NE & Tristate area, you ready for the 'historic' big storm Mon-Tuesday?

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OutHouse

Lifer
Jun 5, 2000
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white outs are the only weather that really scares me. In the city they aren't really a concern but out in the country, that's what causes pile ups. Something about losing all vision without warning just scares the piss out of me.

Try doing 110mph on the autobahn and hit a thick ass fog bank. If you want to live, you don't slow down.
 

Griffinhart

Golden Member
Dec 7, 2004
1,130
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Or anything from the scientific community:

- Don't warn enough: "You didn't say a word about this!"
Bonus: This also happens if warning about something that's going to happen years or decades from now.

- Warn overcautiously: "Screw you, I'm never listening to anything you say again."

- Warn just exactly enough: Science is done, we know everything.

- Warn a lot about something that's going to take a long time to happen.

It's not the forecasting I haven an issue with. It's the overhype. If they simply reported the expected weather of 2 to 3 feel of snow, with high winds, some coastal flooding expected and left it at that, then fine.

What we actually got was "Preparing for the Worse!" "Snowpocalypse!" With the region being hit by the storm was the North East, an area that is no stranger to storms like this, It was hardly worthy of international news coverage.
 

Sho'Nuff

Diamond Member
Jul 12, 2007
6,211
121
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Yep, as I expected. Over-hyped. Much less snow in NYC and NJ than expected. Snow estimates in New England were pretty close, but that's not really unexpected. Power outages are far less than expected, Some seawall and flooding damages on Boston's south shore. No problems on Plum Island. My town got just a bit over 2 feet so far and the storm should be winding down soon.

Overall, slightly more inconvenient than an average snow storm. My biggest problem was the extra work getting the 22" snow blower to cut through the 36" snow drifts.

2-3 feet of snow is a lot to deal with, but this is an area that deals with snow on a regular basis. CNN reported yesterday that we were "preparing for the worse." My worse case scenario prep was making sure my phone and flashlights were charged, and stopping at the supermarket Monday afternoon to pick up stuff for Tuesday's lunch since I would be working from home. No snowpocalypse here.

I could see this being something big and scary in Georgia, or other places that rarely get snow, but the North East? Come on....

Yeah I pretty much agree with this 100%. Very surprised that schools in NH were closed today (for an almost unheard of two days in a row). The main roads are already down to pavement and the back roads in my area are easily driveable.

Snowblowing my driveway this morning was a huge PITA though. 2+ hours of forcing a 200+ lb machine through the snow. I'm whipped.

FWIW - my town ended up with 28-29 inches total. Definitely a big storm. Even for New England.
 

z1ggy

Lifer
May 17, 2008
10,004
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Snow on the end of my street that was plowed made piles as tall as the stop sign. We got a decent amount of snow, I think about 1.5ft.
 
Oct 25, 2006
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Got about a foot here in CT. My friends parents got over two feet and they have no idea how they're going to dig themselves out.
 

Griffinhart

Golden Member
Dec 7, 2004
1,130
1
76
Yeah I pretty much agree with this 100%. Very surprised that schools in NH were closed today (for an almost unheard of two days in a row). The main roads are already down to pavement and the back roads in my area are easily driveable.

Snowblowing my driveway this morning was a huge PITA though. 2+ hours of forcing a 200+ lb machine through the snow. I'm whipped.

FWIW - my town ended up with 28-29 inches total. Definitely a big storm. Even for New England.

The official total for my town was 31". I work in Merrimack NH and it looks like about 2 feet here. Uneventful commute in. I spent a few hours yesterday afternoon with the snowblower clearing the bulk of it. Went back out for about 45 minutes before I went to bed to clean off the car and clear the few inches of new snow and anything that drifted. Didn't have to do anything this morning. Overall, not much different from a typical snow storm other than it taking me a little longer to clear the snow.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
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www.alienbabeltech.com
The storm didn't underwhelm, it just "whelmed" a slightly different area.

The storm did exactly what is was predicted to do 50-60 miles further east than the computer model.

This is still a massive storm, it just happened to spare NYC which is where most of the people in the tri-state area get their forecasts from. If it had missed 50-60 miles west instead of east NYC would be buried in 3 feet of snow and the forecasters would be getting beat up because it was worse than expected and the warnings were not dire enough.

I don't post my predictions on here anymore because the assholes on here don't deserve my wisdom.

Anyway, I posted on Wunderground and Facebook a day a half before the storm hit that I don't know what the so called "experts" are looking at.

I said it would hit Eastern Long Island and New England coast like any normal NorEaster.

I didn't see any reason for it to hit New York City like Sandy did.
 

cabri

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2012
3,616
1
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I don't post my predictions on here anymore because the assholes on here don't deserve my wisdom.

Anyway, I posted on Wunderground and Facebook a day a half before the storm hit that I don't know what the so called "experts" are looking at.

I said it would hit Eastern Long Island and New England coast like any normal NorEaster.

I didn't see any reason for it to hit New York City like Sandy did.

What wisdom?

the same as you do in P&N:\:thumbsdown:
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,542
10,167
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My town got hit with 36". Pretty good storm. No power outages, thankfully. The snow was mostly kind of light and fluffy, not the heavy wet stuff.
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
49,601
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www.slatebrookfarm.com
FWIW, even before the storm hit, a few of the weather models were showing a system moving across the country, and dumping a fairly significant amount of snow. Last night when I was looking, it looked like the potential for up to 12" in parts of Southern NJ and the Delmarva area. NYC with low ground temps could see significant depth (6" or more) but of light, fluffy snow.

edit: more recent run of one of the models has shifted it a little
http://www.instantweathermaps.com/G...p?run=2015012912&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=111
 
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