<< Actually conjur I think that's the best model you can give for this... I believe it's a physics concept, b ut I'm not sure. One of my buddies had explained to me that the reason lightbulbs are more likely to blow when first turned on is because they undergo the most change within their system at that point, going from no power to full power. It seemed to make sense to me.
Although, if this were the case I'd expect that it wouldn;t be your hdd that would go, but instead fans, possibly memory, and maybe even motherboard bridges that would go. >>
Light bulbs blow most often at power up because we demand instant light. To get a standard light bulb to come on instantly requires a power surge. There are actually "long life" light bulbs out there that nip this surge. Or at least, this is what I've been told 🙂
BTW, mechanical parts almost always die faster than chips.
Ask people what has failed them more in the long term, and I'll bet fans and drives are at the top.