I'm incredibly unlucky! update #2

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chuckywang

Lifer
Jan 12, 2004
20,133
1
0
Originally posted by: shuan24
uh-oh, the ownage is starting to become strong in this thread.

I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
 

nakedfrog

No Lifer
Apr 3, 2001
62,379
18,306
136
Originally posted by: chuckywang
Originally posted by: shuan24
uh-oh, the ownage is starting to become strong in this thread.

I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.

I don't think you're doing it right, then :p
 

shuan24

Platinum Member
Jul 17, 2003
2,558
0
0
Originally posted by: Glavinsolo
Kind of like scratch offs where the grand prize and all the lower prizes have already been distributed but the scratch off tickets are still being sold

wow never thought about that! Interesting point you brought up...
Originally posted by: chuckywang
I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
I wouldn't be so sure about that... 2^17 doesn't sound right....the (2/3)^17 sounds more correct
 

Anubis

No Lifer
Aug 31, 2001
78,712
427
126
tbqhwy.com
i dont drink much soda but the last 4 times ive gotten a coke ive won a free coke, and they claim 1 in 12 wins a free coke
 

Mathlete

Senior member
Aug 23, 2004
652
0
71
Originally posted by: chuckywang
Originally posted by: Mathlete
Originally posted by: chuckywang
uh...the odds are 2^17 better than that.

You don't know probability.

If I could figure out what you are trying to say I would tell you that you do not understand probability because it's not the same as odds.

The probability of losing 17 times in a row is (2/3)^17 which is .0010149592

What's so hard to understand about my post? besides the loose terminology, it's pretty straightfoward.

What odds?? Winning or losing??? 2^17=131072. what does that refer too

So here is your statement:

uh...the odds [of what] are 131,072 better than that [what???]

how can odds be 131072 better than anything???

I am confusing myself trying to explain how you confused me.

 

chuckywang

Lifer
Jan 12, 2004
20,133
1
0
Originally posted by: shuan24
Originally posted by: Glavinsolo
Kind of like scratch offs where the grand prize and all the lower prizes have already been distributed but the scratch off tickets are still being sold

wow never thought about that! Interesting point you brought up...
Originally posted by: chuckywang
I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
I wouldn't be so sure about that... 2^17 doesn't sound right....the (2/3)^17 sounds more correct

I said the odds are "2^17 better than that" meaning they are 2^17 times the number the OP gave.
 

walla

Senior member
Jun 2, 2001
987
0
0
Originally posted by: shuan24
Originally posted by: Glavinsolo
Kind of like scratch offs where the grand prize and all the lower prizes have already been distributed but the scratch off tickets are still being sold

wow never thought about that! Interesting point you brought up...
Originally posted by: chuckywang
I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
I wouldn't be so sure about that... 2^17 doesn't sound right....the (2/3)^17 sounds more correct


2^17*(1/3)^17=(2/3)^17. He was exactly correct. :)
 

Hossenfeffer

Diamond Member
Jul 16, 2000
7,462
1
0
I say send in all the unwinning ones to Pepsi along with a clever story. The novelty of that should at least have them send you something.
 

shuan24

Platinum Member
Jul 17, 2003
2,558
0
0
Originally posted by: walla
Originally posted by: shuan24
Originally posted by: Glavinsolo
Kind of like scratch offs where the grand prize and all the lower prizes have already been distributed but the scratch off tickets are still being sold

wow never thought about that! Interesting point you brought up...
Originally posted by: chuckywang
I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
I wouldn't be so sure about that... 2^17 doesn't sound right....the (2/3)^17 sounds more correct


2^17*(1/3)^17=(2/3)^17. He was exactly correct. :)

I stand corrected! :) I owned myself! I hereby award chuckywang the official owner of the ownage in this thread! :beer:
 

Mathlete

Senior member
Aug 23, 2004
652
0
71
Originally posted by: chuckywang
Originally posted by: shuan24
Originally posted by: Glavinsolo
Kind of like scratch offs where the grand prize and all the lower prizes have already been distributed but the scratch off tickets are still being sold

wow never thought about that! Interesting point you brought up...
Originally posted by: chuckywang
I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
I wouldn't be so sure about that... 2^17 doesn't sound right....the (2/3)^17 sounds more correct

I said the odds are "2^17 better than that" meaning they are 2^17 times the number the OP gave.

That makes more sense. I just never, EVAR heard say "better" when the mean "times". And I got confused when you said odds and he was talkin prob. But yes, yes you are right( as long as odds=prob and better=times)
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
49,601
167
111
www.slatebrookfarm.com
:eek: ooops, yeah, I didn't stop to think a few minutes ago...

I did the probability of winning 17 times in a row.

Probability of *losing* 17 times in a row is (2/3) ^ 17
(just got done doing too many coin probability problems with 1/2 probabilities with my sophomores)

(2/3)^17 = 131072/129,140,163 Forgot about my numerator! Ooops!

So, yeah, more like 1 in 1000.
 

chuckywang

Lifer
Jan 12, 2004
20,133
1
0
Originally posted by: shuan24
Originally posted by: walla
Originally posted by: shuan24
Originally posted by: Glavinsolo
Kind of like scratch offs where the grand prize and all the lower prizes have already been distributed but the scratch off tickets are still being sold

wow never thought about that! Interesting point you brought up...
Originally posted by: chuckywang
I just want to point out that I started the ownage. That is a feeling that is better than sex.
I wouldn't be so sure about that... 2^17 doesn't sound right....the (2/3)^17 sounds more correct


2^17*(1/3)^17=(2/3)^17. He was exactly correct. :)

I stand corrected! :) I owned myself! I hereby award chuckywang the official owner of the ownage in this thread! :beer:

QFT
 

GeekDrew

Diamond Member
Jun 7, 2000
9,099
19
81
For a while, every Pepsi (actually, Mountain Dew) I drank gave me an iTunes code... like 10 Pepsi's in a row.
 

tami

Lifer
Nov 14, 2004
11,588
3
81
isn't the promotion over? i had a winning cap from 2 days ago but it said the promotion ended on 4/11/05.
 

Phoenix86

Lifer
May 21, 2003
14,644
10
81
Originally posted by: DrPizza
:eek: ooops, yeah, I didn't stop to think a few minutes ago...

I did the probability of winning 17 times in a row.

Probability of *losing* 17 times in a row is (2/3) ^ 17
(just got done doing too many coin probability problems with 1/2 probabilities with my sophomores)

(2/3)^17 = 131072/129,140,163 Forgot about my numerator! Ooops!

So, yeah, more like 1 in 1000.

*Whips out red marker*
Oh wait can't use that anymore... ;)