If the BCS was released today...(College Football Season Week 6)

[sciencewhiz]

The first official BCS ratings will be released next Sunday (Oct 14).

There are still only 4 computers releasing rankings. Anderson-Hester may still release rankings, while Wolfe will not release his to the public until after the first BCS release. There was one game Sunday night. Billingsley and Massey included that game, while Sagarin and Colley have not. Since Boise State beat New Mexico state, it doesn't make that much difference either way.

1 LSU 6-0
2 Ohio State 6-0
3 California 5-0
4 Boston College 6-0
5 South Florida 5-0
6 South Carolina 5-1
7 Missouri 5-0
8 West Virginia 5-1
9 Virginia Tech 5-1
10 Arizona St 6-0
11 Oklahoma 5-1
12 Oregon 4-1
13 Southern California 4-1
14 Florida 4-2
15 Illinois 5-1
16 Cincinnati 6-0
17 Wisconsin 5-1
18 Kentucky 5-1
19 Hawaii 6-0
20 Kansas 5-0
21 Auburn 4-2
22 Connecticut 5-0
23 Florida St 4-1
24 Purdue 5-1
25 Texas 4-2

 

[Cuda1447]

Aww, BC jumped ahead USF? That sucks!

 

[LS20]

BC wont be there for long
Id really like to see SC do well.. perhaps a BCS bid... someone bring Spurrier in to replace Mack Brown and his lackey crew (Greg Davis)

 

[sciencewhiz]

Right now BC is 6th in the computers while USF is 2nd. BC's remaining schedule is harder then USF, so they should move up a little in the computers (relative to USF). However, if both finish undefeated, USF should still be ahead, on the virtue that their overall schedule is slightly harder. The polls will also likely keep BC ahead of USF if both keep winning. Right now BC's lead in the polls is substantial, but will probably diminish as more teams lose.

It should be interesting to see what happens if both teams go undefeated. BC has the polls (by about 2 places) and USF has the computers (by about 4 places), putting them about equal. Each will lose a little of their advantage as things settle.

 

[JasonCoder]

Are these actual computations or educated guesses? If calculated, the scores would be neat, if there's a measly difference between 2 and 3 the computers that are as yet not included could swing it pretty good.

 

[Suspicious-Teach8788]

tOSU... booo

Originally posted by: LS20
BC wont be there for long
Id really like to see SC do well.. perhaps a BCS bid... someone bring Spurrier in to replace Mack Brown and his lackey crew (Greg Davis)

SC can still go to the Rose Bowl but that's not happening as Cal will lay a smackdown at home =)

 

[Zenmervolt]

Originally posted by: DLeRium
tOSU... booo

I have no idea who this "tOSU" is. But the Buckeyes of OSU are looking to post a pretty good record this season. I think that they have a good chance of winning out.

Granted, if Cal and LSU continue to win out, I think that Cal is the legitimate #2 team in the country. If Cal drops one though...

ZV

 

[sciencewhiz]

Originally posted by: JasonCoder
Are these actual computations or educated guesses? If calculated, the scores would be neat, if there's a measly difference between 2 and 3 the computers that are as yet not included could swing it pretty good.

It's calculated based on the 4 computers already released. I generally compare tellshowbcs.com (free) and collegebcs.com (subscription). Here are the computer rankings: http://tellshowbcs.com/CP.html

Typically, Billingsley is the outlier, and the other 5 computers are pretty similar. My educated guess is that the two unreleased computers will not change it enough to swap who is #2 and #3.

 

[Ns1]

the shame. oh the shame. :brokenheart:

 

[Drako]

Originally posted by: Zenmervolt

Originally posted by: DLeRium
tOSU... booo

I have no idea who this "tOSU" is. But the Buckeyes of OSU are looking to post a pretty good record this season. I think that they have a good chance of winning out.

Granted, if Cal and LSU continue to win out, I think that Cal is the legitimate #2 team in the country. If Cal drops one though...

ZV

The Ohio State / Illinois game should be a good one. And of course the war at the Big House at the end of the season will be entertaining. Other than that, I see the Buckeyes winning out.

