Originally posted by: alrocky
Originally posted by: joshsquall
Originally posted by: alrocky
Your fear of the market retreating 10 or 20% is largely irrelevant. Back in March at the year's low, you had no idea the market would rise as it had. The market can also rise another 10%. Timing the market is a fool's game - what's important is time in the market. The $5000 invested in an IRA this year will be worth more than $5000 invested in an IRA 20 years from now.
http://www.bogleheads.org/
Books of Interest link:
The Four Pillars of Investing - Bernstein
The Bogleheads' Guide to Investing - Larimore
Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes - Belsky
I'm talking about when to fund it for this year, not when to start it. That's a max of a 3 month wait. If it looks like a pullback could happen, why not wait?
The time to fund it would have been back in March. Your question as to when to fund it this year is still a question about market timing. Technically you have until April 15 2010 to fund your 2009 IRA but as a practical matter you should fund it this calendar year.
"Why not wait?" Answer this: why didn't you invest back in March? As a rule iit s impractical to try to time the market. If you had correctly thought the market had bottomed in March you would have invest then. But neither you or I knew that was the year's low. Folks were probably thinking: "Why should I invest now in March when it may drop another 10%?"
The market has had more up years than bad years - thus it is better to invest in January of any year instead of December of the same year. You are sweating the small stuff. Since time is a lever that can work towards your behalf, it is more important to invest as much as you can as soon as you can.
Please read the listed books. And ask your question at the linked site/