- Jun 4, 2004
The issue is not a binary one. Removing restrictions will increase economic activity. It will also increase infection rate. The difference is most businesses see a linear increase in revenue from an increase in customers while infection rates are exponential. So a small increase in customer interactions is a small increase in revenue but a potentially large increase in infections. So your assertion that some businesses can withstand 60% not withstanding (the average net margin for most small business is 7%) we would need over 90% of normal economic activity to save most of these businesses. If we can’t reach that level (and we won’t even without restrictions) why should we increase the number of infections by trying?Having your business fail for lack of patrons is an entirely different matter than being forced to close down through government action. In this case there is someone responsible. Those people can all point to someone or some group and say "they put me out of business".
If your opinion that there will be no customers is correct, then allowing them to open is a no brainer, if no one walks in the store, then no one is at risk of getting sick. If they do get customers, even with 60% drop in revenue, it may be enough for them to survive.
We were told this was all about flattening the curve, about keeping hospitals from being overwhelmed, we've done that in most of the country. Now the narrative has changed to "when it's safe". That wasn't what was presented to the american people. Anyone who doesn't feel safe is free to stay home, no one wants to force them back to work. But all those people who took the hit to make it happen have met their obligation, and are pissed off now that the deal has been changed. I wholeheartedly support them.
While yes you were told we were flattening they curve and many parts of the country have we’ve also been told we have to protect against the a second wave. That protection was in part to come from robust testing and infection tracking until a treatment or vaccine was available. Most states are still woefully unprepared for this.
The reason for the unpreparedness is a large minority of the country hasn’t wanted state and federal governments to be prepared or responsible for an event like this. So they are getting the response they deserve. Which is again why their anger is misplaced.