Greenspan in favor of private accounts

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charrison

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
17,033
1
81
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
It doesn't scale.
If you move everyone into private accounts, it will have same problems as SS. Ultimately, the workers are the ones supporting retirees, either way you slice it. For a retiree to take the money out of the stock market, a worker has to put his savings into the stock market. Stock market is not a bank. It doesn't keep cash. Every penny taken out of the market when you sell an asset is a penny put in by someone buying your asset. It's a pay as you go system.

The investment market is not the same as SS.

It's still a pay as you go system.



Except you are not counting the interest that accumulates over the years.

What interest? A stock is not a bank deposit.

Stocks do grow in value, split, pay dividends, bonds mature and cash funds collect interest. Investments grow and you own them.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
SS puts money into government bonds. If stock accounts making higher return than government bonds was a certainty, noone would buy government bonds.
People living longer is going to be a problem whether they draw money from SS or their own private account, you'll still need to spread the money over more years.
Demographics is going to be a problem whether it's SS or private account. Someone has to buy the assets in your account for you to get cash to live on. The more retirees, the higher supply of assets, the fewer workers, the lower the demand, so the prices of assets will drop, and you will get less return.
So it doesn't solve the problems, it just shifts them around.

SS money is spent on current retirees. Any leftover is spent on pork. SS is a ponzi scheme that matches the rate of inflation at best. Everyone would buy government bonds if otherwise.

Galveston, TX took advantage of a loophole and allowed it's city workers to invest their SS money in conservative inestment plans instead of in SS. They are enjoying payouts around four times greater than what they would have received under SS. Same with Chile. They went from a SS similar to ours to a full private plan.

That's exactly what I want, not the "rumored" private account that caps the growth at inflation + a certain percent with the government skimming the rest. Also, I think that a person should be able to access that money for "early retirement" if they are able to do so, and not this mandatory minimum retirement age.

Still doesn't solve any shortfalls for the current generation of payees.

 

charrison

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
17,033
1
81
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
SS puts money into government bonds. If stock accounts making higher return than government bonds was a certainty, noone would buy government bonds.
People living longer is going to be a problem whether they draw money from SS or their own private account, you'll still need to spread the money over more years.
Demographics is going to be a problem whether it's SS or private account. Someone has to buy the assets in your account for you to get cash to live on. The more retirees, the higher supply of assets, the fewer workers, the lower the demand, so the prices of assets will drop, and you will get less return.
So it doesn't solve the problems, it just shifts them around.

SS money is spent on current retirees. Any leftover is spent on pork. SS is a ponzi scheme that matches the rate of inflation at best. Everyone would buy government bonds if otherwise.

Galveston, TX took advantage of a loophole and allowed it's city workers to invest their SS money in conservative inestment plans instead of in SS. They are enjoying payouts around four times greater than what they would have received under SS. Same with Chile. They went from a SS similar to ours to a full private plan.

That's exactly what I want, not the "rumored" private account that caps the growth at inflation + a certain percent with the government skimming the rest. Also, I think that a person should be able to access that money for "early retirement" if they are able to do so, and not this mandatory minimum retirement age.

Still doesn't solve any shortfalls for the current generation of payees.

It may not solve current shortfalls, but it greatly reduced longterm shortfalls.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: Engineer
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
SS puts money into government bonds. If stock accounts making higher return than government bonds was a certainty, noone would buy government bonds.
People living longer is going to be a problem whether they draw money from SS or their own private account, you'll still need to spread the money over more years.
Demographics is going to be a problem whether it's SS or private account. Someone has to buy the assets in your account for you to get cash to live on. The more retirees, the higher supply of assets, the fewer workers, the lower the demand, so the prices of assets will drop, and you will get less return.
So it doesn't solve the problems, it just shifts them around.

SS money is spent on current retirees. Any leftover is spent on pork. SS is a ponzi scheme that matches the rate of inflation at best. Everyone would buy government bonds if otherwise.

Galveston, TX took advantage of a loophole and allowed it's city workers to invest their SS money in conservative inestment plans instead of in SS. They are enjoying payouts around four times greater than what they would have received under SS. Same with Chile. They went from a SS similar to ours to a full private plan.

