Originally posted by: ThePresence
Originally posted by: SP33Demon
That's great that you watch "98%" of Yankee games. You said Big Unit hasn't thrown 97 in "at least 3 years". The dominant stats I quoted were from 2 years ago, i.e. 2004 when he was with Arizona. Maybe you forgot that he has only pitched one year with NY, but either way you don't make such a stupid comment like that and not think you're going to get owned. Do you seriously want me to get some links to 2004 that prove he was throwing 97 with Arizona? Stats don't lie. He was touching 96 on the radar this past March, 2006, I provided proof. To reiterate, if you think he wasn't throwing 97 in 2004 with Arizona when he posted a career best WHIP then you're out of your mind.
I know I said I'm done with this, and I am, this is my final post in this thread. But I wasn't going to let this stand. You said he went from 97 to 92 in a matter of weeks. It doesn't matter what he did in '04, that's a long time more than a few weeks ago. He has not thrown 97 with the Yankees in a regular season game. Aside from that, 93 is more than hard enough to have success in the major leagues. His location is off, which is not a sign of age, it's a sign of a mechanical problem.
Rivera is old, he is too inconsistent now, he is not a sure thing like he used to be, anyone will tell you that. Papelbon is the best closer in the majors right now.
Right now, Papelbon may be. But he is far from a sure thing. He's an unproven kid. Time will tell. But to say he's a better close than Rivera is insane. Rivera is getting old? Yeah, maybe. But he didn't age a few years over the offseason. He had a great year last year, you don't just lose it all in an offseason. He's going through a rough stretch, but I'll wager he ends up having a much, much better year than the rookie kid.
You still haven't answered your inconsistancy with saying Mussina will fall back into his old form, but Rivera won't.
No duh you need a good fastball to throw an effective splitter. One that is >90mph, anyone who knows baseball will tell you that. Clemens was effective when he reinvented himself with the splitter and he was only throwing in the 92-96 range with the Blue Jays. Schilling is throwing in that exact range, he rarely pops 95 anymore but he still throws well above 90mph to command an effective splitter. I pitched varsity baseball in high school, I think I know more about pitching than you ever will.
Well, thanks for killing your Randy Johnson age argument. He throws above 90.
Wow you're ignorant and really reach when getting owned, I enjoy making Yankee fans squirm. Ok, you ready for this?
Randy Johnson does not throw a split finger fastball, his marquee pitch is a cut slider. Do you even follow baseball? If you did, you would know that Roger Clemens never had a splitter until he went to Toronto, when his velocity dropped from previous years of 98mph (hence the title Rocket) to 92-96. That's why he reinvented himself, by learning a new pitch (the split) and dominating with it despite a big drop in velocity.
Randy Johnson's cut slider isn't going to get it done at 92mph with a tired arm and fubared mechanics, at 95+ it is dominant. You ready for this? The cut slider is
exponentially improved as speed increases, the split is not. The split finger can be thrown with great success even as low as the 90-92mph range, as long as you can spot it half decent. It's the primary reason that Papelbon, Schilling, and Clemens are more effective than Big Unit even though they all throw in relatively the same mph range (90-95, although I've seen Paps throw in the upper 90's occasionally). The split isn't as dependant on location as Randy's cut slider, many times it's diving into the dirt and the batter will still swing, it's a deceptive pitch that doesn't depend on location as much as RJ's slider.
You then say:
But to say he's [Papelbon] a better closer than Rivera is insane.
More density. Papelbon is
twice as good as Rivera this year, stats don't lie. Nobody gives a sht what Rivera did in the past, I'm talking about NOW. Typical of a Yankee fan to hold onto past years of glory, they don't mean jack in the present. You probably think Giambi is a better hitter than Pujols now using this stupid logic, yes Giambi WAS good (during his roid years). Rivera had 4 losses and 4 blown saves last year. He's already got 2 losses and a blown save this year, and is .75 points above his
career ERA. Face the facts, he is not the dominant Rivera of old. He will not "return to form", and it's typical Moose to start out strong and then fall back to mediocrity.
RJ's problem is related directly to fatigue, look at his spring training, he would pitch strong and then "hit a wall" during the fifth inning. Fatigue most directly affects mechanics, and now it's screwed him up mentally and he's overthrowing to try and compensate (hitting the backstop twice vs Boston) for lack of velocity. Yes, in a matter of weeks he lost literally 4mph to his fastball between March and April. He is screwed physically with fatigue, and mentally now (I bet his child out of wedlock speaking out played a big role in that too). Schill will continue to dominate while throwing just as hard as Big Unit, mainly because he has better stuff that isn't as dependant on velocity. If RJ doesn't learn a new pitch (changeup, split,) and reinvent himself, he is done.