Mark my words *update* I MISSED 1.77

[JS80]

est 4:05 EST

There goes $4000

EST was 1.76
NON-GAAP was 1.77
EST Revenue was 1.29
they met with 1.29

I have no clue where the stock will go...

 

[Tu13erhead]

Marked for 4:05EST.

 

[pravi333]

Originally posted by: JS80
est 4:05 EST
Topic Title: Mark my words
Topic Summary: Google earnings $2.01
Created On: 01/31/2006 01:52 PM

Done

 

[FoBoT]

earnings $2.01 per share? i thought internet companies just lost money

those whacky google guys! making money on the internet ! crazy!!!

 

[Mr.IncrediblyBored]

What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

 

[gigapet]

Originally posted by: KnightBreed
What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

I have a feb options call for 490 i hope this gives it a booossssst ;0

 

[KLin]

It's already up 7.30 points, so someone must know something.

 

[FoBoT]

that is quite a bit above wall street estimates by analysts

so if it comes in that high, the price will go up a bit


Average Estimate 1.78
Number of Analysts 22
High Estimate 1.98
Low Estimate 1.54

 

[Descartes]

And you're basing those numbers on what exactly, a gut feeling?

 

[JS80]

Originally posted by: gigapet

Originally posted by: KnightBreed
What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

I have a feb options call for 490 i hope this gives it a booossssst ;0

i have feb 400 calls

 

[JS80]

Originally posted by: Descartes
And you're basing those numbers on what exactly, a gut feeling?

I have my own model, plus I have access to Comscore's media metrix data. I also work for a search engine so I have an idea of what kind of costs they were expected to incur.

 

[JS80]

Originally posted by: KnightBreed
What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

350 if they miss, 500 if > 1.98

Implied volatility is looking for a 70 point move.

 

[gigapet]

Originally posted by: JS80

Originally posted by: gigapet

Originally posted by: KnightBreed
What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

I have a feb options call for 490 i hope this gives it a booossssst ;0

i have feb 400 calls

meh when did you buy them?

 

[JS80]

Originally posted by: gigapet

Originally posted by: JS80

Originally posted by: gigapet

Originally posted by: KnightBreed
What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

I have a feb options call for 490 i hope this gives it a booossssst ;0

i have feb 400 calls

meh when did you buy them?

That friday when the stock dropped below 400

 

[gigapet]

Originally posted by: JS80

Originally posted by: gigapet

Originally posted by: JS80

Originally posted by: gigapet

Originally posted by: KnightBreed
What are your predictions for their stock price after the earnings announcement?

I have a feb options call for 490 i hope this gives it a booossssst ;0

i have feb 400 calls

meh when did you buy them?

That friday when the stock dropped below 400

how much did you pay ?

 

[dullard]

No where close with your estimation.

 

[BCYL]

From cnnfn: "Google announced earnings below Wall Street expectations. The search giant's sales were in line with projections. More soon."

 

[MikeyIs4Dcats]

owned.

 

[FoBoT]

so that hit the lowest of the projected earnings

that means the just barely made it, so that means the stock goes down since some (like the OP) were banking on higher than forecast earnings which already pushed the price up


there you go, down down goes googles price

 

[etalns]

Bahaha.

 

[BCYL]

Stock price is down to $406.47 in after-hours trading

 

[AgaBoogaBoo]

Why do I feel that people didn't learn the first time?

 

[Accipiter22]

And more alarming to investors, the company posted earnings per share, excluding the effect of stock options costs and research and development-related charges, of $1.54 a share, well below analysts' consensus estimates of $1.76 a share.


you missed...1.54

 

[Heifetz]

haha, damn, I should've bought some puts. Stock is down 80 right now in after hour. I wonder what it'll be like tomorrow at open.

 

[JS80]

Originally posted by: Accipiter22
And more alarming to investors, the company posted earnings per share, excluding the effect of stock options costs and research and development-related charges, of $1.54 a share, well below analysts' consensus estimates of $1.76 a share.


you missed...1.54

it's 1.77 if you exclude stock option expense and the donation they made
I have the raw data on my spreadsheet