Originally posted by: jahawkin
Originally posted by: Millennium
What pure fallacies have I asserted? Where have I said anything about associations between global warming and severe weather? Please go back and read my posts and point this out.
So the wsr-88ds have been around for 15 years, what kind of climatological data set is that?
You said:
Are you kidding me!!! LOL!! Have you ever heard of paleoclimatology, for example? Or perhaps the Journal of Climate. Most of the articles in there are about climate from "more than a few hundred years" ago. Do you think they just make up the data??There is hardly any climo data that can be considering accurate that is more than a few hundred years old.
More sidestepping, and still not a single link to disprove what I said. Climatology has little to do with modern climatology. I didn't know we still looked at a Tree's ring to determine if we are in a drought or not. We use rain guages and past RECORDED data now. There is a huge difference, but I wouldn't expect someone with your intelligence or lack of education about the subject to know anything about it. BTW, all you are doing is using google to try and find information to support your claim. Are you a google warrior? Is that all you can do? Use a search engine? How about doing some research and then TRYING to point out an article to me. Right now you are weakening with each turn.
Paleo vs modern? HAHAHA idiot.
Hey look! The N hemisphere temp drops when the southern hemisphere goes up. That couldn't be due to El/La Nino could it? NAH!
And hey, Paleoclimatology still doesn't say ANYTHING about tornadoes or Hurricanes. The most violent hurricane the US has encountered this century was in the 1960's. So why does anyone say global warming caused this hurricane? If Camille wasn't affected by WARMER temperatures back then(look at the run up after 1950, until the decrease lately) then how was Claudette? You want the answer? They are affecting by ocean and surface temperatures to some degree, but there is not ENOUGH data to determine if this is the result of temporary influences or a permanent warm up. You are WANTING to draw conclusions with data that doesn't even support your position. There is very little record of Hurricanes or Tornadoes prior to the 1900's, and most certainly not the databases we have now.
How are we supposed to make inferences without enough data? Why the more active 1998 and 1974 severe weather seasons? If you look at YOUR charts is seems we have been on a decline for a while in the Northern Hemi. The Southern has increased, but the ARTIC temps have dropped. Guess the polar ice caps are not going to be melting eh?
You said:
"Surprise, but the number of Violent tornadoes or Hurricanes has not increased moreso than any other fluctuations during the past 100 decades."
That statement cannot be proven and I asked you what data you had to back that up. Look back through the thread, I have made no assertion about the incidence of tornadoes on any timescale. So I don't get why you're asking me to disprove your statement when it stands on no grounds itself. Please, please point out where I said anything about the frequency of severe weather other than to call your bullsh!t.
You say:
"You are WANTING to draw conclusions with data that doesn't even support your position."
Exactly what conclusions am I drawing and what position do I have? I just pointed out where you have put your foot in your mouth by making ignorant statements like "there is no accurate climatological information that is more that a few hundred years old."
You are demonstrating that you have a very limited and incorrect view of what climate and climatology is. In order the know and study the climate processes today, we have to study the climate of the past. To know how something like an increase of greenhouse gases will affect our climate, you have to have some idea of what drives climate and the only way to do that is to look at the past.
You say:
"Climatology has little to do with modern climatology"
How so? And WTF is "modern climatology" and how does it differ from normal "climatology" as you put it?
I almost missed it, but you put your foot in your mouth again, when saying "Hey look! The N hemisphere temp drops when the southern hemisphere goes up. That couldn't be due to El/La Nino could it? NAH! "
Well, those figures you link to are for the time period 1400-present. You're telling me that you can pick out particular years in a plot that spans 600 years? Or that individual El Ninos are reflected in the 30-year running mean lines??
You say:
"They (hurrincanes) are affecting by ocean and surface temperatures to some degree, but there is not ENOUGH data to determine if this is the result of temporary influences or a permanent warm up."
To some degree?? Of course hurricanes are affected by ocean temperatures. SST is a prime factor in how intense a hurricane will be. If, as a result of global warming, global SSTs rise, then, on average, hurricanes will be more intense.
You say:
"How are we supposed to make inferences without enough data?"
By understanding the processes that drive climate and understanding past climate, that's how.
"BTW, did you want to LINK me a specific article in the Journal of Climate? All the papers I looked at were discussing current trends or very short past events."
Here, here.[/quote]
Supposed to be Paleo-Climatology vs Climatology. Picking on spelling and typos eh? Sure bet you have a strong argument. You still haven't proved we have accurate Climo data that is more than a few hundred centuries old. We don't. All we can do is look at things like tree rings and the like to get a FEEL of what happened. Anyways, sorry you don't what you are talking about. I guess you think shear is just a minor factor in Cane eh? Yeah you can have great temps, but what is major shear going to do? I will let you figure that out. BTW, you of course haven't told me anything I don't know yet, and have posted maybe or two half-relevant(me being nice) points. You still can do no more than accuse me of putting my foot in my mouth. You can't find ANYTHING to state Paleo records are as precise or as accurate as current(see last 150-200 years) records.
BTW, please understand how the NEXRAD can collect climo data... it can. It can estimate wind and rain. I didn't know we had a rainfall and wind station in every sq ft of the Nation. Oh we don't.