- Feb 14, 2005
2 years? Though suppose 7nm may force a refresh within 2 years.
Companies always have plans, but they make adjustments to them based on all manner of factors. For example, NVidia probably delayed production on the 1660 Ti while they cleaned out the remaining 1060 inventory. It's unlikely that they anticipated that in their long range schedule.Almost certainly doesn't.
These things have long range schedules with hundreds(potentially thousands) of people in multiple teams working toward an end date. They don't start and stop based on on what the competition is doing.
Nah, they are still rolling out 12nm, with a new die for GTX 1660, and then possibly another new die below that. 2020 sure, but RTX started shipping in 2018, so 2020 is potentially 2 years later, which is just a normal release cycle.I think we will see a 20xx refresh fairly soon actually, end of q4 2019 or q1 2020. My reasoning is that their original design target was 7nm, not 12. They backported a design to 12nm to get viable yields, cost, time to market etc. But no way they just stopped working on the 7nm design. They're certainly using that as extra time to refine and enhance the existing 7nm design.
IMO the wildcard is whether they hold back the consumer version of it to recoup on 20xx and only release the 7nm refreshed version for professional lines for 6+ month. This is the lever that might be pulled by competition, but the design work is certainly independent