Originally posted by: jpeyton
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: jpeyton
What do you expect? Israel was embarrassed on the ground with thousands of their soldiers struggling against hundreds of guerrillas.
With Israel killing almost 900 Lebanese civilians, sympathy for Hezbollah has increased significantly. In fact, Hezbollah was seen as the defenders of the Lebanese civilians against the bloodthirsty Israelis.
Nasrallah is as popular as he has ever been. Hezbollah has the money and power to regroup and rearm.
This past month was a strategic blunder by Israel, and even the Israeli's know it (with a number of Israeli politicians launching criticism against Olmert).
I'd wait to call it a strategic blunder. Isreal did inflict losses on the organization and now has the UN trying to keep the peace in the North. If the UN is able to keep Hebullah out of the area and keep the attacks down. I think Israel got what it wanted, a threat on the northern border minimized.
The anti-israeli crowd will jump for joy a bunch of rag tag terrorists managed to not be obliterated but take a look at the map. The UN nearly covers the entire northern border of Israel now. That means anything from the North will have to slash and burn the UN.
Well, here are my requirements for a strategic blunder:
1) Is Hezbollah being disarmed? No.
2) Can Hezbollah replace the guerrillas they lost? Yes, their movement is as popular as ever in the region.
3) Can Hezbollah replace spent and destroyed weapons caches? Yes; Iran and Syria already have stated a victory for Hezbollah in the conflict, and will help supply the group with more weapons.
4) Are the kidnapped Israeli soldiers being returned? No.
It's quite simple. If you kill as many innocent civilians as Israel did, your enemies are going to recieve waves of sympathy and support in their cause. In the long term, Hezbollah is going to come out stronger because of this conflict.
The only victory for Israel is the buffer zone in southern Lebanon. It's like a DMZ between two warring countries. The tension is still there, the danger of conflict is still there, you just have more distance between the warring parties.
It's a pipe dream if you think Israel really did any damage to Hezbollah in the long run.