Interest Rates

Ilmater

Diamond Member
Jun 13, 2002
7,516
1
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Up or down in the future? I would think down to help the economy, but up to stave off inflation. What are your thoughts on where interest rates will go in the next 2 - 3 years? Any articles to back up those opinions?
 

PingSpike

Lifer
Feb 25, 2004
21,766
615
126
I don't think the fed will be able to pretend rampant inflation doesn't exist for much longer.
 

Aharami

Lifer
Aug 31, 2001
21,205
165
106
which interest rate you talking about. If mortgage, i believe they are heading up. They have gone up a significant amount already
 

Special K

Diamond Member
Jun 18, 2000
7,098
0
76
Forecasting interest rates for the next 2-3 years is impossible. I would guess both short and long-term rates are going up, only because inflation has become a major concern lately. Like IcebergSlim said though, everyone's predictions here are about as good as the crystal ball they are using.
 
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
68
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They'll be going up. Right now the interest rate spread is about 1.25% (the difference in the rate that banks borrow and lend)

The fed is going to be forced to raise interest rates. This is going to casue the spread to tighten. The only thing banks can do is borrow the rate at which they are lending.

The side effect of rising interest rates is that it should help to strengthen the US dollar. To anyone that thinks that rates will stay here, or go down, you are wrong and not thinking straight. What is the point of borrowing money at a lower rate if the goods we buy from overseas cost more?

regardless of inflation rates, and what the fed does in the future, be aware that in bear markets, inflation rates can get up to 7%. And this bear market could have legs (10-20 years). If it does what has happened in the past (bear markets last as long as the previous bull), you are looking at a 17 year bear market. That means stocks will trade sideways (not go up or down).
 

Special K

Diamond Member
Jun 18, 2000
7,098
0
76
Originally posted by: IHateMyJob2004
They'll be going up. Right now the interest rate spread is about 1.25% (the difference in the rate that banks borrow and lend)

The fed is going to be forced to raise interest rates. This is going to casue the spread to tighten. The only thing banks can do is borrow the rate at which they are lending.

The side effect of rising interest rates is that it should help to strengthen the US dollar. To anyone that thinks that rates will stay here, or go down, you are wrong and not thinking straight. What is the point of borrowing money at a lower rate if the goods we buy from overseas cost more?

regardless of inflation rates, and what the fed does in the future, be aware that in bear markets, inflation rates can get up to 7%. And this bear market could have legs (10-20 years). If it does what has happened in the past (bear markets last as long as the previous bull), you are looking at a 17 year bear market. That means stocks will trade sideways (not go up or down).

17 year bear market? What years are you defining to be the "previous bull market"?
 

Billb2

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2005
3,035
70
86
If I knew, I wouldn't tell and I'd get rich..........

Intreat rate futures change on a daily basis. I future rates were known, the futures wouldn't change would they?
 

BurnItDwn

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
26,376
1,885
126
They may stay where they are at for a little while more, but then they are going to go up as the Fed is going to try to combat some of the inflation.