That's exactly what I want, not the "rumored" private account that caps the growth at inflation + a certain percent with the government skimming the rest. Also, I think that a person should be able to access that money for "early retirement" if they are able to do so, and not this mandatory minimum retirement age.

Still doesn't solve any shortfalls for the current generation of payees.

It may not solve current shortfalls, but it greatly reduced longterm shortfalls.

Hence the word "current" as I understand that my generation's share "should" be taken care by the semi-private-government-held-and-run-with-no-access_until_set_age-buddy-invested plans! :D

(P.S. Yes, my closet is VERY bright! :D)

 

SuperTool

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
14,000
2
0
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
It doesn't scale.
If you move everyone into private accounts, it will have same problems as SS. Ultimately, the workers are the ones supporting retirees, either way you slice it. For a retiree to take the money out of the stock market, a worker has to put his savings into the stock market. Stock market is not a bank. It doesn't keep cash. Every penny taken out of the market when you sell an asset is a penny put in by someone buying your asset. It's a pay as you go system.

The investment market is not the same as SS.

It's still a pay as you go system.



Except you are not counting the interest that accumulates over the years.

What interest? A stock is not a bank deposit.

Stocks do grow in value, split, pay dividends, bonds mature and cash funds collect interest. Investments grow and you own them.

But who is paying that interest on bonds? US workers = taxpayers. Who is paying dividends or interest on corporate bonds? Companies out of their earnings. Ultimately it's still younger workers' earnings supporting retirees, any way you cut it.
 

charrison

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
17,033
1
81
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
It doesn't scale.
If you move everyone into private accounts, it will have same problems as SS. Ultimately, the workers are the ones supporting retirees, either way you slice it. For a retiree to take the money out of the stock market, a worker has to put his savings into the stock market. Stock market is not a bank. It doesn't keep cash. Every penny taken out of the market when you sell an asset is a penny put in by someone buying your asset. It's a pay as you go system.

The investment market is not the same as SS.

It's still a pay as you go system.



Except you are not counting the interest that accumulates over the years.

What interest? A stock is not a bank deposit.

Stocks do grow in value, split, pay dividends, bonds mature and cash funds collect interest. Investments grow and you own them.

But who is paying that interest on bonds? US workers = taxpayers. Who is paying dividends or interest on corporate bonds? Companies out of their earnings. Ultimately it's still younger workers' earnings supporting retirees, any way you cut it.


So how exactly is this an argument against private accounts which will be owned by the citizen and not the government?
 

randym431

Golden Member
Jun 4, 2003
1,270
1
0
You guys just don?t get it. You think YOU will be able
to take some of your SS money and invest it in ATT or
MS or uncle Bobs grocery store? Nope! You?ll have one
choice, to give that money over to THE GOVERNMENT to
invest in two or three of what THEY want to invest it
in. This idea that you will be able to take that money
and do as you wish with it is not what Bush is doing.
Wake up!
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
But who is paying that interest on bonds? US workers = taxpayers. Who is paying dividends or interest on corporate bonds? Companies out of their earnings. Ultimately it's still younger workers' earnings supporting retirees, any way you cut it.

Consumers will pay the interest on corporate bonds. But that is besides the point of this article. The point is Greenspan believes private accounts are a better long term solution than the current pay as you go system.

Now if you think you are somehow more qualified than Greenspan please let us know. Your lack of understanding of the stock market and banking in this country will surpise us if you are.

 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
You guys just don?t get it. You think YOU will be able
to take some of your SS money and invest it in ATT or
MS or uncle Bobs grocery store? Nope! You?ll have one
choice, to give that money over to THE GOVERNMENT to
invest in two or three of what THEY want to invest it
in. This idea that you will be able to take that money
and do as you wish with it is not what Bush is doing.
Wake up!

It sounds like they want to model it after the federal thrift program. When was the last time the thrift program collapsed? I dont believe anybody has said they plan on letting you invest in individual stocks. It will be run like a mutual fund.

