how much money do you think I will make/lose by year-end by investing in ebay (stock) today at $55/share?

[rnmcd]

What percentage gain or loss?

I predict +36%. Ebay will get up to $75 by December 31, 2003.

 

[filmmaker]

Originally posted by: rnmcd
I predict 36%. Ebay will get up to $75 by December 31, 2003.

I would go a little lower, but that's a good number to predict.

 

[Lonyo]

I would invest in ATi, their estimated prices seem to be rising, and I read about some discontent with nVidia's partners in making graphics cards, people who might think of switching. Also the release of the 9600 mobile and it's most probably gradual market take up will be nice.

 

[Orsorum]

I think you should put all of your money into it. You can't lose a thing, it's a hot stock tip, c'mon!

 

[filmmaker]

Originally posted by: Lonyo
I would invest in ATi, their estimated prices seem to be rising, and I read about some discontent with nVidia's partners in making graphics cards, people who might think of switching. Also the release of the 9600 mobile and it's most probably gradual market take up will be nice.

Actually, invest in water companies. Their stock will always be up.

 

[FeathersMcGraw]

So, any particular reason to expect a 36% return in 3 months, or just hoping to inspire a run from the sheep?

 

[damiano]

put your money in THIS one FLML

 

[conjur]

Pioneer Aviation!


(old farts out there should get that one )

 

[rnmcd]

Originally posted by: FeathersMcGraw
So, any particular reason to expect a 36% return in 3 months, or just hoping to inspire a run from the sheep?

no, i'm not trying to incite a buying frenzy. I couldn't care less if no one that reads this puts a cent into ebay.

I am just seeing how close I will be to my prediction by getting it in writing.

 

[DaveSimmons]

Originally posted by: FeathersMcGraw
So, any particular reason to expect a 36% return in 3 months, or just hoping to inspire a run from the sheep?

I predict S&P500 index fund shares will be a much safer long term investment, though they'll probably be treading water for the rest of this year.

 

[Amused]

Oh come on! If anyone had the answers to questions like this, they'd be rich beyond belief (and not posting here).

 

[cavemanmoron]

that stock will be worth about $14.83 at years end.
per share.

 

[gopunk]

you'll make 5 bucks

 

[StageLeft]

Put that cash in an index fund.

 

[rnmcd]

Originally posted by: Skoorb
Put that cash in an index fund.

I thought about an index fund but I couldn't find one that dealt mainly with e-commerce.

 

[Hector13]

Originally posted by: rnmcd

Originally posted by: Skoorb
Put that cash in an index fund.

I thought about an index fund but I couldn't find one that dealt mainly with e-commerce.

I wouldn't recommend investing a large part of your portfolio in any one name (or even in such a concentrated industry), but if you really want, I am sure there are a ton of "ecommerce" funds.

Try checking morningstar. Or look at the MII etf here

 

[Broohaha]

i would tell you but hten i'd hve to charge youa 4000 dollar broker's fee

 

[glugglug]

Ebay is one of the most over-inflated stocks out there right now. Sure, it's still climbing, but when reality finally sets in (I predict this will happen mid-2004), it's going to be one of the hardest hit.

 

[element]

What you need, is a time machine.

 

[rnmcd]

Originally posted by: glugglug
Ebay is one of the most over-inflated stocks out there right now. Sure, it's still climbing, but when reality finally sets in (I predict this will happen mid-2004), it's going to be one of the hardest hit.

I wholeheartedly believe that eBay stock is overvalued. But the market doesn't always work logically.

It may tank before year-end but I think it may have another run-up or two.

 

[Cyberian]

Originally posted by: glugglug
Ebay is one of the most over-inflated stocks out there right now. Sure, it's still climbing, but when reality finally sets in (I predict this will happen mid-2004), it's going to be one of the hardest hit.

No doubt.
What does the track record for Amazon look like?

 

[rnmcd]

Originally posted by: Cyberian

Originally posted by: glugglug
Ebay is one of the most over-inflated stocks out there right now. Sure, it's still climbing, but when reality finally sets in (I predict this will happen mid-2004), it's going to be one of the hardest hit.

No doubt.
What does the track record for Amazon look like?

If you would have invested in amazon 6 months ago you would have earned a respectable 89% return on your money. If you would have invested in amazon the day it IPO'd you'd have made 4300% return.

Is that what you mean by a bad track record?

 

[Zebo]

Originally posted by: Amused
Oh come on! If anyone had the answers to questions like this, they'd be rich beyond belief (and not posting here).

That' right. I only invest in things I have a direct bearing on success or failure as of late after getting smoked in my 401k/403b and a few other bad decisions. Sure is fun to talk about and speculate though.

I'd say ebay is not growing so I expect stock to remain stagnet plus I dislike thier product. But who knows ... create enough rumour and get enough people to buy it and it will go up to those levels>