pinnacle of platter tech is the 2TB WD greenpower... for speed the velociraptor is impressively fast, but it does not compare to SCSI 15k rpm drives, which in turn don't compare to specialized SSD implementations (not the kinds you see in newegg...)

and SSDs just win... i don't expect to see another velociraptor.


SCSI is slow comapred to todays SAS drives. Even SATA sucks when multitaksing comapred to SAS, but the outlay is wallet emptying. Not mention HD's are still a huge bottleneck in a system, it takes multiple ones to load up the bus.

I agree with what Ruby said though.

SAS = Serial Attached SCSI.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serial_Attached_SCSI


You may see it that way, but if you call up a place to customize a server and ask for SCSI they will tell you there is only SAS or SATA on new hardware.

99% of everyone thinks and knows scsi as the old drives that need terminators and lots of ribbon.
 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
13,576
6
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its not a matter of thinking of it that way, its what it is CALLED. SAS literally stands for Serial Attached SCSI.
I understand what you are saying, but I have no intention of using either and you are obviously now understanding that I referred to SAS and not to the old SCSI formats.
 

chizow

Diamond Member
Jun 26, 2001
9,537
2
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Originally posted by: Zap
Are memory manufacturers going to be able to do that profitably in the near term? Most of them are in financial trouble due to crumbling costs and some (Qimonda for one) has even filed bankruptcy.
Not sure honestly, although I highly doubt the high current prices on SSDs are anything close to actual cost. At some point they'll have to transition from high margin and low volume to low margin and high volume but I think its pretty obvious neither the consumer nor the manufacturer is really happy with the current pricing and adoption rate on SSDs.
 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
13,576
6
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crumbling costs are, first and foremost, a result of supply and demand, demand went down due to economy, supply went way up due to heavy production and competition...
Qimoda went bankrupt, and its competitors will snatch it up for a fraction of its worth. the loss will be of the INVESTORS who owned qimoda...
This should continue with companies going down and being snatched up, as it happens competition goes down and the remaining companies increase their prices, and become more profitable then they were before.
 

exar333

Diamond Member
Feb 7, 2004
8,518
8
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I am surprised there wasn't a bailout for Qimoda, they were "too big to fail"!
 

taltamir

Lifer
Mar 21, 2004
13,576
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Qimoda is located in dresden germany... And while germany is relatively socialist, it is not nearly as socialist as the US has become the last few years.
 

Viper GTS

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
38,107
433
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It is slightly absurd to think WD will release a 20K Raptor, or even a 15K Raptor any time soon when enterprise 2.5" drives just hit 15K a generation ago and the top capacity for current generation is 147 GB.

20K is absolutely ridiculous, 15K is slightly more reasonable but we aren't going to see the current 300 GB capacities.

Viper GTS