GRRR I can't win anything on ebay

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
So I finally get around to getting an ebay account and start looking at a few things I want. I know how the proxy bid/max bid feature works, so I naturally enter the general maximum id pay for whatever, and bid. I've tried both camping out at auctions during the last minute and placing a large proxy bid, but it never fails... some jackass always snipes me at the last second with a bid that is exactly one increment higher than my max. Now I set a blanket sum when I bid so I have more than one increment of room to spare (i.e. i'll bid $40 on an item that's $15, but of course it goes for $41 at the last second), but it never fails. I know I shouldn't techinically be so angry because I bid my maximum, but you know how that can change when the item sells for only one increment over... what's $1 extra when you're already looking to spend $50, not to mention the whole "I want it and it's mine" mentality, especially when you're at work and don't have the resources to carry out a last minute bidding war. So why the hell can't I win an auction here? The only way I can think of is to overbid by a significant amount, but knowing my luck I'd get called on it end up paying $100 for a $20 item.

I need some ebay buying tips fast, I'm can't tolerate this anymore.
 

kranky

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
21,019
156
106
If your max proxy bid is $40, and a last-minute sniper bids $100, he'll win at $41 - one increment over. So you can't assume the high bidder bid one increment over - all you know is that it was at least one increment over.
 

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
Yeah I realize that, but it's just EXTREMELY annoying to see that kind of crap happen to me in each of the auctions I've bid on. Isn't there anyway to keep myself from being screwed besides entering an extremely high overbid? Like I said, knowing my luck, if I tried to score a last minute item with a $100 overbid, I bet there'd some other sniper doing the same with a $99 overbid, and boom...
 

Stallion

Diamond Member
May 4, 2000
3,657
0
76
I bid on a Star Wars lego on Monday just for kicks and I was high bidder at $143. I was thinking someone would come be and out bid me at the last second. It never happened.


Good thing I wanted the item and that most of the other ones are going for $150+


Look at it this way, if you didn't win you can bet that the same item will come by again.

I was trying to find a glove box door. All I needed was the lock.. Most people wanted $20 plus shipping. After losing out on about 6 of them I saw one with a "buy it now for $12" and I snagged it. You just need to wait it out..
 

PowerMac4Ever

Banned
Dec 9, 2000
5,246
0
0
Originally posted by: csf
Yeah I realize that, but it's just EXTREMELY annoying to see that kind of crap happen to me in each of the auctions I've bid on. Isn't there anyway to keep myself from being screwed besides entering an extremely high overbid? Like I said, knowing my luck, if I tried to score a last minute item with a $100 overbid, I bet there'd some other sniper doing the same with a $99 overbid, and boom...
Keep practicing :) Sniping is for real men.

 

b0mbrman

Lifer
Jun 1, 2001
29,470
1
81
Originally posted by: csf
Yeah I realize that, but it's just EXTREMELY annoying to see that kind of crap happen to me in each of the auctions I've bid on. Isn't there anyway to keep myself from being screwed besides entering an extremely high overbid? Like I said, knowing my luck, if I tried to score a last minute item with a $100 overbid, I bet there'd some other sniper doing the same with a $99 overbid, and boom...
Yep...ebay's like that...a lot of the "price" you pay comes from the amount of time you're willing to spend bidding and defending your bids...
 

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
Yeah, finding stuff has been really tough though, since I'm mainly looking at high end clothes (new with tags of course), and there's so many specifics to consider, like size, fabric, model, used/new, etc. And of course the few gems I found got snapped up by snipers. I don't know why I can't seem to get anything, I think my luck is just awful. For example I'll look at the seller's other auction and notice recently ended auctions on the same range of clothes (some variance in size, color, etc, but still the same style) all averaging around $30; then I'll bid, say $55, on the one I want and the item'll go for $56. It never fails. The other day I lost a bidding war that caused the shirt I wanted to end up selling for about $30 higher than the seller's average return on the same line; it was nice to screw the sniper out of $30 more and all but man I really wanted to win it and couldn't get a new bid off in the last second (he either used an autosniper or set an excessively high ceiling). Just hate how every time I find an item I want to bid on its price ends up going double or triple the expected selling price (of course, still hundreds less than retail, but nonetheless).
 

