Nasdaq Slips Below 2000 wiping out 2004 gains, Dow Close behind, Analysts worried about job growth/elevated valuation

alchemize

Lifer
Mar 24, 2000
11,486
0
0
I saw an article the other week saying Buffet thought the market was overvalued. Of course, I ignored it cause I'm sticking to my dollar-cost averaging plan. I thought about shorting martha stewart stock also :) But I lack the bravery or the play money...

 

ReiAyanami

Diamond Member
Sep 24, 2002
4,466
0
0
20% revenue growth QoQ and 28% general rise in profits across the boards. guess it's not good enuff no more until the jobs show up.

cuz all the great numbers can't be sustained or so they worry
 

dahunan

Lifer
Jan 10, 2002
18,191
3
0
When jobs move overseas so does training and then some R&D and then companies grow inside those countries that begin to directly compete with the American company.
 

burnedout

Diamond Member
Oct 12, 1999
6,249
2
0
Most of my issues are doing FANTASTIC! MCD, WEN, PG, HDI, NCC, PFE. PG is like at a 4 year high.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: tnitsuj
from USATODAY.COM

personally...I am buying a whole bunch of mutual funds this month and this just makes it better for me.

You beat me to it Tnitsuj :D

Where's Heartsurgeon, his beloved Market is tanking again.
I hope he doesn't have shares in Sun.

It gets even better, there's an article that shows that many Mutual Funds are now closed except to the super wealthy.

3-9-2004 Nasdaq Ends Below 2,000

The Nasdaq ended below the psychologically key 2,000 level for the first time this year. Both the Nasdaq and the blue-chip Dow, which have been pinned in a narrow trading range for more than a month, are now hovering close to the same levels as at the start of the year.

Banc of America Securities cut its rating on Sun Microsystems to "neutral" from "buy."
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The Rich Boys have put so much money in that now only the Super Wealthy can play the Monopoly game:

3-9-2004 Many Funds Are Closing to New Investors

NEW YORK - A growing number of mutual funds are closing their doors to new investors for a reason that might sound heretical coming from Wall Street: They have more money than they know what to do with.

Fund investors, encouraged by the recovery, are shoveling money into the market at levels not seen since the height of the late 1990s technology boom. Total mutual fund assets now stand at a record $7.5 trillion, according to the Investment Company Institute. January was the third-largest month ever for equity funds, with $43.8 billion of inflows.

But all this new money is coming in at a time when stocks aren't cheap. Many investors are chasing last year's best performers ? which market professionals warn against ? including small-caps, which are trading at extremely high valuations.

The rapid inflow of money and the dearth of good deals creates a challenging situation for fund managers. They can either bend their discipline and buy stocks they wouldn't normally buy, let cash build up and risk dragging down returns or close to new investors. In most cases, experts say, temporarily shutting down is the most responsible choice.
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"In most cases, experts say, temporarily shutting down is the most responsible choice."

Yeah right. The only treason they are doing that now is because last time the small investors (those with around 100,000 to 500,000) were burned so badly that the Manager Parent Companies are paying back in Lawsuits and settlements and they don't want to do that again.
 

NonSequiter

Member
Feb 3, 2004
74
0
0
Nasdaq Slips Below 2000 wiping out 2004 gains, Dow Close behind

We're less than 10 weeks into the year, so let's keep "wiping out 2004 gains" in a bit of perspective. This is a short-term correction in an otherwise pretty good uptrend pattern. Plus we're still down pretty big from the all-time Nasdaq highs even with the outsized gains of 2003 and early 2004, so slipping from 2200 to below 2k is pretty much a non-event when you were at 5000+ about four years ago.
 

DealMonkey

Lifer
Nov 25, 2001
13,136
1
0
Originally posted by: Q36ExplosiveSpaceModulator
Nasdaq Slips Below 2000 wiping out 2004 gains, Dow Close behind

We're less than 10 weeks into the year, so let's keep "wiping out 2004 gains" in a bit of perspective. This is a short-term correction in an otherwise pretty good uptrend pattern. Plus we're still down pretty big from the all-time Nasdaq highs even with the outsized gains of 2003 and early 2004, so slipping from 2200 to below 2k is pretty much a non-event when you were at 5000+ about four years ago.

