yup now that the base of music is established, you're going to see an underground split occur.
the real pirates will take to the napigator and other utilities to use other irc err napster servers, and not pay a dime. The servers can exist and do exist now.
The rest of the folks, i guess will either give up napster, share it(!!), or pay the bill.
If they think 20% of their current userbase are going to pay, well, then they must be seriously wrong.
Like the rest of the web, we get our stuff for FREE. If anandtech started charging money to use their web site?
what would happen?
it would die.
The business folks who think napster will make a man rich, are seriously whacked in the head.