No, it does not. It does, as you have already agreed with, allow the second step to happen. I am not sure what you are arguing against at this point, since we both agree the second step is impossible without the first.
I'm arguing against the belief that taking the first step will lead to another one being taken. It's possible, but I'm arguing against your belief that it's somehow likely.
Have you never heard of the social pendulum?
Yes, and on a personal level it all comes down to just what I said: hope; hope that things will become as you want them to become.
The trend I see playing out, for at least the rest of your life and mine, is more libertarian and less populist. More individual rights and less collective rights. Less taxes and moralizing and more economic and personal liberty. The coming failure of the welfare state underscores the waning belief in and trust of government and those who seek to use it to force a particular economic or social agenda. This will skewer the traditional platforms of both the Republican and Democratic parties; both evangelicals/social conservatives and radical left-wingers will lose the most. It won't be limited to the federal government, either. State governments will lose power and become a much less popular platform to push economic and social agendas, too.
That's the direction I see the pendulum swinging in, whether or not Roe v. Wade is overturned.
No one said doing the right thing is easy. If it was, everyone would do it.
Your right thing isn't necessarily
most people's right thing. I, for one, do not believe abortion should always be illegal. This is also a belief shared by a significant majority of the nation.
Abortion may become more restricted, but always illegal.. particularly in cases of rape and to protect the life of the mother.. no, that's not going to happen.
Continue to try; patience is a virtue. Most likely the same tactic used by those who wish abortion to be legal, if I were to make a completely random guess at it. You know, attempt to get laws passed which outlaw abortion. The same type of thing those who want abortion legal do.
What do you think they will do?
I think the temptation to force the issue at the federal level is too high. This temptation manifests itself in too many other issues for me to believe abortion will somehow be exempt.
I think those in one state who want abortion to be illegal in all circumstances in more than just their state will become impatient at other states' refusal to make it 100% illegal and seek a federal law or constitutional amendment. The performing of abortions in states where it remains legal that are sought by women who are residents of states where it is illegal will fuel the fire.
I do not share your optimism about federalism prevailing... definitely not in either of our lifetimes.