How Trump Just Keeps on Winning.

Mai72

Lifer
Sep 12, 2012
11,578
1,741
126
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/poli...just-keeps-winning/ar-BBLFBcr?ocid=spartanntp

The midterms will be very interesting. Republicans are in a tight mess, all due to Trump. I'm sure many dislike him, but are powerless to do anything about it.

Trump's takeover of the party is total. The Republican base is almost entirely aligned with him; those who cross Trump -- especially people in the GOP -- are made to feel the pain. (See: John McCain, Jeff Flake, Bob Corker.)

The problem that takeover creates for Republicans less interested in adherence to Trump than in making Republican majorities as large as possible is that the candidates the President favors are not always the candidates best positioned to win in the fall.

Take Kobach. He's a deeply controversial figure in Kansas and someone who lots and lots of dyed-in-the-wool Kansas Republicans just plain don't trust or like. If he unseats Colyer for the Republican nomination, the Sunflower State governor's race has at least the potential of becoming a Democratic pickup, due to unrest within the GOP directed toward Kobach. (Worth noting: Kansans elected and re-elected a Democratic governor in 2002 and 2006 in the form of Kathleen Sebelius.)

This is the Trump paradox for Republicans. Break with him and risk being on the wrong side of a primary loss. Stick with him and run the risk of being dragged down by his unpopularity with everyone outside of the Republican base.

Tuesday night affirmed that new reality for Republicans, and the near-impossibility of successfully navigating it.
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
The Ohio thing is interesting to me. GOP spent 3.5M to barely win control of a gerrymandered Republican district for 3 months before they have to do it all over again in the general election.
 

SP33Demon

Lifer
Jun 22, 2001
27,929
142
106
Wtf kind of fake news article is this.
The problem that takeover creates for Republicans less interested in adherence to Trump than in making Republican majorities as large as possible is that the candidates the President favors are not always the candidates best positioned to win in the fall.

Take Kobach. He's a deeply controversial figure in Kansas and someone who lots and lots of dyed-in-the-wool Kansas Republicans just plain don't trust or like. If he unseats Colyer for the Republican nomination, the Sunflower State governor's race has at least the potential of becoming a Democratic pickup, due to unrest within the GOP directed toward Kobach. (Worth noting: Kansans elected and re-elected a Democratic governor in 2002 and 2006 in the form of Kathleen Sebelius.)

Giving 1 example out of 5 = pure concern trolling by CNN.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Did they really think they'd be able to incite madness and then get to control it? Those poor Republicans, how could they have known that stoking fear, hatred, and lies would have unintended consequences for them.

And there it is, the truth.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Trump stole the GOP primary voting base. They're his, heart & soul. They swooned at the attention when he grabbed 'em by the pussy. Too bad for the GOP that the rest of America isn't nearly so impressed.
 

interchange

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
8,017
2,860
136
Trump has consolidated his base, but I think that's actually going to hurt the pubs in the general election. Democrats know their power lies with the vote. Their turnout in the special elections has been very impressive. Polling won't be accurate if that continues, and the more Trump-fellating a candidate does the more Democrats are driven to turn out. Will be interesting to see how much campaign strategy changes post-primary.
 

umbrella39

Lifer
Jun 11, 2004
13,819
1,126
126
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/n...y-turnout-higher-democrat-counties/950764002/

Ruh ROh... the Blue wave is crashing in on the Great Lakes State...

Lansing — Voter turnout was up Tuesday across Michigan but particularly so in counties won by Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016, suggesting heightened motivation among liberal voters who may have sat out the prior year races.

The 29.7 percent voter turnout in Tuesday’s primary election was the highest since at least 1978 and a 6.7 percentage point increase over 2010, the last year Michigan had competitive Republican and Democratic primaries for an open seat.

The turnout jump was highest in counties won by Clinton in 2016, which rose a collective 8.1 percentage points between 2010 and 2018, according to a Detroit News analysis. By comparison, turnout was up 5.3 points in counties won by Trump.

Michigan was decided by a very slim margin in 2016. Very slim indeed. This does not bode well for the MAGA crowd...

This and other recent results in MidWest States might need it's own thread. Trump won in 2016 right here. These States may very well be flipping right back...