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
Mainly dress shirts and slacks, stuff like Armani, D&G, Gucci, Zegna, etc. I recognize that these things are expensive and that it's not realistic to expect a brand new Zegna shirt for dirt cheap prices, but I see them selling at $20-40 shipped all the time and don't get why it's all but impossible for me to get some of that action. I could go balls out and try bidding in the triple digits, but at that rate it would be easier to just go to Neiman Marcus and pay out the ass. I really wish ebay would let people see the absolute maximum bid after an auction (e.g. sold for $30, but winner bid $80) , which would give buyers a better idea of what to bid while still maintaining the bidding wars that help the seller get more.
 

jlee

Lifer
Sep 12, 2001
48,518
223
106
You could also try emailing the auction winner, and ask if s/he will tell you what their max bid was. They might..you never know.
 

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
Thanks for the sniping tips, guys. The thing that still troubles me is setting a bidding price. It seems that the only way to stand a chance at winning something (remember the stuff I'm focusing on: Winning a brand new Xbox isn't too tricky because they're all the same mass-produced model, so if you lose one auction you can run into about 50 other uncontested auctions. On the other hand if you don't get that brand new, tagged, 100% cotton, light grey with white pinstripes Armani shirt in your size from that 3000 feedback seller, there's a good chance you might never see the same item up for auction again) is to place a bid heavily over your "maximum price" at the last second. The idea of a maximum price isn't too realistic because of the auction mentality and the way ebay hides prices. If I set a max bid of $50, and someone had a $51 max bid, of course I wouldn't mind stretching my budget by a few bucks if it meant the difference between getting an item and not getting it. Now if the guy bid $70+ max, then fine, let him have it. I realize ebay can't post maximum bids during auctions to keep buyers from overpaying and helping sellers by letting bidding wars raise the price. Of course, when the auction is timed and the only realistic chance you have is in the last few seconds, there's no way for you to try and find out whether your rival's invisible maximum is $51 or $70 (unless you're ballsy enough to do a blanket bid of $150 and risk heavily overpaying for it). Like I said, I really don't see why ebay won't at least reveal max bids after the auction ends (my friend's a seller and he doesn't find out either) to provide some reasonable info for setting a price. But enough whining, do any of you ebay experts have a formula you use to determine a bidding price or guess what a maximum bid will be on an item you want? There's a fine line between protecting your merchandise and screwing yourself out of your money, so any advice on that subject would be helpful.
 

Jzero

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
18,834
1
0
but you know how that can change when the item sells for only one increment over....

Ehhhh.....

*******NEWS FLASH*****NEWS FLASH*****NEWS FLASH*******
YOU ALWAYS LOSE BY ONE BID INCREMENT

Think about it:
You bid a max of $40, I bid a max of $500,000.
The proxy bidding system will bid me up ONE INCREMENT above the next highest bidder's maximum. The price will always be $41 no matter what I bid, as long as it's more than your maximum. The only way you can possibly lose by MORE than one increment is if there are 2 people bidding against you and they outbid each other.
**********************************************************

So don't be suckered in by "It's just $1 more" because it's ALWAYS going to be just $1 more, even though _I_ put a very high maximum bid.
Sniping won't even save you from losing, it only saves you from being suckered into upping your bid more than you were willing to pay. The person who wins an Ebay auction is the person who is willing to pay THE MOST. It doesn't even matter what the item is actually worth. If you think the shirt is worth $40 and I think it's worth $70, I am going to get it and there is no about of sniping that will ever save you.

When you lose an auction on Ebay, it is because of 2 possiblities:
1) You screwed yourself by setting your maximum bid lower than you were willing to pay
2) Someone else was willing to pay more.

That's it. There's no magic, there's no conspiracy, there's no trick, no elixir, no rub, no mantra, nothing.