Not sure if I trust financial advice or analysis from someone who's forum name is "Q36ExplosiveSpaceModulator" -- WTF? :p

Any of the other smart financial types around here got some good mutual fund picks for me? I'm also dumping cash into my SEP IRA this month and need some nice moderate risk mutual funds. Thinking of jumping into some index funds ... I'm really not sure.
 

NonSequiter

Member
Feb 3, 2004
74
0
0
Not sure if I trust financial advice or analysis from someone who's forum name is "Q36ExplosiveSpaceModulator" -- WTF?

You just don't remember the relevant Bugs Bunny episode... it was what Marvin the Martian was going to use to blow up the earth, because "it was blocking his view of Venus." This might help:

Q36 explosive space modulator .wav

Any of the other smart financial types around here got some good mutual fund picks for me? I'm also dumping cash into my SEP IRA this month and need some nice moderate risk mutual funds. Thinking of jumping into some index funds ... I'm really not sure.

I think you answered your own question. Vanguard's index funds would do quite nicely for you (or anyone for that matter), and you could look into index or sector ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds) if you prefered that flavor of index investing. As far as not getting financial advice from me (or anyone else on an online forum), I'm a series 7 licensed general securities representative, but that's probably a better reason not to take advice from me than my unusual AT nickname is ;)
 

CaptnKirk

Lifer
Jul 25, 2002
10,053
0
71
Iraqi War Bonds are a hot ticket right now.
Might consider some of Martha Stewarts designer liscense plates as well.
 

DealMonkey

Lifer
Nov 25, 2001
13,136
1
0
Originally posted by: Q36ExplosiveSpaceModulator
I think you answered your own question. Vanguard's index funds would do quite nicely for you (or anyone for that matter), and you could look into index or sector EFT's if you prefered that flavor of index investing. As far as not getting financial advice from me (or anyone else on an online forum), I'm a series 7 licensed general securities representative, but that's probably a better reason not to take advice from me than my unusual AT nickname is ;)

I was kidding. Mostly. :p Heh, thanks for the warning though! Too bad Anand doesn't add a financial forum here -- us geeks gotta stick together. :)

When you say "sector EFT's" what do you mean exactly? Is that just like an index only filtered for a specific sector? Like "technology" or "biotech" or what have you?

 

NonSequiter

Member
Feb 3, 2004
74
0
0
When you say "sector EFT's" what do you mean exactly? Is that just like an index only filtered for a specific sector? Like "technology" or "biotech" or what have you?

ETFs

Typo. I meant to type ETF, for Exchange Traded Funds. For most folks here, that will primarily mean investments like the QQQ (Nasdaq index) and SPY (S&P 500 Index), although sector funds like technology or biotech qualify. There's also now ETFs designed to help fit specific investing strategies, like one that focuses on dividend-paying stocks (DVY).

The advantages of ETF's vs. regular index funds are that they trade during the day rather than being daily-priced like index mutual funds, allow you to better control your taxable earnings, and offer some more trading flexibility. To index funds' advantage, they normally have a slightly better cost structure (lower management fees) and of course no commissions to pay.
 

ReiAyanami

Diamond Member
Sep 24, 2002
4,466
0
0
IMO, i still think it's the "Ides of March" effect, in which ppl are at the time where they have to file taxes AND PAY FOR THEM. and to do that they have to sell stock, usually the ones that gained the most, hence nasdaq is under heavy pressure since it rose like 50% last year.

dam i miss the january effect ;)
 

CADsortaGUY

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
25,162
1
76
www.ShawCAD.com
Originally posted by: ReiAyanami
IMO, i still think it's the "Ides of March" effect, in which ppl are at the time where they have to file taxes AND PAY FOR THEM. and to do that they have to sell stock, usually the ones that gained the most, hence nasdaq is under heavy pressure since it rose like 50% last year.

dam i miss the january effect ;)

Yeah - OH TEH NOOEEESS!!! - 3months

CkG
 

dirtboy

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
6,745
1
81
I love the ignorant attitude. When Clinton was in office and the market was way overvalued, this was good because the economy was "booming."

