Originally posted by: Bowfinger
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: borosp1
Actually the unemployment number is a little bogus. What they count is people on unemployment insurance. What happens is in this tough economy some people in certian sectors for sure cant find a job after 6 months of unemployments insurance. Right when they lost the insurance they get taken off the count as if they were employed. Thats where the numbers get scewed..
Also replacing a high paying job or a job where you are in the middle class for a crappy retail job for instance wich paid 1/5th your original salary counts like you are emplyed as well.
So in other words, because of this, we really dont know what the real number is. So why would we think it's so bad? It might not be afterall. Apparently we dont really know.
Right?
Congratulations! After considering your posts for the last few weeks, I believe you've taken the right-wing crown for most consistently asinine, dishonest, and blindly partisan tripe. You may now sit in the corner and wear your dunce cap with pride.
No, we don't know precisely what the real numbers are. What we do know is that the Unemployment statistics
underreport the number of people who want to work but have not found employment, and that the overall Employment statistics
overstate employment since they count part-time employment and underemployment equally with good full-time jobs.
The Unemployment stat ignores those who do not meet the BLS definition of "actively seeking employment" for one reason or another. One can debate whether those people
should be counted or not, but the fact remains there are a lot of people who want jobs and are available for employment but are not counted as unemployed.
The Employment stat ignores the quantity and quality of employment. Let's assume you used to make $100K per year as an engineer, but got laid off two years ago and haven't been able to find a comparable professional position. No worries. Did you land that plum $8 per hour, no-benefits greeter job at Wal-Mart? Guess what, the BLS now counts you as employed again. No, not even a crappy Wal-Mart job? OK, did you earn $5 for mowing someone's lawn last week? Congratulations, you still count as employed for BLS purposes. Once again, one might make the case that such people should technically count as employed, but it certainly isn't what most Americans have in mind when the government talks about how great our employment numbers look.
We also know that the BLS made a reporting change a few years ago (January, 2003, IIRC -- I've documented it here before) that resulted in a one-time increase in the Employment stat of almost one million jobs. There wasn't an actual increase in employed, mind you, just a larger number on the report. That's not terribly important when comparing this month's Employment to last month's. It does become important when someone from the Bush administration touts the five million jobs added since they took office. One million of them are a reporting artifact, and another 1.5 million of them (again, IIRC) are part-time, plus due to population growth, the United States needs to add about 1.8 million jobs per year just to break even.
In other words, as others have already pointed out, when the government talks about Unemployment and Employment, their picture has been artificially enhanced to make things look better than they really are. It's sort of like Hollywood, only with statistics instead of saline.