i'm off the forum in general but have to apply,
If you pound through tables and tables of MTF rates it seem the conclusion is that HD's are most likley to fail either during the first month or two of their installation, or at the end of their life cycle. Doesn't really matter what type of drive it is.
quite correct.
unfortunately, I dont think there is much (or any) scientific data to either side. Everything seems to be just logical speculation.
take another look here:
With regard to the durability, it has been revealed that there is no change in the coefficient of friction even after more than 40,000 cycles of CSS (Contact Start and Stop) test.
these aren't any speculations, this things are being tested.
ofcourse there isn't any asurance that an HDD will work for any kind of a period, though, these tests are what u'r guaranty is based upon.
they might take 100-200-300-500 HDD and test them,
get 40k+ cycles each, some might get up to 50k-60k and some to 30k,
they take the avg. amount of success (above a certain number), and so base they're reliability upon it.
you might fall with one or two per 1,000 or even a bit more, but generally,
there isn't any absolute accurancy in it, and while working with degradable materials, u cant get "perfect results".
these are the "suppose to work" numbers.
and u can most of the time trust them.
nothing is never certain,
u can get 2 HDD and backup u'r data and they both might fail,
and u can get one that'll work for few years,
and most of them do by the way.