It's just a matter of who is willing to pay more.
 

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
But it still bugs the hell out of me that I have no way of knowing what kind of bidding it takes to win something. The item doesn't go to who's willing to pay more, it's about who had better timing/luck and knew how to play the game better. If all the maximum bids on the $50 items were really $70, then the item is really $70, not $50. Obviously if you had a $70 bid on, I wouldn't keep going back and bidding in $1 increments to test your mettle (even if ebay were not all about last minute rushes, and allowed auctions to run out their courses until the person who wanted it most was left standing), I'd stop after a few fruitless attempts to take control. But if you had a $51 bid, it'd be a slight stretch of the budget for a guarantee on getting the item. Of course you can never really tell how it's going to work out, so determining a maximum bid isn't as easy as it sounds since there is always some flexibility. Because the high bid is invisible, there's no telling whether someone's putting up $51 or $51,000, and that makes a big difference. If there were a way to look back on other similar auctions to know what you were up against, it would save a lot of time and energy because as my past auction experiences show me, the winning price is obviously NOT the maximum price at all (nor should it be, but ebay should provide some information). I'm just a little bit bitter that ebay's system makes it very hard for those who are not heavily experienced or have very deep pockets/willing to risk a lot to get anything.
 

Jzero

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
18,834
1
0
Originally posted by: csf
But it still bugs the hell out of me that I have no way of knowing what kind of bidding it takes to win something. The item doesn't go to who's willing to pay more, it's about who had better timing/luck and knew how to play the game better.
You are mistaken. There is not an ounce of timing or luck that goes into it.
The only people you can screw by sniping are the people who do not understand the system and bid less than they were willing to pay.
If you bid $80 and the minimum is $5, and you place this bid THE VERY SECOND the auction opens, you will be the high bidder with $5.
If I set up a snipe at the last second for $79, YOU WIN with a bid of $80.
Timing means NOTHING!
If all the maximum bids on the $50 items were really $70, then the item is really $70, not $50.
If all the maximum bids on an item were $70, the current maximum bid on the item would be $70. That's it! There's nothing more to it!
Obviously if you had a $70 bid on, I wouldn't keep going back and bidding in $1 increments to test your mettle (even if ebay were not all about last minute rushes, and allowed auctions to run out their courses until the person who wanted it most was left standing), I'd stop after a few fruitless attempts to take control.
The theory is that you are not supposed to go back and bid in $1 increments all night. You are supposed to decide in advance the MAXIMUM you are willing to pay and let the proxy bidding system do its job. Many of us have advocated Ebay switiching to a system that extends the auction when a new bid is received, but they show little interest in going that route.
However, if everyone just picked their maximum and left it at that, there should be no complaint.
But if you had a $51 bid, it'd be a slight stretch of the budget for a guarantee on getting the item.
Then bid $51, not $50! It's a good "tip" to not bid round numbers. Bid $51.32. If someone bids $50, you will still win with $51. If they bid $52, you will STILL win b/c they must outbid you buy at least the bid increment.
Of course you can never really tell how it's going to work out, so determining a maximum bid isn't as easy as it sounds since there is always some flexibility. Because the high bid is invisible, there's no telling whether someone's putting up $51 or $51,000, and that makes a big difference.
Determining a maximum bid is simple. EXTREMELY SIMPLE:
Your maximum bid is EXACTLY what YOU think the item is worth. You're not supposed to worry about or even consider what SOMEONE ELSE thinks it's worth. If you think it's worth $50, bid $50. If someone thinks it's worth $60, they will win.
If there were a way to look back on other similar auctions to know what you were up against, it would save a lot of time and energy because as my past auction experiences show me, the winning price is obviously NOT the maximum price at all (nor should it be, but ebay should provide some information).
If you want to see how similar items fared, you can go into the "advanced search" and look up completed auctions. In this way, you can at least see what the item has previously sold for. This may help you in deciding what you think it's worth.
As for the winning price, here is another news flash:
AUCTIONS ARE BASED ON SUPPLY/DEMAND AND HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH AN ITEM'S TRUE VALUE
Ebay purposely does not release everyone's maximum bid--that would give an unfair advantage to the seller who could now set a reserve or minimum bid to match someone's outrageously high maximum. The beauty of auctions is that there is no price guide or fixed value on an item. The item is worth what someone is willing to pay for it; nothing less, nothing more.
I'm just a little bit bitter that ebay's system makes it very hard for those who are not heavily experienced or have very deep pockets/willing to risk a lot to get anything.
The only problem is that you are over-complicating a very simple and cut-and-dried system. If you think you need deep pockets, then whatever you're trying to win is out of your price range. If you think you have to "risk a lot" then that implies that you would be bidding more than you are willing to pay, which would be against the rules.