On a side note here is some information about the federal thrift program.

http://www.tsp.gov/rates/monthly-history.html

All fund gained an avg of at least 5.45% on an annual basis with a high of 12% over a 10 year span.

SS earned you ~3% at the best.

 

SuperTool

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
14,000
2
0
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
It doesn't scale.
If you move everyone into private accounts, it will have same problems as SS. Ultimately, the workers are the ones supporting retirees, either way you slice it. For a retiree to take the money out of the stock market, a worker has to put his savings into the stock market. Stock market is not a bank. It doesn't keep cash. Every penny taken out of the market when you sell an asset is a penny put in by someone buying your asset. It's a pay as you go system.

The investment market is not the same as SS.

It's still a pay as you go system.



Except you are not counting the interest that accumulates over the years.

What interest? A stock is not a bank deposit.

Stocks do grow in value, split, pay dividends, bonds mature and cash funds collect interest. Investments grow and you own them.

But who is paying that interest on bonds? US workers = taxpayers. Who is paying dividends or interest on corporate bonds? Companies out of their earnings. Ultimately it's still younger workers' earnings supporting retirees, any way you cut it.


So how exactly is this an argument against private accounts which will be owned by the citizen and not the government?

It's not an arguement for or against, it's pointing out that privatization won't solve the fundamental problem with more retirees living longer with fewer workers to support them.
 

charrison

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
17,033
1
81
Originally posted by: randym431
You guys just don?t get it. You think YOU will be able
to take some of your SS money and invest it in ATT or
MS or uncle Bobs grocery store? Nope! You?ll have one
choice, to give that money over to THE GOVERNMENT to
invest in two or three of what THEY want to invest it
in. This idea that you will be able to take that money
and do as you wish with it is not what Bush is doing.
Wake up!



The federal employees thrift saving plan has about 6 funds you can choose from. Ranging from income to growth funds(foreign and domestic).

Even 2 options would be better than the single "option" we have now.
 

charrison

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
17,033
1
81
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: SuperTool
Originally posted by: Queasy
Originally posted by: SuperTool
It doesn't scale.
If you move everyone into private accounts, it will have same problems as SS. Ultimately, the workers are the ones supporting retirees, either way you slice it. For a retiree to take the money out of the stock market, a worker has to put his savings into the stock market. Stock market is not a bank. It doesn't keep cash. Every penny taken out of the market when you sell an asset is a penny put in by someone buying your asset. It's a pay as you go system.

The investment market is not the same as SS.

It's still a pay as you go system.



Except you are not counting the interest that accumulates over the years.

What interest? A stock is not a bank deposit.

Stocks do grow in value, split, pay dividends, bonds mature and cash funds collect interest. Investments grow and you own them.

But who is paying that interest on bonds? US workers = taxpayers. Who is paying dividends or interest on corporate bonds? Companies out of their earnings. Ultimately it's still younger workers' earnings supporting retirees, any way you cut it.


So how exactly is this an argument against private accounts which will be owned by the citizen and not the government?

It's not an arguement for or against, it's pointing out that privatization won't solve the fundamental problem with more retirees living longer with fewer workers to support them.

Well given the market has a higher rate of return, it does solve that problem.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Interesting you didn't note that Greenspan said that in order to pay for this, either taxes must be raised or benefits must be cut.


Greenspan Sounds Cautionary Note on Social Security Changes
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=4502016
All Things Considered, February 16, 2005 · Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan testifies before the Senate Banking Committee on the economy, also addressing the idea of creating personal Social Security accounts. Greenspan said he supported the accounts, but expressed concern on how financial markets would react to the borrowing needed to launch them.
 

irwincur

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2002
1,899
0
0
That's exactly what I want, not the "rumored" private account that caps the growth at inflation + a certain percent with the government skimming the rest. Also, I think that a person should be able to access that money for "early retirement" if they are able to do so, and not this mandatory minimum retirement age.

The Krugman rumor. It was retracted the day after he wrote it, actually the correction was sent out hours after he wrote it. Nice that he gets a long column full of crap information that he basically pulls from his a** then they have a tiny correction on page A79 the next day.