 

[kalster]

Originally posted by: DLeRium
tOSU... booo

Originally posted by: LS20
BC wont be there for long
Id really like to see SC do well.. perhaps a BCS bid... someone bring Spurrier in to replace Mack Brown and his lackey crew (Greg Davis)

SC can still go to the Rose Bowl but that's not happening as Cal will lay a smackdown at home =)

i am pretty sure he meant south carolina when he said SC, but yeh, its going to be hard to USC to go to a bcs bowl this season

 

[oiprocs]

I hate anybody that thinks they deserve to be a national champion EVERY year.

(Michigan, Ohio State, USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Texas, Florida....you get the point)

 

[Sukhoi]

Woooo....go Illinois! 😀

 

[RKS]

Originally posted by: Oiprocs
I hate anybody that thinks they deserve to be a national champion EVERY year.

(Michigan, Ohio State, USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Texas, Florida....you get the point)

because polls are based on the subjective feelings of the team? 😕

 

[YoungGun21]

Everyone say hello to Illinois in the top 20.

Bet you didn't predict that.

 

[chuckywang]

What's up with all these upsets lately? I have a feeling that we could have some sort of huge logjam at the end of the season with absolutely no undefeated teams and a bunch of one-loss teams.

Who would play in the championship game then? Expect the computer ratings to play a huge part in the outcome.

 

[Killerme33]

Wow that has Arizona State (6-0 baby!) at #10. Most polls I've seen put us at #14.

 

[Chryso]

It's hard to say who would play then but it probably wouldn't be someone who lost to Stanford.

 

[sciencewhiz]

Originally posted by: Killerme33
Wow that has Arizona State (6-0 baby!) at #10. Most polls I've seen put us at #14.

The computer rankings for Arizona State are much better, 7th on average (and 2nd in Colley). That helps them in the BCS significantly.

 

[mwmorph]

Originally posted by: Sukhoi
Woooo....go Illinois! 😀

Originally posted by: YoungGun21
Everyone say hello to Illinois in the top 20.

Bet you didn't predict that.

:thumbsup:

 

[sciencewhiz]

Originally posted by: chuckywang
What's up with all these upsets lately? I have a feeling that we could have some sort of huge logjam at the end of the season with absolutely no undefeated teams and a bunch of one-loss teams.

Who would play in the championship game then? Expect the computer ratings to play a huge part in the outcome.

Not nearly as much as in 2003 when Oklahoma and LSU made it because of stronger computer rankings. Back then, computers were 50% of the formula and now they are only 33%. It would be very hard for the #1 team in the polls to not make the BCS championship game with the current setup.

 

[NeoV]

I was thinking Illinois would be tough next year - not sure how, but Zook has had tremendous recruiting classes each of the past 2 years.

 

[Gibsons]

Originally posted by: Drako

Originally posted by: Zenmervolt

Originally posted by: DLeRium
tOSU... booo

I have no idea who this "tOSU" is. But the Buckeyes of OSU are looking to post a pretty good record this season. I think that they have a good chance of winning out.

Granted, if Cal and LSU continue to win out, I think that Cal is the legitimate #2 team in the country. If Cal drops one though...

ZV

The Ohio State / Illinois game should be a good one. And of course the war at the Big House at the end of the season will be entertaining. Other than that, I see the Buckeyes winning out.

I think USC beats Cal, and I just don't see Carr beating Tressel. He's probably only got one more chance anyway. 😛

LSU still has to play Auburn and the SEC CG.

 

[Syringer]

Further shows that pac-10 >>>> SEC

 

[Zenmervolt]

Originally posted by: Oiprocs
I hate anybody that thinks they deserve to be a national champion EVERY year.

(Michigan, Ohio State, USC, LSU, Oklahoma, Texas, Florida....you get the point)

I don't know anyone who thinks their team deserves it every year. OSU certainly didn't deserve it last year the way we played against Florida. We deserved the chance to play in the title game that year though.

If LSU and Cal both finish the season undefeated, then I think that they deserve to play in the Championship game even if OSU also finishes undefeated. If OSU loses a game somewhere in there, then they don't deserve to be in the championship game.

Bottom line, in most cases if you are a top-tier team and go undefeated, you deserve to be in the championship game. Doesn't matter which team you are.

The teams you've mentioned, however, tend to be perennially among the strongest teams in the country simply because they tend to field the best players, attract the best coaches, and have the most money.

ZV