Kepler predictions, just for fun.

tviceman

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2008
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Let see if there can be a thread with minimal bickering and animosity. No arguing about how great or disappointing AMD's new cards are. No mention of woodscrews (<--- a long shot, I know), and no complaining about how overpriced video cards or deodorant is.

So lets play predictions. I'm curious as to what everyone thinks about when Kepler's first performance/enthusiast desktop video card will hit, how hard it will hit, and how much it will cost to play ball with.

I'm predicting, based naively (hey, at least I admit it!) on Charlie's recent articles, a late February paper launch, followed by a soft launch a week or two later in March, with wide availability in April. I think it will have an MSRP of $300 (although it's initial release will likely be price inflated due to limited availability) and will be slightly faster than a gtx580 except in cases of extreme anti-aliasing or in other instances where memory bandwidth is a heavy factor in performance.

I know some people here probably think everything I said is optimistic, but I also think everyone can agree that if all of the above happens (or is even executed better via release schedule and/or performance) then it will be a great for ALL OF US who are cautiously looking to upgrade very soon or sometime later this year.

Please lets keep this thread to the minimal with arguing. Fanboyism and/or conceived notions can exist without being derogatory, crass, or augmentative. What is everyone else's expectations of when Kepler's first desktop part will come, how it will perform, and what it will cost?
 

lavaheadache

Diamond Member
Jan 28, 2005
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My prediction is some people will buy it regardless and others will hate it regardless. Then there will be the select few who will actually make decisions based on facts.
 

bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
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25% avg faster than 7970 for the gtx 680, 5% faster than 7970 for gtx 670. And it will be out in April.
 

pcm81

Senior member
Mar 11, 2011
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I predict that it will not be realeased at all. Unless Nvidia can somehow manage to get the 28nm proccess under their belt. In this case it will be marginally faster than 7970 (5-10 %) but will not be able to compete with 8970.
 
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Arkadrel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2010
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My guess....

670 ~ about equal to 7970, maybe tiny bit faster.
680 ~ about 20% faster than 7970.

That would mean, nvidia only are doing like ~45% jump this round, better than their own 580.
If your assumeing the 7970 on avg is about 20% faster than the 580.

April-may for launch of the 680.

The 670 will be price abit more than the 7970.
The 680 will be the most expensive single gpu card on the market when its out.
 

lavaheadache

Diamond Member
Jan 28, 2005
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My guess....

670 ~ about equal to 7970, maybe tiny bit faster.
680 ~ about 20% faster than 7970.

That would mean, nvidia only are doing like ~45% jump this round, better than their own 580.
If your assumeing the 7970 on avg is about 20% faster than the 580.

April-may for launch of the 680.

The 670 will be price abit more than the 7970.
The 680 will be the most expensive single gpu card on the market when its out.

IF your 45% performance increase is accurate I fully expect people to bash the heck out of it like they are bashing the 45% increase the 7970 (stock) has over the 6970.
 

Arkadrel

Diamond Member
Oct 19, 2010
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Woah thats actually pretty intresting.

the murmurs suggest Nvidia has been dedicating a lot of resources to get physics and fluid dynamics operating properly, which has so far, allegedly, taken half of its gaming engineers and six months to get right.

When Nvidia does get its high-end Kepler chip out in the second half of the year, the competition is going to be ready with something else. There are no doubts that full fluid dynamics is going to wow the crowds - on demos specifically catering to fluid dynamics. Writing code for games to get the performance right, though, is trickier. While Nvidia's team is working overtime, its rivals just may be able to clean up.

That actually sounds pretty neat. So this means PhysX is gonna get even more push now?
Might be futher away than we all assumed though..
 
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Grooveriding

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2008
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680=7970+20% $600
670=7970 $450

1. Released in June or July
or
2. Released in May


660=GTX 580 $350

1. Released in April or May
or
2. Released in June or July


Mid range will cost more this round, no $200 460 type card, as nv will price accordingly to amd for profit not undercutting.
 

blackened23

Diamond Member
Jul 26, 2011
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My guess....

670 ~ about equal to 7970, maybe tiny bit faster.
680 ~ about 20% faster than 7970.

That would mean, nvidia only are doing like ~45% jump this round, better than their own 580.
If your assumeing the 7970 on avg is about 20% faster than the 580.

April-may for launch of the 680.

The 670 will be price abit more than the 7970.
The 680 will be the most expensive single gpu card on the market when its out.

Didn't NV already state that the highest kepler won't be out until the end of the year?
 

Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,219
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TY Lava ;)

I think the stock GK104 will have the performance of GTX560Ti SLI. GTX660Ti/760Ti

That is of course if the shader rumor turns out true (768). If it's that 576 shader rumor, then I'd say about 10% faster than GTX580. Depending on clocks of course.

This is just going by "Fermi" architecture and not accounting for the new Kepler arch.

It's going to overclock to Mars.
 
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Feb 19, 2009
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Top end (gk110/gk100) ~550mm2 = ~50% faster than gtx580
Mid-range (gk104) ~400mm2 = ~20% faster than gtx580

Interesting tibids on on die physics unit.
 

Imouto

Golden Member
Jul 6, 2011
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GTX 670 = HD 7970
GTX 680 = +20% over 7970

Then HD 7980 with 1300 core and some OC room delivers suprise buttsecks.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
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My guess - It'll overtake the 7970 by 30%. AMD will respond with a 1.4GHz tweaked 89xx part. Again, this is just a guess based on absolutely nothing. :)
 

xp0c

Member
Jan 20, 2008
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$600 space heater in the dog days of summer. Best to wait for a new card from AMD in the fall/winter. lol
 

kami

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
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GTX 680 = 20-30% faster than 7970
GTX 670 = ~7970
GTX 660 = ~GTX 580
 

Rvenger

Elite Member <br> Super Moderator <br> Video Cards
Apr 6, 2004
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GTX 680 will be about 20% faster but power consumption will be somewhat higher.

I think they limited/gimped the HD 7970 and it should be faster than it is.