Reason why Krugman is nothing more than a DNC shill. A poor one at this because this is his second major retraction in the past few weeks. It seems as if this 'brilliant' career professor (read: never held a real world job) gets it wrong a lot.
 

irwincur

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2002
1,899
0
0
Interesting you didn't note that Greenspan said that in order to pay for this, either taxes must be raised or benefits must be cut.

This is a given and it has never been taken off of the table. I happen to believe that the final Bush proposal will look something like this...

1. Increase taxes on higher end earner. Say over $60,000 or so.
2. Increase the ceiling to around $110,000.
3. Private accounts with up to 3% of your money.

Something like that will give a carrot to everyone. It is also totally feasible and would really not piss all that many people off. For those making more money the 3% in private accounts will more than cover the increase in taxes when ROR is figured in. It would still be a net gain for them, and everyone else in particular.

There is no reason why they cannot come up with a compromise that includes private accounts. About the only real reason I voted for anyone this time around was because I knew Bush was willing to change SS. I also knew that this may be the only time during my lifetime that there is a chance to save it, really fix it. I know that when Hillary wins in 2008 she will not fix it, in 2012 she will not fix it. The only people who can (or will) attempt to fix SS are two term Republicans as it is suicide to try your first time around. And we may not see one for a while. I fear that is a solution is not found now, I cannot could on anything.

If AARP would just sit back and if the Democrats would just work with Bush they could easily fix the problem. What pisses me off is that AARP is threatening everyone that mentions it (like it will even effect their current membership) and the Democrats are just sitting around stalling, complaining, and whining. Bush asked for their proposals, they need to get one together. If they don't they are really risking a lot in terms of the parties long term health in America.

Sadly, I think their rage and hatred for the Fourth Reich is so out of control that they do not even realize that they are endangering their very party.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: irwincur
Interesting you didn't note that Greenspan said that in order to pay for this, either taxes must be raised or benefits must be cut.
This is a given and it has never been taken off of the table. I happen to believe that the final Bush proposal will look something like this...

1. Increase taxes on higher end earner. Say over $60,000 or so.
2. Increase the ceiling to around $110,000.
3. Private accounts with up to 3% of your money.

Something like that will give a carrot to everyone. It is also totally feasible and would really not piss all that many people off. For those making more money the 3% in private accounts will more than cover the increase in taxes when ROR is figured in. It would still be a net gain for them, and everyone else in particular.
I'd have no problem with either 1) Repeal the Bush tax cuts that worsened our deficits by lowering tax revenue to the lowest % of GDP in over 40 years or 2) Remove the income limit on FICA taxes.

The trouble is, Bush's propaganda has completely avoided either of those necessities until just yesterday when he said he'd review options that included raising taxes.
 

digitalsm

Diamond Member
Jul 11, 2003
5,253
0
0
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: irwincur
Interesting you didn't note that Greenspan said that in order to pay for this, either taxes must be raised or benefits must be cut.
This is a given and it has never been taken off of the table. I happen to believe that the final Bush proposal will look something like this...

1. Increase taxes on higher end earner. Say over $60,000 or so.
2. Increase the ceiling to around $110,000.
3. Private accounts with up to 3% of your money.

Something like that will give a carrot to everyone. It is also totally feasible and would really not piss all that many people off. For those making more money the 3% in private accounts will more than cover the increase in taxes when ROR is figured in. It would still be a net gain for them, and everyone else in particular.
I'd have no problem with either 1) Repeal the Bush tax cuts that worsened our deficits by lowering tax revenue to the lowest % of GDP in over 40 years or 2) Remove the income limit on FICA taxes.

The trouble is, Bush's propaganda has completely avoided either of those necessities until just yesterday when he said he'd review options that included raising taxes.

Uh did you and your liberal buddies not watch the state of the union? Bush said ALL options with the exception of hiking the payroll tax, are on the table. IIRC he even mentioned that option(raising the cap) specifically. I guess liberals keep tuning that out when they hear the words private accounts.

Allow private accounts.

Do away with the cap.

Raise Retirement age.

Tinker with the payout formula.

Raise Taxes and Cut Spending.

