- Jul 3, 2008
http://news.investors.com/politics-andrew-malcolm/091912-626231-gallup-poll-finds-presidential-race-a-close-tie-once-again.htmRomney is down in all major polls by at least 4-5 pts. Given the current economic state the country is in he should be up at least 4-5 pts. Looking at the swing state analysis shows an even grimmer picture. Obama is poised at this point to win reelection barring a major catastrophe.
Do you really think Romney's campaign is in good shape? What evidence do you have to support this?
Forget the Republican doom and gloom drumbeat peddled elsewhere in the media this week.
A new Gallup Poll out this morning finds President Obama's convention bounce fading and the 2012 presidential race reverting to its previous tight margin. What a bummer for the preferred media narrative of recent days!
The poll, of 1,096 registered voters in 12 key swing states, finds Obama and Mitt Romney virtually tied at 48% for the Democrat and 46% for Romney with less than seven weeks to go.
Gallup's Daily Tracking of registered voters nationally finds the margin even closer with Obama at 47% and Romney at 46%.
The crucial swing states polled were: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Obama handily won all 12 states over John McCain in 2008, but at this point this time the race is much closer.
Gallup found that 22% of those swing state voters said they were either undecided now or there's a slight chance they'll change their mind by Nov. 6. Ominously for Obama, more of that 22% susceptible to change currently support the incumbent.
Three-quarters of the swing state voters said the recent party conventions had not affected their choice.
And another three-quarters asserted the upcoming three presidential debates in October will have little influence on their vote.
Again ominously for Obama, the debates look to loom as more important for him than for Romney, the reverse of the usual incumbent-challenger template.