Originally posted by: TastesLikeChicken
Where ya been Dave? They've been talking about this system for 3 days now.
Originally posted by: Common Courtesy
And the MidWest has been in a drought condition.
Let the moisture come and replentish the soil for the crops.
Much of the rain gets absorbed rather than lost.
You know it never rains in southern fallow corn, yeah?Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Common Courtesy
And the MidWest has been in a drought condition.
Let the moisture come and replentish the soil for the crops.
Much of the rain gets absorbed rather than lost.
I think Iowa is the only ones that have been dry.
Ironic
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Meteorologists were at a loss to explain the rapid, 16-hour genesis of the first hurricane to hit the U.S. since 2005.
Originally posted by: Genx87
WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE!
Ok maybe not all of us as i live in MN, well far away from those Hurricanes. But I do enjoy the warm gulf air they typically pull north for us
Originally posted by: Lemon law
Hurricane Season 2007 has been really strange.
Two really big cat 5's that went well South of the US mainland and then this Humberto that formed right off the coast and intensified literally overnight.
Had it had more water distance to work with it could have been much much more damaging.
The question is will this be attributed to global warming as more data is processed? If so, I would hate to see what happens if we get hit by another cat 5.
Originally posted by: Jaskalas
This storm would have to pull a Humberto with perfect conditions and I don?t expect it has that so close to shore. I wish it would give me some rain.
I don?t expect a news maker out of this one.
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Armchair meteorologists. Lovely!
Originally posted by: Jaskalas
This storm would have to pull a Humberto with perfect conditions and I don?t expect it has that so close to shore. I wish it would give me some rain.
I don?t expect a news maker out of this one.
Originally posted by: TastesLikeChicken
It's actually not very impressive. There's dry air infiltrating the SE quadrant of the storm, not to mention that the greater part of the NE and NW quadrants are already over land which will tend to inhibit further development. The bands are not very organized and the fact that thunderstorms are being reported with this system indicates that wind speeds are relatively low within the bands that do exist. With any tightly wrapped tropical storm you'll have a great amount of convection in the banding but the high winds inhibit lightning. You'll generally only see lightning in a very organized tropical system in the very outer bands.
This is going to be merely a minor blow. No real further development of the system should be expected.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE NON-TROPICAL LOW IN THE GULF HAS
GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY...WITH A
WELL-DEFINED BAND IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND INTERMITTENT
CONVECTION CLOSER TO THE CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION
PRESENT PROBABLY STRAINS THE DEFINITION A BIT...BECAUSE OF THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT RIGHT ALONG THE COASTLINE...
ADVISORIES ARE BEING INITIATED ON SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FIXED A SMALL
CIRCULATION CENTER A SHORT DISTANCE OFFSHORE OF APALACHICOLA...BUT
BUOY OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT A LARGER-SCALE CENTER MAY BE FARTHER
SOUTH. THE ILL-DEFINED NATURE OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION...AS WELL
AS THE LINGERING UPPER-LOW ALOFT...PROVIDE THE RATIONALE FOR A
SUBTROPICAL CLASSIFICATION.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/7. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD IS EXPECTED TO TURN THE
DEPRESSION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON A TRACK NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE
COASTLINE. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOLLOWS THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. BECAUSE THE
FORECAST TRACK IS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE...A LANDFALL
LOCATION IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT...BUT IN ANY EVENT THE CENTER OF A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS RELATIVELY UNIMPORTANT. MOST OF THE WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS WELL-DISPLACED FROM THE CENTER.
THE UPPER-LOW IS FRAGMENTING...WITH THE MAIN ENERGY SLIDING
SOUTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION. THIS WILL LEAVE THE DEPRESSION UNDER
LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE FLOW OF
RELATIVELY COOL CONTINENTAL AIR INTO THE GULF AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM...AS WELL AS ITS POOR ORGANIZATION...SHOULD PREVENT
EXCESSIVE DEVELOPMENT. THE TROPICAL INTENSITY MODELS ALL SHOW
DEVELOPMENT TO A MID-RANGE TROPICAL STORM...WHILE THE GLOBAL
MODELS...WHICH MIGHT BE MORE APPROPRIATE TO THIS SITUATION...
FORECAST LITTLE STRENGTHENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REPRESENTS A
COMPROMISE AMONG THESE SOLUTIONS.
Originally posted by: Steve
Dave, can you give me a prediction on the next wave of cicadas in Chicago?