Hurricane Predictions Miss The Mark

[Pabster]

Story here.

''The seasonal hurricane forecasters certainly have a lot of explaining to do,'' said Max Mayfield, former director of the National Hurricane Center.

I bring this up to tie-in with the global warming circus we're now presented with on a daily basis. If we were in such dire straits, how does one explain 2 relatively mild hurricane years in a row? Could it be just a natural cycle, as many have said time and time again?

 

[Moonbeam]

The nature of predictions is that they are predictions. They almost always miss the mark. Their value is in how much better they predict outcomes over guessing.

 

[Jaskalas]

Originally posted by: Moonbeam
The nature of predictions is that they are predictions. They almost always miss the mark. Their value is in how much better they predict outcomes over guessing.

Now if only that message got through to the MMGW cultists.

 

[fskimospy]

Originally posted by: Pabster
Story here.

''The seasonal hurricane forecasters certainly have a lot of explaining to do,'' said Max Mayfield, former director of the National Hurricane Center.

I bring this up to tie-in with the global warming circus we're now presented with on a daily basis. If we were in such dire straits, how does one explain 2 relatively mild hurricane years in a row? Could it be just a natural cycle, as many have said time and time again?

First of all the NOAA was off by exactly 1 intense hurricane. They were correct in their number of named storms and actual hurricanes. Are you trying to become hellokeith or something? I think you have enough embarassing threads to your name as it is.

That's not important though, because you're trying to take data from a few years and apply it to something measured in decades. It's incredibly foolish to be doing so like you are trying to do. Of course anyone who isn't an idiot already knows that. I guess I should just be trying to figure out if you are being led around by the nose, or if this is deliberate.

Global warming proponents might be wrong with their hurricane forcasts, but if they are you wouldn't be able to tell in two years. What you are doing is akin to saying global warming isn't happening because it's cold outside today.

 

[PokerGuy]

If you're too dense to understand the nature of long term weather prediction, I'm afraid no posts here are going to help you understand.......

 

[Vette73]

YAPabT

Nothing to see here.

 

[jonks]

Originally posted by: Marlin1975
YAPabT

Nothing to see here.

Yep, just more "proof" science is the devil's work. When will those low men in white coats finally be banished! Some people can't quite discern the difference between math as a science, from biology as a science, from boxing as a sweet science.

 

[blackangst1]

You know whats interesting...I'll have to find the article with the data...there have been 75% more natural disasters in the last 10 years than the 10 years prior to that.

Anyway.

 

[jonks]

Originally posted by: blackangst1
You know whats interesting...I'll have to find the article with the data...there have been 75% more natural disasters in the last 10 years than the 10 years prior to that.

Anyway.

Because God is Angry.

 

[SViscusi]

Originally posted by: sirjonk

Originally posted by: blackangst1
You know whats interesting...I'll have to find the article with the data...there have been 75% more natural disasters in the last 10 years than the 10 years prior to that.

Anyway.

Because God is Angry.

You would be too if you had the douches he had speaking in your name.

 

[Moonbeam]

Originally posted by: SViscusi

Originally posted by: sirjonk

Originally posted by: blackangst1
You know whats interesting...I'll have to find the article with the data...there have been 75% more natural disasters in the last 10 years than the 10 years prior to that.

Anyway.

Because God is Angry.

You would be too if you had the douches he had speaking in your name.

Brutal

 

[jonks]

Originally posted by: Moonbeam

Originally posted by: SViscusi

Originally posted by: sirjonk

Originally posted by: blackangst1
You know whats interesting...I'll have to find the article with the data...there have been 75% more natural disasters in the last 10 years than the 10 years prior to that.

Anyway.

Because God is Angry.

You would be too if you had the douches he had speaking in your name.

Brutal

Honest:

"I really believe that the pagans, and the abortionists, and the feminists, and the gays and the lesbians who are actively trying to make that an alternative lifestyle, the ACLU, People For the American Way, all of them who have tried to secularize America. I point the finger in their face and say 'you helped this happen.'" - Jerry Falwell, days after 9/11.

"I totally concur." Pat Robertson, seconds after Falwell's rant.

"If you gave Jerry Falwell an enema, you could bury him in a matchbox.? Christopher Hitchens, shortly after Falwell's tragic passing.

 

[umbrella39]

Originally posted by: Jaskalas

Originally posted by: Moonbeam
The nature of predictions is that they are predictions. They almost always miss the mark. Their value is in how much better they predict outcomes over guessing.

Now if only that message got through to the MMGW cultists.

QFT.

 

[Corn]

Originally posted by: umbrella39

Originally posted by: Jaskalas

Originally posted by: Moonbeam
The nature of predictions is that they are predictions. They almost always miss the mark. Their value is in how much better they predict outcomes over guessing.

Now if only that message got through to the MMGW cultists.

QFT.

LOL, I don't think you quite got that.......

 

[shadow9d9]

You mean weather forecasters are wrong most of the time!?!?!?! Good thing you posted this here!