This would fix social security, and not screw over future generations. It would also allow for medicad/medicare to be reformed.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: digitalsm
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: irwincur
Interesting you didn't note that Greenspan said that in order to pay for this, either taxes must be raised or benefits must be cut.
This is a given and it has never been taken off of the table. I happen to believe that the final Bush proposal will look something like this...

1. Increase taxes on higher end earner. Say over $60,000 or so.
2. Increase the ceiling to around $110,000.
3. Private accounts with up to 3% of your money.

Something like that will give a carrot to everyone. It is also totally feasible and would really not piss all that many people off. For those making more money the 3% in private accounts will more than cover the increase in taxes when ROR is figured in. It would still be a net gain for them, and everyone else in particular.
I'd have no problem with either 1) Repeal the Bush tax cuts that worsened our deficits by lowering tax revenue to the lowest % of GDP in over 40 years or 2) Remove the income limit on FICA taxes.

The trouble is, Bush's propaganda has completely avoided either of those necessities until just yesterday when he said he'd review options that included raising taxes.

Uh did you and your liberal buddies not watch the state of the union? Bush said ALL options with the exception of hiking the payroll tax, are on the table. IIRC he even mentioned that option(raising the cap) specifically. I guess liberals keep tuning that out when they hear the words private accounts.

Allow private accounts.

Do away with the cap.

Raise Retirement age.

Tinker with the payout formula.

Raise Taxes and Cut Spending.

This would fix social security, and not screw over future generations. It would also allow for medicad/medicare to be reformed.
What liberal buddies? Take your partisan blinders off, they're affecting your brain.

Perhaps if Bush had listened to Greenspan and O'Neill back in 2001 we'd have fixed SS then and it would have been a great accomplishment for Bush.
 

irwincur

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2002
1,899
0
0
I got called a liberal.

Conjour, will you be my liberal friend? I will need help in the land of bunnies and cupcakes.
 

irwincur

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2002
1,899
0
0
Perhaps if Bush had listened to Greenspan and O'Neill back in 2001 we'd have fixed SS then and it would have been a great accomplishment for Bush.

Fixing SS is a first term impossibility for any president. It will never happen.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Interesting you didn't note that Greenspan said that in order to pay for this, either taxes must be raised or benefits must be cut.

Not the point of the article I linked to. The point is he thinks it is a more viable program than the current system. And democrats wont even consider it.

He acknowleges the costs involved and if you read my article he makes note that he is not sure if the financial markets have already figured in the costs or not.

But he also suggested that in determining interest rates and bond yields, the financial markets may already have accounted for the $16 trillion in unfunded liabilities of the Social Security and Medicare programs.


The trouble is, Bush's propaganda has completely avoided either of those necessities until just yesterday when he said he'd review options that included raising taxes.

You didnt listen very well at the state of the union speech then. He said all options on are on the table except increasing payroll taxes. I think raising the cap is a good thing. But dont act like it will magically solve the problem either.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: irwincur
I got called a liberal.

Conjour, will you be my liberal friend? I will need help in the land of bunnies and cupcakes.
Sure, but in this land, the bunnies have pancakes on their heads. ;)
 

BBond

Diamond Member
Oct 3, 2004
8,363
0
0
I lost all respect for Greenspan and Greenspan lost all credibility when he prostituted himself for Bush by supporting the reckless Bush tax cut for the wealthy (at the expense of the budget and the rest of America). Then Greenspan dropped interest rates about a dozen times in as many months in an attempt to end the recession caused in part by Bush's irresponsible tax cuts and at the cost of seniors who had their savings invested in just about any of the vehicles seniors use.

Greenspan is just another in a long and ever growing list of whores for Bush.

 

irwincur

Golden Member
Jul 8, 2002
1,899
0
0
Greenspan happens to be a big backer of free markets. This means tax cuts, increasing private savings, etc... Has he ever been any different? I don't think it can be argued that he has done a bad job over the years serving many presidents. Funny, now that you hate Bush and he agrees with Bush you hate him. I am guessing that about six years ago you thought he was brilliant.

Long live Bush Hitler and the Fourth Reich - led by General Greenspan of the Waffle ZZ