Most disruptive technology of the last century?

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
As the title states. For those not familiar with the term, here's the definition...


Bonus question: What do you predict will be the top disruptive technology of the 21st century?
 

SagaLore

Elite Member
Dec 18, 2001
24,036
21
81
Homes.

Houses use to be built with stones and solid beams - now they're made with cheap heavily knotted 2x4s and particle board.
 

TechnoKid

Diamond Member
Feb 12, 2001
5,575
0
0
Originally posted by: SagaLore
Homes.

Houses use to be built with stones and solid beams - now they're made with cheap heavily knotted 2x4s and particle board.

i've never seen a house built with particle board, i have seen houses built with osb.
 

Adul

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
32,999
44
91
danny.tangtam.com
Originally posted by: SagaLore
Homes.

Houses use to be built with stones and solid beams - now they're made with cheap heavily knotted 2x4s and particle board.
i agree, I almost want to custom build my own home.
 

Amused

Elite Member
Apr 14, 2001
57,039
18,350
146
Transisters replacing Tubes is the most signifigant if that counts.

And so far in the 21st century I'll go along with VoIP replacing POTS.
 

rh71

No Lifer
Aug 28, 2001
52,844
1,049
126
when / if the segway gets more popular (price change)... it'll be extremely disruptive on the roads that cars travel...
 

Amused

Elite Member
Apr 14, 2001
57,039
18,350
146
It looks like some people are not reading the definition of "disruptive technology."

The term disruptive technology was coined by Clayton M. Christensen to describe a new, lower performance, but less expensive product. The disruptive technology starts by gaining a foothold in the low-end (and less demanding part) of the market, successively moving up-market through performance improvements, and finally displacing the incumbent's product.

By contrast, a sustaining technology provides improved performance and according to Christensen will almost always be incorporated into the incumbent's product.

The theory
In certain markets, the rate at which products improve exceeds the rate at which customers can learn and adopt the new performance. Therefore, at some point the performance of the product overshoots the needs of certain customer segments.

At this point, a disruptive technology may enter the market and provide a product which has lower performance than the incumbent, but exceeds the requirements of certain segments thereby gaining a foothold in the market. Christensen distinguishes between low-end disruption which targets customers that have been overshot and new-market disruption which targets customers that could previously not be served profitably by the incumbent.

The disruptive company will naturally aim to improve its margin (from low commodity level) and therefor innovate to capture the next level of customer requirements. The incumbent will not want to engage in a price war with a simpler product with lower production costs and will move up-market and focus on its more attractive customers.

After a number of iterations, the incumbent has been squeezed into successively smaller markets and when finally the disruptive technology meets the demands of its last segment the incumbent technology disappears.

Examples of disruptive technologies
Disruptive Technology/ Displaced Technology
Printing press/ Manuscripts, Scriptoria
railways / canals
the automobile / railways
digital cameras / photographic film
mass-market cellular telephony / fixed-line telephony
voice over IP / analog and fixed digital telephone systems
ADSL / ISDN
Internet Protocol suite / proprietary or fixed-configuration networks
EIDE/UDMA hard drives /SCSI hard drives
minicomputers / mainframe computers
personal computers / minicomputers
Personal video recorders / Video Home System
Desktop publishing / Phototypesetting and manual pasteup
Linux and BSD / Unix

Not all technologies promoted as disruptive technologies have actually prospered as well as their proponents had hoped. However, some of these technologies have only been around for a few years, and their ultimate fate has not yet been determined. Unresolved examples of technologies promoted as 'disruptive technologies'
Music downloads and file sharing vs. compact discs
ebooks vs. paper books
e-commerce vs. physical shops
open-source software vs. proprietary software (for example Linux versus Microsoft Windows, although Linux has already largely displaced proprietary Unix)

Failed technologies originally promoted as 'disruptive technologies'
Betamax
Laserdiscs
Cold fusion
Japanese fifth generation computer systems project
Virtual reality
3G
WebTV
8-track tapes
 

DWW

Platinum Member
Apr 4, 2003
2,030
0
0
cell phones (seriously). I can't stand when they disrupt a gathering and it happens all too often. In class at college, the movies, during a conversation at the grocery store, when I'm trying to snooze on the subway etc etc.

The #2 most disruptive technology is downloadable ringtones. Ever notice how everyone copies each other and uses the most lame ring? Cell phones should have only one ring tone ("RING RING MOTHERFVCKER") and in variable volumes.

I wish to get a cell jammer and just carry it with me wherever I go although that'd be illegal :p
 

3chordcharlie

Diamond Member
Mar 30, 2004
9,859
1
81
Based on the definition of disruptive technology, my ass-gaskets go way up the list.

Much cheaper than owning your own mobile bathroom, but not nearly as customizable, either.
 

Amused

Elite Member
Apr 14, 2001
57,039
18,350
146
Originally posted by: 3chordcharlie
Based on the definition of disruptive technology, my ass-gaskets go way up the list.

Much cheaper than owning your own mobile bathroom, but not nearly as customizable, either.

How many people had/have their own mobile sh!tters?