I was just going to post this. It's an interesting article and he brings up some good points, but I highly doubt recordable DVDs (not just DVD-R as your thread title states) are going to disappear in the next couple years. With all these DVD players being sold during this Christmas season and last, people want to USE these DVD players for something. Why not burn your home videos to DVD? They'll last longer, look better, plus it just sounds and looks better when you whip out a DVD of your kid's birthday party.
I'm going to wait until I can get a DVD recorder for around $100 (after rebates, of course
). It's getting close with deals popping up at $150 (after rebate), but it's not quite there yet. Plus the media is just crazy expensive at this time.