Lumileds and Nichia are making great progress and what was deemed impossible 100 lumen/watt barrier is literally right around the corner. Efficiacy ramp up will assume a hockey stick curve meaning these devices will replace ALL electrical powered light sources in the not so distant future.
Now that the key disadvantage of projection technology of today (lamp life) will be handled with aplomb with aforementioned technology, what about the color wheel? What is the practical MTBF of the color wheel motor? They're similar to a hard disk motor with FDB bearings right? Should be comparable to the MTBF of the LED source. Are these motors subject to contamination by indoor air particulates such as cigar and pipe smoke, pet dander, ash and heaven knows what else is people's houses? (incense smoke too! 😉 )
Now that the key disadvantage of projection technology of today (lamp life) will be handled with aplomb with aforementioned technology, what about the color wheel? What is the practical MTBF of the color wheel motor? They're similar to a hard disk motor with FDB bearings right? Should be comparable to the MTBF of the LED source. Are these motors subject to contamination by indoor air particulates such as cigar and pipe smoke, pet dander, ash and heaven knows what else is people's houses? (incense smoke too! 😉 )