I'll say once more:

When you lose an auction on Ebay, it is because of 2 possiblities:
1) You screwed yourself by setting your maximum bid lower than you were willing to pay
2) Someone else was willing to pay more.
There's no luck, there's no timing.
Bid the maximum you're willing to pay. If you lose, feel good that the other person overpaid. If you win, feel good that you got what you wanted for what you think it is worth (or maybe less).

The reason _I_ snipe is not because it magically wins me auctions for less.
It's because I carefully pick my maximum bid, set it in my sniping program and then I just forget it. If a few days later I get a notice that I won, that's great.
If not, no big deal.
Sniping saves me from saying "Let me up my bid just one more dollar!"
I pay what I think it's worth, or I don't win.
 

FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
30,533
2,558
126
Another good post from Jzero today.

I dont even do the ebay thing, because of stuff like this. Although I used to use Yahoo auctions (buying/selling) and had fun doing it, ebay just seems like a whole different beast.

So Im staying away.
 

csf

Banned
Aug 5, 2001
319
0
0
Not trying to start a drawn out flamewar here, so I'll end my ebay ranting with this. As you said, you just have a lot more casual attitude about auctions than most people do. Also like you said, the main draw of auctions is the flexibility of prices, with sellers looking to get more money then they think an item's worth, and buyers possibly able to buy something for less then standard price. What causes the flexibility of the prices? Competition. As such, items always start low and finish at a significantly higher level if there's any interest in them. People bid to win. In an auction, competitive nature factors in to the price a person is willing to pay. People always come out of auctions having paid more than they had expected to or originally desired to. If there isn't much deviation from your "maximum price," you'll likely be willing to cough up a little bit more for the added satisfaction of beating out someone else to own the item; at least until it becomes too much. Granted, this isn't the wisest thing to do, but it happens, and it's very hard to account for that.

Knowing your opponent's preferred cost is important both for determining whether or not you'll put in the time and effort to bid, and to size up the competition for future auctions. If something consistently goes for $100, then it's too much for me and I'll not waste the energy on them. Unfortunately ebay doesn't help much in the way of price information. What I meant with my $50 / $70 scenario was this: Say Item X sold for $50 to Person Y. However, the maximum price Person Y would pay for said item is $70 (or at least his maximum bid was $70). I want to bid on another auction for Item X myself. I look at the $50 selling price and think the estimated going price was $50, and follow the item, bid etc. But since there's a good chance of another Person Y competing with me for Item X, I don't stand a chance of getting the item unless I bid $70+. So I bid $50 on several Item X auctions and lose all of them. Not knowing that the real ceiling on Item X is $70 has wasted me a lot of time and energy. Had I known people bid on Item X for $70 I could make an informed decision on whether it was worth it to me to bid $70 for Item X or whether to downgrade and look at cheaper Item Y instead.

