cliff notes:bring capitalism to north korea, or at least we can say we tried and nuke'em. otherwise known as the china policy.
i don't see kim buying it. this is going to weaken his stranglehold for power, give people a little and they take it all. what does he care about his people, he's living the high life. he just needs nukes so no one can shock and awe him. i think he's bluffing with the nukes, but who's going to find out?
plus he's still gotta unify korea, hence i don't think kim will be cutting his conventional forces anytime soon. that's the problem with these dictators, what do they want? just come out and say so.
they're like politicians they say nothing and let the populace argue which each other, while they stay in power. fooled again.
if on the other hand kim really wants to bring power to nk and not invade, he might go ahead with it. but who's to say he won't just use it to gain more money to eventually attack sk on a more equal footing. that's going to be hard to convince the US government to strengthen north korea, of course we don't have this problem with china for some reason. we just have to realize we're still so much more powerful.
then there's the whole issue of trust. would you trust the us to not break a non-agression pact? i wouldn't. we would just take any missile strike from iran as an attack from north korea.
currently kim is still in power because of china. china doesn't want to see a failed north korea, because then we'll reconstruct it and they definately don't want a us ally next door. they also don't want a powerful north korea, because they need a good rich customer like south korea. in other words, china likes the status quo. and since they're the masters of nk, that won't happen. we're going to have to use our trade issues to pressure them.
also who is going to deal with nk? nk is not going to allow western people in, maybe sk i'm not sure. i doubt it. so that leaves china. china doesn't want to waste money in nk. they're on the road to superpower stardom.
it's a good solution, but i don't think its doable because both sides don't trust each other. and china likes the current situation. and like the author said at least we can say we tried then nuk'em.
i really don't see the problem with nk. sure they potentially have nukes and he might use them if he loses power. but after that, poof he's gone. kim is not dumb enough to export nukes. he'll go to the edge and ship missiles/drugs/weapons but not nukes. he's trying to make money to survive, not commit suicide.
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