Originally posted by: DonVito
Originally posted by: Pliablemoose
Interesting discussion,
Don Vito, do you think the Supreme Court's history of honoring stare decisi somewhat protects the Roe VS Ward decision?
(I think I have it right)
Not even slightly. The Court is quite capable of pulling an about-face, and a lot of Constitutional scholars feel
Roe v. Wade is on rather uncertain ground Constitutionally in the first place.
Scalia is definitely the primary textualist on the Court, and would like nothing more than to wipe all the Substantive Due Process cases, of which
Roe v. Wade is one, in favor of what he sees as a more rigid textual application of the Constitution.
The more interesting question would be how a party would achieve standing to raise the whole issue before the Court in the first place (the Court does not issue advisory opinions - there has to be a case in controversy, with a plaintiff who is wronged in some way).
It seems to me it would require some jurisdiction to impose a law in violation of Roe v. Wade, and have someone challenge it all the way up to the USSC. It seems quite clear that President Bush would prefer pro-life justices, which was why Sen Specter fired his warning shot across the bow in the first place.
If a couple of justices retire in President Bush's second term (Rehnquist appears to be on his last legs, but obviously is quite conservative and dissented in
Roe v. Wade, so replacing him will be a wash in that regard), I could very easily imagine the case being overturned eventually.
At that point, I imagine it would be left up to the individual states to decide whether to legislate on this issue. There's no way a Constitutional amendment making abortion illegal would ever pass, and IMO there's only a rather tenuous basis for federal legislation on this (the federal government can only pass laws that relate in some way to interstate commerce, or other distinctively federal issues).