This has been hashed through many times. All three claims have been refuted.
Originally posted by: charrison
1. Forged document show there was a false attempt to get uranium from nigeria. British intel is still standing by it the Iraq tried on multiple occasions to by Uranium from various countries. The CIA also still stands by it report that Iraq was trying to rebuild its nuke program.
No, all of the intel re. Iraq and uranium leads back to the same forged Niger paper. So far, the British has refused to turn over their "additional evidence" to either the CIA or the IAEA, stating that it is not their own intelligence, but information they got from other countries' intel agencies. In every case researched so far, this intelligence has tracked back to the same forged document. In short, all the countries are reporting the same lie.
The CIA did not believe Iraq had reconstituted its nuclear weapons program, but they fudged it a bit under pressure from the White House. From an interview with senior CIA Analyst, Ray McGovern: "I have done a good bit of research here, and one of the conclusions I have come to is that Vice President Cheney was not only interested in ?helping out? with the analysis, let us say, that CIA was producing on Iraq. He was interested also in fashioning evidence that he could use as proof that, as he said,
?The Iraqis had reconstituted their nuclear program,? which demonstrably they had not."
And: "Cheney knew, and Cheney was way out in front of everybody, starting on the 26th of August, talking about Iraq seeking nuclear weapons. As recently as the 16th of March, three days before the war, he was again at it. This time he said Iraq has reconstituted its nuclear weapons program. It hadn?t. It demonstrably hadn?t. There has been nothing like that uncovered in Iraq."
2. IT is currently unknown what those imported tubes were used for. The UN nuke inspector admits they still could be used for a nuke program with modification. To this day no one knows what the illegal imported tubes were used for.
The tubes were NOT suitable for use in uranium-enrichment centrifuges. They were made of the wrong material -- anodized aluminum -- and they were of the wrong dimensions. Everyone except the Bush administration agreed that this was the case. These tubes WERE suited for use in conventional rockets, and were, in fact, the same type of tube Iraq had purchased in the past for this purpose.
The IAEA reported that "extensive field investigation and document analysis" had failed to turn up any evidence that Iraq intended the aluminum tubes for nuclear weapons and that they apparently were intended for use in rockets. The agency said it could find "no evidence or plausible indication of the revival of a nuclear weapons program in Iraq."
CIA Analyst McGovern said, "The aluminum tubes, you will remember, were something that came out in late September, the 24th of September. The British and we front-paged it. These were aluminum tubes that were said by Condoleezza Rice as soon as the report came out to be only suitable for use in a nuclear application. This is hardware that they had the dimensions of. So they got that report, and the British played it up, and we played it up. It was front page in the New York Times. Condoleezza Rice said, 'Ah ha! These aluminum tubes are suitable only for uranium-enrichment centrifuges.'
"Then they gave the tubes to the Department of Energy labs, and to a person,
each one of those nuclear scientists and engineers said, 'Well, if Iraq thinks it can use these dimensions and these specifications of aluminum tubes to build a nuclear program, let ?em do it! Let ?em do it. It?ll never work, and we can?t believe they are so stupid. These must be for conventional rockets.'
"And, of course, that?s what they were for, and that?s what the UN determined they were for."
3. Several AL queda camps where removed from Iraq. At the very least Saddam provided safe harbor to al queda. Many members of Al queda have been picked up in Iraq.
This is simply false.
There was ONE training camp in Kurdish-controlled northern Iraq where we found evidence that some al Qaeda members received some training. It was NOT an al Qaeda camp. It was NOT hosted or supported by Iraq. While there is evidence of one or two contacts between al Qaeda and the Iraqi government, there is no evidence that Iraq supported al Qaeda or that it worked with al Qaeda.
On the other hand, there is solid evidence that Osama bin Laden scorned Iraq and its secular governement, and that he had no respect for Saddam Hussein. There is no evidence of any direct contact between ObL and Iraq -- ever. The CIA told the White House there was "scant" evidence of any connection between Iraq and al Qaeda. The al Qaeda leaders we captured in Afghanistan unanimously denied any connections with Iraq, saying they wanted nothing to do with Hussein.
There have been maybe three or four al Qaeda members picked up in Iraq. This is less than the number apprehended in many other states in the region. It is far less than the number picked up in the United States. The simple fact is that al Qaeda members are scattered all over the globe. That we found a handful in Iraq is irrelevant.
Again, from CIA Analyst McGovern, "They looked around after Labor Day and said, 'OK, if we?re going to have this war, we really need to persuade Congress to vote for it. How are we going to do that? Well, let?s do the al Qaeda-Iraq connection. That?s the traumatic one. 9/11 is still a traumatic thing for most Americans. Let?s do that.' But then they said, ?Oh damn, those folks at CIA don?t buy that, they say there?s no evidence."
From
The Independent, February 9, 2003: "The BBC received a Defence Intelligence Staff (DIS) document which showed that British intelligence believes there are no current links between the Iraqi regime and the al-Qa'ida network. The classified document, written last month, said there had been contact between the two in the past, but it assessed that any fledgling relationship foundered due to mistrust and incompatible ideologies."
Finally, from Today's
Toronto Star:
Al Qaeda claims exaggerated: analysts
A new firestorm of controversy threatens to engulf U.S. President George W. Bush after senior American intelligence analysts accused the administration of trying to justify the war against Iraq by overplaying links between Saddam Hussein and Al Qaeda. The charge comes just as Bush finds himself under increasing fire for overplaying another assertion ? that the Iraqi leader was attempting to buy uranium in Africa as part of a program to develop nuclear weapons.
On Friday, Bush retreated from his uranium claim and blamed the Central Intelligence Agency for misinforming him; hours later, CIA Director George Tenet stepped forward to shoulder the blame.
However, the Washington Post reported today that Tenet successfully intervened with White House officials to remove a reference to Niger in a speech.
Before Tenet's intervention, a presidential speech last October said Iraq was seeking nuclear materials from Niger. This was three month's prior to Bush's State of the Union address.
But, just as the administration was hoping to put that fiasco behind it, it now finds itself engulfed in a new firestorm over claims that Saddam was harbouring top Al Qaeda operatives and able to slip chemical, biological or even nuclear weapons to the terrorist network.
George Thielman, a former State Department official, said intelligence agencies told the administration well before this spring's war about the "lack of a meaningful connection" to Al Qaeda.
"There was no significant pattern of co-operation between Iraq and the Al Qaeda terrorist operation," said Thielman, who left the State Department's bureau of intelligence last year.
His assertions were backed up by another former Bush administration intelligence official, who said any contact between Iraq and Al Qaeda was occasional, at best.
Those statements were backed up by a United Nations terrorism committee that said it has no evidence ? other than U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell's insistence in a U.N. speech Feb. 5 ? of any ties between Al Qaeda and Iraq.
[ ... ]
Bottom line, most of the evidence used to sell this war to Congress and the American public was phony. Bush and his minions lied to invade Iraq. We can only speculate about their real motives, but they were not the same as their stated motives.