Real auctions (at least the ones I've been to, and the ones most people traditionally identify with) continue until only one person is left, the person willing to pay the most. That's how it should be. In ebay auctions the timeframe is basically the last minute of the auction, barring any abnormally high proxy bids, and whoever gets in the right bid at the right time wins; i.e. no room to make last minute decisions or make price rebuttals like traditional auctions. Granted there are many occasions where the man simply willing to pay the most wins, but it's very frustrating not to have the time or the information to decide whether or not you may be willing to go over his top to win the item and beat him. I heard yahoo auctions extends auctions by several minutes every time there's a last minute bid; though that is also time consuming, it's a more true to form rule... too bad the selection on yahoo is fairly poor.

As a newbie on ebay, it just seems like I'm totally in the dark about all the little rules and tricks of the game that exist there. If it were as simple as you insisted, there wouldn't be whole books telling people how to beat out other people on ebay (maybe i should get one of those :p). Maybe it'll be easier after lots of hours spent trying to win stuff, but though it may boil down to Supply & Demand it certainly isn't that plain and clear.
 

Jzero

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
18,834
1
0
As you said, you just have a lot more casual attitude about auctions than most people do.
I don't recall saying I had a casual attitude about auctions. I'm actually pretty damn serious about it.
But I made my first Ebay transaction in 1997. I guess I've just been doing it long enough to understand the concept, although it's a very simple concept that I like to think I'd explained clearly enough thus far....
People always come out of auctions having paid more than they had expected to or originally desired to.
I disagree.
Idiots may come out of auctions having paid more than they had expected to or originally desired to.
Why would you bid MORE than you think an item is worth, just for the satisfaction of beating the other guy out? That's one of the silliest things I've ever heard of. Oh, I know all the morons on Ebay do it, but do you want to be one of those people?
I hope not :)
If there isn't much deviation from your "maximum price," you'll likely be willing to cough up a little bit more for the added satisfaction of beating out someone else to own the item; at least until it becomes too much. Granted, this isn't the wisest thing to do, but it happens, and it's very hard to account for that.
That says maybe, and as I said in my prior post, many people have advocated a switch to something where the auction extends by a few minutes after each bid to make time for counter-bids, but Ebay ain't budging on it, so you have to play by their rules, or you will lose, as you have lost already.
Their rule is really quite simple:
Bid the maximum you are willing to pay the first time.
Go over the scenario in his head. You say you're willing to bid $50, but then you say you'd be willing to up it a little bit. Consider that you may have to up it, and up it NOW. Decide that if someone else were to hit you for $51 or $52, then you're willing to go to $54, but if they go $55, you're out.
So instead of making your bid $50, make it $54. It's that simple!
Knowing your opponent's preferred cost is important both for determining whether or not you'll put in the time and effort to bid, and to size up the competition for future auctions.
You need to let proxy bidding work for you. It takes all of 3 seconds to bid on an item--you put in a price, you put in your username, you put in your password, you hit submit, you confirm your bid, that's it. What is this time and effort you're so worried about?
If something consistently goes for $100, then it's too much for me and I'll not waste the energy on them. Unfortunately ebay doesn't help much in the way of price information.
As I said above, you can use the "search completed auctions" feature of the advanced search to locate recent auctions and see what an item has been selling for.
What I meant with my $50 / $70 scenario was this: Say Item X sold for $50 to Person Y. However, the maximum price Person Y would pay for said item is $70 (or at least his maximum bid was $70). I want to bid on another auction for Item X myself. I look at the $50 selling price and think the estimated going price was $50, and follow the item, bid etc. But since there's a good chance of another Person Y competing with me for Item X, I don't stand a chance of getting the item unless I bid $70+. So I bid $50 on several Item X auctions and lose all of them. Not knowing that the real ceiling on Item X is $70 has wasted me a lot of time and energy. Had I known people bid on Item X for $70 I could make an informed decision on whether it was worth it to me to bid $70 for Item X or whether to downgrade and look at cheaper Item Y instead.