Now the economy can't be good and the stock market must be evil, so any gains now are bogus... put Kerry in office and all the libs will be running around saying how great stock market gains are for the economy.

Such a shame that an entire class of people price themselves on being two-faced wafflers.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: dirtboy
I love the ignorant attitude. When Clinton was in office and the market was way overvalued, this was good because the economy was "booming."

Now the economy can't be good and the stock market must be evil, so any gains now are bogus... put Kerry in office and all the libs will be running around saying how great stock market gains are for the economy.

Such a shame that an entire class of people price themselves on being two-faced wafflers.

Awwwwww, you feel left out?

 

heartsurgeon

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2001
4,260
0
0
Where's Heartsurgeon, his beloved Market is tanking again.

Dow Jones Industrial Average - 1 year chart

God Bless the United States of America, President Bush, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The "beloved market" has helped make me a "tons" of money of the last 24 years. It's putting my kids through college, and it's going to make my retirement glorious.

the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

God bless capitalism.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: heartsurgeon
Where's Heartsurgeon, his beloved Market is tanking again.

Dow Jones Industrial Average - 1 year chart

God Bless the United States of America, President Bush, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The "beloved market" has helped make me a "tons" of money of the last 24 years. It's putting my kids through college, and it's going to make my retirement glorious.

the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

God bless capitalism.

"the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

Straight from the mouths of the Rich Boys Club.
 

tnitsuj

Diamond Member
May 22, 2003
5,446
0
76
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: heartsurgeon
Where's Heartsurgeon, his beloved Market is tanking again.

Dow Jones Industrial Average - 1 year chart

God Bless the United States of America, President Bush, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The "beloved market" has helped make me a "tons" of money of the last 24 years. It's putting my kids through college, and it's going to make my retirement glorious.

the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

God bless capitalism.

"the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

Straight from the mouths of the Rich Boys Club.

I'm not a rich boy, and I don't think the market is tanking either. Nothing else other than real estate is really going to give you such consistent returns over the long term with so little work. Index Funds baby, Index Funds.
 

charrison

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
17,033
1
81
Originally posted by: tnitsuj
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: heartsurgeon
Where's Heartsurgeon, his beloved Market is tanking again.

Dow Jones Industrial Average - 1 year chart

God Bless the United States of America, President Bush, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The "beloved market" has helped make me a "tons" of money of the last 24 years. It's putting my kids through college, and it's going to make my retirement glorious.

the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

God bless capitalism.

"the market isn't tanking, it's just "catching it's breath"

Straight from the mouths of the Rich Boys Club.

I'm not a rich boy, and I don't think the market is tanking either. Nothing else other than real estate is really going to give you such consistent returns over the long term with so little work. Index Funds baby, Index Funds.

Looks like most people view this as a chance to buy, rather than a market meltdown. Good sign.
 

ReiAyanami

Diamond Member
Sep 24, 2002
4,466
0
0
corporate earnings are up 28% YoY, and businesses are actually beginning to increase their budgets

now if only we could get them to pay taxes...
 

burnedout

Diamond Member
Oct 12, 1999
6,249
2
0
Yeah right. The only treason they are doing that now is because last time the small investors (those with around 100,000 to 500,000) were burned so badly that the Manager Parent Companies are paying back in Lawsuits and settlements and they don't want to do that again.
Uh, no, sorry Dave, but some of us stuck with stuffy old Blue Chips and companies with good management in lieu of the latest designer craze from dotus bombus. We are in just as good if not better shape than before. Don't ever forget what I tell you: Where there is chaos, there is money and lots of it.

Betting on a companies with no earnings history or non-existent P/E ratios? Please. That's for day traders, hard-up brokers and kiddies. The Iraqi Invasion? What an awesome buying opportunity! Hillary "I hate drug companies" Clinton? Hello pharmaceuticals!

Like I said earlier, where there is chaos, there is money. Don't forget it!
 

heartsurgeon

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2001
4,260
0
0
Straight from the mouths of the Rich Boys Club.
Yep, here at the R.B.C. the women are beautiful and smart, the Scotch is at least 25 years old, and everyone listens to Rush at lunch time.