Latest NH Poll Following Democratic Debate

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TheGardener

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Jul 19, 2014
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Forget the crazies, who post idiot threads about Republicans being ready to impeach Hillary Clinton on day one. Let's try to deal with reality without the blowhard pontifications.

There is a Franklin Pierece-Hearld poll that has been released today. The results are that Clinton failed to get the lift from the debate that the media had projected. In fact, Sanders' lead is shown to have increased. The current lead is 48% Sanders to 38% Clinton. So Sanders has benefited from the debates.

The survey is based on responses from 403 randomly selected likely Democratic presidential primary voters. Interviews were conducted by landline and cellular telephone. The sampling margin of error is +/-4.9 percent.
It's a poll and there is plenty of time for these numbers to change. But because New Hampshire is the first among primaries, the results there can make or break candidates.

story:

http://www.bostonherald.com/news_op...ranklin_pierce_herald_poll_sanders_keeps_lead

For number junkies:

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts/FPU-BH-1015-Dem.pdf
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
86,236
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Forget the crazies, who post idiot threads about Republicans being ready to impeach Hillary Clinton on day one. Let's try to deal with reality without the blowhard pontifications.

There is a Franklin Pierece-Hearld poll that has been released today. The results are that Clinton failed to get the lift from the debate that the media had projected. In fact, Sanders' lead is shown to have increased. The current lead is 48% Sanders to 38% Clinton. So Sanders has benefited from the debates.

It's a poll and there is plenty of time for these numbers to change. But because New Hampshire is the first among primaries, the results there can make or break candidates.

story:

http://www.bostonherald.com/news_op...ranklin_pierce_herald_poll_sanders_keeps_lead

For number junkies:

http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts/FPU-BH-1015-Dem.pdf

New Hampshire isn't the first primary, Iowa is. Although Hillary still has a double digit lead in Iowa, it has certainly declined in recent weeks. The early primaries are the most important for marginal candidates. Hillary won't be going anywhere anytime soon.

I like Sanders quite a lot, but he doesn't have sufficient appeal inside or outside of the party to win the nomination. I would be frankly amazed if he did.
 

TheGardener

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Jul 19, 2014
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One take from the poll results is the favorability and unfavorability ratings. Though not a candidate, Biden is included. Just about everyone polled recognized Biden, Clinton and Sanders. And each has high favorability numbers.

But the other candidates are at a distinct disadvantage of not being recognized. Lessig is the most highly unrecognized candidate at 39% of those likely Democratic voters in NH. That puts him in lead of the early death pool. Chaffee follows him at 22%. O'Malley and Webb each are almost at 20% not being recognized. So unless Al Gore changes his mind, it will stay a 2 or 3 person race, depending on what Biden decides to do.
 
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