If you want to be able to see fixed prices, then you probably shouldn't be bothering with Ebay. I see what you're saying, but that's exactly how it works. If you're only willing to pay $50 and everyone else is willing to pay $70, then you are going to have to wait out all the people who are willing to pay $70. This is capitalism at it's truest.
Real auctions (at least the ones I've been to, and the ones most people traditionally identify with) continue until only one person is left, the person willing to pay the most. That's how it should be.
That is exactly how it functions.
In ebay auctions the timeframe is basically the last minute of the auction, barring any abnormally high proxy bids, and whoever gets in the right bid at the right time wins; i.e. no room to make last minute decisions or make price rebuttals like traditional auctions.
You think that, but only because you aren't listening to what I have told you.
THERE IS NO RIGHT BID AT THE RIGHT TIME.
IF YOU BID $100 THE VERY FIRST SECOND AND I BID $8 THE VERY LAST, YOU WIN! YOU!
Yes, there is no room to make a last minute decision or a "price rebuttal."
The catch is that you have PROXY BIDDING in place to do that FOR YOU so if you just picked the maximum price YOU were willing to pay the first time, you wouldn't have to worry about it.
THINK ABOUT A "TRADITIONAL AUCTION":
An item is placed on the block. You decide how much you are willing to pay for it, and you start bidding. If someone keeps outbidding you, you keep counter-bidding until you have reached the maximum you decided on. If the other person keeps upping the bid, you are going to give up.
You pick a maximum in advance.
Ebay works exactly the same way!
You aren't SUPPOSED to bid in real-time on Ebay. You are supposed to pick that maximum and all that happens in between is handled by proxy bidding! It is there for a reason! USE IT!!!!!
Granted there are many occasions where the man simply willing to pay the most wins, but it's very frustrating not to have the time or the information to decide whether or not you may be willing to go over his top to win the item and beat him.
The man willing to pay the most ALWAYS wins.
Unless YOU screw up and don't set your maximum bid high enough. You don't have to sit and wait. Decide what the item is worth. Bid that much and no more. If you win, you win.
I heard yahoo auctions extends auctions by several minutes every time there's a last minute bid; though that is also time consuming, it's a more true to form rule... too bad the selection on yahoo is fairly poor.
It's only necessary b/c nobody is willing to rely on the proxy bidding system that makes it work. Ebay doesn't give us that option, and in a way, I'm glad of it.
As a newbie on ebay, it just seems like I'm totally in the dark about all the little rules and tricks of the game that exist there.
The only so-called rules and tricks that you are in the dark about are ones that DO NOT EXIST! It is a simple auction. Nothing more. Don't try to delude yourself into believing that there is some trick to timing or sniping or scamming.
There isn't!
If it were as simple as you insisted, there wouldn't be whole books telling people how to beat out other people on ebay (maybe i should get one of those :p).
Uhh....Those books exist because idiots will buy them. There's also books on how to work a mouse. That doesn't imply that working a mouse is somehow complicated.
Maybe it'll be easier after lots of hours spent trying to win stuff, but though it may boil down to Supply & Demand it certainly isn't that plain and clear.
It really is that plain and clear, you just need to open your eyes and allow yourself to see that. There really isn't any magic here, and there's no trick to it. You decide what it's worth to you, you bid that as your maximum and then you wait to see if you won.

I don't want to see you fall prey to this mentality--you're only going to screw yourself.

If you want some "tricks" see my comment above about bidding non-round amounts.
And another trick: If you can find some schmo who spelled the name of the item wrong (Search for likely mis-spellings) you can grab auctions that no one spotted.
 

Freejack2

Diamond Member
Dec 31, 2000
7,751
8
81
It's too bad they don't do what OnSale used to do.
What they did was if an item had any bids in the last 5 minutes of an auction the auction would be extended to 5 minutes past the last bid.
This way if person B snipes person A, person A has some time to counterract person B's bid. It's good for the seller too as they'll get more then.
While 5 minutes is a lot I think Ebay should give sellers an option of turning on a 1 minute extension.
So if Person B snipes person A with 4 seconds the go, the auction gets extended 1 minute after Person B sniped.
Person A then has a chance to raise their bid if they want.
If person A does then it extends the timer another 1 minute after their bid and so on until 1 minute passes or the seller ends it.